IMPACTS OF LAND USE/COVER ON ECOSYSTEM CARBON STORAGE IN APALACHICOLA, FL Except where reference is made to the work of others, the work described in this thesis is my own or was done in collaboration with my advisory committee. This thesis does not include proprietary or classified information. _____________________________ Rachel Chelsea Nagy Certificate of Approval: ________________________ ________________________ Luke J. Marzen B. Graeme Lockaby, Chair Professor Professor Geography Forestry ________________________ _________________________ Wayne C. Zipperer George T. Flowers Research Forester Dean USDA Forest Service Graduate School IMPACTS OF LAND USE/COVER ON ECOSYTEM CARBON STORAGE IN APALACHICOLA, FL Rachel Chelsea Nagy A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of Auburn University in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science Auburn, Alabama May 9, 2009 iii IMPACTS OF LAND USE/COVER ON ECOSYSTEM CARBON STORAGE IN APALACHICOLA, FL Rachel Chelsea Nagy Permission is granted to Auburn University to make copies of this thesis at its discretion, upon request of individuals or institutions and at their expense. The author reserves all publication rights. ______________________________ Signature of Author ______________________________ Date of Graduation iv THESIS ABSTRACT IMPACTS OF LAND USE/COVER ON ECOSYSTEM CARBON STORAGE IN APALACHICOLA, FL Rachel Chelsea Nagy Master of Science, May 9, 2008 (B.P., Miami University, 2005) 145 Typed Pages Directed by B. Graeme Lockaby Rapid coastal development in response to a growing population raises concerns about human degradation of ecosystems. The importance of the carbon cycle and its role in climate regulation warrant the study of the effects of land use/cover on ecosystem carbon storage in an area of hastening anthropogenic development on the Florida Gulf Coast. Samples were collected to determine the carbon storage of vegetation and soils in natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban forests, urban lawns, and forested wetlands. An analysis of all land use/cover types revealed that forested wetlands have the greatest capacity to store soil and total ecosystem (soil + vegetation) carbon. Urban forests contained the highest vegetation carbon content and had the greatest productivity of the five land use/cover classes. No significant differences in the total vegetation or soil carbon content existed between natural forests and plantations or between urban forests and urban lawns. An urbanization analysis on better drained soils illustrated that v urban forests had greater soil carbon content than natural pine forests and greater total vegetation carbon storage than plantations. The high carbon content of urban forests may reflect long-term protection from fire which plays an important role in reducing carbon pools in pine forests and plantations. The total ecosystem carbon storage of forested wetlands was notably higher than all other land use/cover types. Thus, protection of these ecosystems is of the utmost importance in order to maintain stability within the carbon cycle. A unique result of this study was greater carbon storage in urban ecosystems than in natural forests and plantations. Pine plantations, which tended to have the youngest, smallest trees, had the lowest carbon storage of all land uses/covers. Low productivity of these pine plantations is partially due to understocking and younger stands, but even if these systems were at rotation age, the carbon storage of plantations would still be lower than other land uses/covers. For example, a 25-year old plantation could store up to 80 Mg C/ha in the standing crop of vegetation while these urban forests store 93 Mg C/ha. Thus, plantations should not be promoted as a method of carbon sequestration for this particular location. County-level land use change predictions suggest that declines in ecosystem carbon storage are possible but can be lessened by protecting forested wetlands and incorporating patches of remnant forests within urban areas. A shift from timber production to community development by the largest private land owner in Florida will shape the future of this region. Conscientious development is essential to ensure stability in these coastal ecosystems. vi ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS First, I would like to thank Dr. Graeme Lockaby, for his outstanding support and guidance throughout my graduate career. I would also like to thank my committee members Dr. Luke Marzen and Dr. Wayne Zipperer for their critical review and suggestions for my thesis. Funding for this research was provided by the Center for Forest Sustainability. I am very thankful for Robin Governo?s assistance in the lab and with field preparation. Jennifer Trusty also deserves special thanks for all of her help with project development and implementation. I would like to recognize Dr. Tom Doyle of the USGS National Wetlands Research Center for the analysis of all tree cores for this study. I am also grateful for the help of Andrew Williams of the USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service in the characterization of soil profiles in the field. Thanks to all who helped with lab and fieldwork, project insight, and other assistance: Herbert (Tug) Kesler, Rich Pouyat, Tanka Acharya, Mark MacKenzie, Patti Staudenmaier, Tim Bottenfield, Danielle Haak, Nathan Click, Jennifer Mitchell, Eve Brantley, Sherry Broderick, Jody Thompson, John Dow, and Nick Bradley. Last, but not least, thanks to my family and James Diewald for all your support. vii Style manual or journal used: Journal of Environmental Quality (JEQ) Computer software used: SAS V.9.1, Sigma Plot V.10.0, ArcGIS V.9.2, Erdas Imagine V.9.1, Microsoft Word 2007 viii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES???????????????????????????..ix LIST OF FIGURES??????????????????????????...xii I. INTRODUCTION????..????????????????????..1 II. EFFECTS OF LAND USE/COVER ON SOIL CARBON AND NITROGEN POOLS?????????????????????.........17 III. LAND USE/COVER EFFECTS ON VEGETATION AND ECOSYSTEM CARBON STORAGE???????????????..?.........................71 IV. CONCLUSIONS???????????????????????.?.120 REFERENCES???????????????????.????????...125 ix LIST OF TABLES II. Table 1: Mean total carbon concentration (mg/kg) by land use/cover and depth?????????????????????????????...61 Table 2: Mean total nitrogen concentration (mg/kg) by land use/cover and depth???...........................................................................................................61 Table 3: Mean mineral soil bulk density (g/cm 3 ) by land use/cover and depth.....61 Table 4: Mean mineral soil bulk density (g/cm 3 ) by land use/cover ?????.62 Table 5: Correlations between mineral soil content, concentration, and bulk density??..??????????????????????????..62 Table 6. Mean mineral soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by land use/cover and depth?????????????????????????????...62 Table 7: Mean mineral soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) by land use/cover and depth????????????????????????????.......63 Table 8: Mean C:N by land use/cover in different soil depths and total soil profile.....................................................................................................................63 Table 9: Mean forest floor mass, carbon content and nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) by land use/cover??.......?..??????????????????.??.. 63 Table 10: Mean carbon and nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) of total soil profile including forest floor???????................????????????????..64 Table 11: Visual evidence of fire...........................................................................64 Table 12: Mean covariate statistics??????????????????65 Table 13: Regression relationships between explanatory variables (X1-X12) vs. response variables (Y1-Y15)??????????..???????..??.65 x Table 14. Paired t-test p-values for difference of mean carbon content in soil depths, total soil profile, forest floor, and total soil profile + forest floor: Plantation vs. Natural pine forest??????????????????...70 Table 15. Paired t-test p-values for difference of mean nitrogen content in soil depths, total soil profile, forest floor, and total soil profile + forest floor: Urban vs. Urban forest?????????????????????????..70 III. Table 1: Overstory equations to estimate dry weight???????...??...110 Table 2: Midstory equations for dry weight???????????.??...112 Table 3: Regression results of explanatory variables with biomass (overstory, midstory, understory, and total) and ANPP?????????????.?114 Table 4: ANOVA results for average number of trees per plot, average number of overstory hardwood trees per plot, average overstory tree size (dbh in inches), overstory species richness, percent cover in understory (0-6 ft), and basal area (m 2 /ha)???????????????..??????????..?..?115 Table 5: Mean overstory biomass (g/m 2 ), carbon content (g/m 2 ), and ANPP (gC/m 2 /yr) by land use/cover type?????????????????...115 Table 6: Mean ANPP (kg/m 2 /yr) of all land uses by year???????.......116 Table 7: Mean midstory biomass (g/m 2 ) and carbon content (g/m 2 )????...116 Table 8: Mean understory biomass (g/m 2 ) and carbon content (g/m 2 ) by land use/cover?????...???????????????????.??..116 Table 9: Mean understory percent cover of Serenoa repens??????...?116 Table 10: Mean total vegetation carbon content (g/m 2 ) by land use/cover??????...?????????????????.???..117 Table 11: Paired t-test results for difference in mean carbon content of vegetation pools????????????????????????...117 Table 12: Paired t-test results for difference in ANPP of overstory?????117 Table 13: Mean difference (g/m 2 : biomass, carbon content, and nitrogen content; g/m 2 /yr: ANPP) in vegetation pools: Urbanization analysis??????...?.118 xi Table 14: Vegetation, soil, and vegetation + soil mean carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by pool and land use/cover???????????????..??????.119 Table 15: Remote sensing analysis: Land use/cover area estimates and resulting carbon storage of each??????????????????????.119 xii LIST OF FIGURES II. Figure 1: Location of Study Site: Apalachicola, Florida.......................................48 Figure 2: Distribution of plots along coast............................................................48 Figure 3: Mean carbon concentration (mg/kg) by land use/cover type and depth .......................??????????...........................??....................49 Figure 4: Mean nitrogen concentration (mg/kg) by land use/cover type and depth?.???????????????????????????......49 Figure 5: Mean bulk density (g/cm 3 ) by depth and land use/cover type??...? 50 Figure 6: Mean bulk density (g/cm 3 ) of all depths by land use/cover type??... 50 Figure 7: Mean soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by depth and land use?????.. 51 Figure 8: Mean soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) for total profile (0-90 cm)???....51 Figure 9: Means soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) by depth and land use????.. 52 Figure 10: Mean soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) for total profile (0-90 cm)??... 52 Figure 11: Mean soil C:N ratio by land use/cover type and depth?????.... 53 Figure 12: Mean soil C:N ratio of total soil profile by land use/cover?...??...53 Figure 13: Mean forest floor mass (kg/m 2 )??????????????... 54 Figure 14: Forest floor mean carbon content (kg/m 2 )??????????... 54 Figure 15: Forest floor mean nitrogen content (kg/m 2 )??????????.55 Figure 16: Mean carbon content (kg/m 2 ) for total soil profile + forest floor?....55 Figure 17: Mean nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) of total soil profile including forest floor?????????????????????????????....56 xiii Figure 18: Mean soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by depth: Urbanization effects?..56 Figure 19: Mean soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) of total soil profile (0-90 cm): Urbanization effects???????????????????????...57 Figure 20: Mean forest floor carbon content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects??. 57 Figure 21: Mean soil + forest floor carbon content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects????????????????????????????.....58 Figure 22: Mean soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) by depth: Urbanization effects? 58 Figure 23: Mean soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) of total soil profile (0-90 cm): Urbanization effects??????????????????????...?59 Figure 24: Mean forest floor nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects?...59 Figure 25: Mean soil + forest floor nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects????????????????????????????.....60 III. Figure 1: Location of study site: Apalachicola, Florida?????????.. 101 Figure 2: Distribution of plots along coast?????????????...... 101 Figure 3: Example plots: (a) natural forest, (b) plantation, (c) urban, (d) urban forest, and (e) forested wetland........???????......???........... 102 Figure 4: Mean overstory biomass (g/m 2 )????????.?????...... 103 Figure 5: Mean overstory carbon content (g/m 2 )???????????.....103 Figure 6: Mean overstory ANPP (g/m 2 /yr)?????????????......104 Figure 7: Mean midstory biomass (g/m 2 )?????????????...?. 104 Figure 8: Mean midstory carbon content (g/m 2 )????????????..105 Figure 9: Mean understory biomass (g/m 2 )??????????????. 105 Figure 10: Mean understory carbon content (g/m 2 )??????????.... 106 Figure 11: Mean understory nitrogen content (g/m 2 ).....???????..??106 Figure 12: Pine plantation with extensive cover of Serenoa repens?........?....107 xiv Figure 13: Mean total vegetation carbon content (g/m 2 )????.................? 107 Figure 14: Relative carbon content by pool (kg/m 2 )?......??????......?108 Figure 15: Spatial display of plot carbon storage totals...?...?..?????...108 Figure 16: Classified image??.....?????................???????.?109 1 I. INTRODUCTION Land Use/Cover Change and Ecosystem Structure and Function Biogeochemical processes such as the carbon cycle are important indicators of ecosystem function and are subject to both anthropogenic and natural forces. Land use/cover change is a major driver of carbon storage and fluxes and may induce ecosystem vulnerability. Some of the major patterns of land conversion occurring worldwide include deforestation and conversely afforestation or reforestation, cropland abandonment or alternatively cropland expansion, and urbanization. Conversion and modification of coastal habitats exacerbates pressures such as increased population and pollution in these ecosystems. According to the World Resources Institute, ?Globally, the number of people living within 100 km of the coast increased from roughly 2 billion in 1990 to 2.2 billion in 1995?39 percent of the world?s population? (Burke et al., 2000). Rivers transport pollutants to estuaries and coastal waters, thus enhancing the pressure on coastal ecosystems (Burke et al., 2000). Half of the U.S. population lives in coastal counties with an additional 1500 new homes built on coastlines each day (Bourne, 2006). This study aims to quantify differences in terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage in natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban forests, urban lawns, and forested wetlands along a stretch of the Florida Gulf Coast. 2 Land Conversion and Modification Impacts on Carbon Storage Deforestation occurs to accommodate the growing human population through agricultural expansion and urbanization and also for the purpose of producing forest products such as timber. Concerns about deforestation include increased climatic fluctuations, increased variability in water flow and balance, and changes in carbon pools (Foley et al, 2007). Specifically, deforestation lowers net primary productivity and decreases the standing stock of vegetation carbon while simultaneously releasing carbon dioxide to the atmosphere (Houghton & Hackler, 1999). Soil carbon may display an initial increase due to litter input from trees left onsite, but then decline thereafter for about 20 years (Levy et al., 2004). Deforestation for cropland or plantations has been shown to result in an average 42% and 13% decline in soil organic carbon respectively (Guo & Gifford, 2002) although individuals have observed both increases and decreases in soil carbon following harvesting (Johnson, 1992). The transition of forests to pasture may not significantly alter soil carbon (Schwendenmann & Pendall, 2006, Guo & Gifford, 2002, Murty et al. 2002). Conversion to agricultural land and urbanization often coincide with deforestation. Some suggest that decreases in both soil and vegetation carbon pools can be expected from these practices (Tian et al., 2003). However, other studies show that urbanization can actually lead to increased soil carbon (Pouyat et al., 2006), depending on the climate. Pouyat et al., 2006 showed that urbanized areas had declines in soil carbon in the northeast part of the U.S., but in warmer and/or drier parts of the U.S., increases in soil carbon were observed. Alternatively, pasture may be converted to agriculture or 3 urban areas; the transition of pasture to cropland resulted in an average 59% decrease in soil organic carbon (Guo & Gifford, 2002). Afforestation (land returning to forest after a long period of non-forest) or reforestation (land returning to forest after a short time of non-forest) may lead to carbon sequestration (Zaehle et al., 2007, Huang et al., 2007). If a harvested area is abandoned, vegetation regrowth can accumulate carbon to approximately undisturbed levels in about 30-35 years and may depend on climate (Levy et al., 2004). Conversion of cropland to natural forest results in an average 53% increase in soil organic carbon while conversion of pasture to plantation results in an average 10% decrease in soil organic carbon (Guo & Gifford, 2002). Cropland abandonment may coincide with natural afforestation and therefore may lead to carbon sequestration or net carbon uptake due to increased carbon storage in vegetation and soils (Zaehle et al., 2007, Post et al, 2007, Houghton & Hackler, 2003). A more detailed look at the soil carbon pool following cropland abandonment indicates that there is an initial increase in soil carbon due to herb-dominated inputs with fast turnover rates, then a decrease as trees take over with lower litter inputs, and finally a recovery (Levy et al., 2004). Alternatively, cropland may also be converted for urban land use (Liu et al., 2005, Xu, 2004) which may result in only small changes in the carbon storage in both vegetation and soils (Houghton, 2002). Effects of Land Use/Cover on Carbon and Nitrogen Carbon and nitrogen cycles are intricately linked and thus many studies have examined both cycles simultaneously in response to land use/cover change. For 4 urbanization studies, there have been two main approaches: 1) comparing a native ecosystem type to a different developed type and 2) comparing a single ecosystem along a rural-to-urban gradient. An example of the first type of study was in Arizona when conversion of desert to urban areas was examined. Following conversion, soil organic matter (SOM) and total soil nitrogen (TSN) increased 44% and 48% respectively (Jenerett et al., 2006). It is important to note, however, that in this study, only the top 0- 10cm of soil was sampled and that their category of ?urban? included agricultural areas. Thus, results may be confounded as agricultural areas can react much differently than urban areas. The second type of urbanization study has become fairly common because it provides continuous data regarding the processes of the same land cover type across differing distances to/from an urban core. For example, Groffman et al., 2002 found that urban riparian zones had more incised streams, lower water tables, higher NO 3- pools, higher nitrification rates, and decreased consumption rates of NO 3- than reference riparian zones. This result was important because riparian areas are assumed to be sinks for NO 3- ; however, these urban riparian zones proved to be less efficient than their reference counterparts. McDonnell et al., 1997, detected that urban forests had poorer litter quality, faster decomposition, and faster nitrification than the rural forests. The increased decomposition and nitrification were associated with increased temperature in the urban areas (urban heat island effect) and increased prevalence of earthworms. In general, rural forests had faster nitrogen mineralization (McDonnell et al., 1997). However, regarding the effects of urbanization vs. natural controls, Groffman et al., 2006 found that 5 productivity and nitrogen cycling in forests were more closely related to natural soil conditions (in this case soil fertility) than proximity to an urban core. Land used for plantations may also display marked changes in carbon-nitrogen relationships. After conversion of natural forest to banana plantations, carbon, and to a lesser extent nitrogen, decreased in terms of both concentration and content (Powers, 2004). Thus, a lower C:N ratio in the plantation than the natural forest could be expected. Similarly, soil total carbon and nitrogen were significantly higher in the natural forest than the plantation (Burton et al., 2007). Conversely, the C:N ratio in the soils, litter, and roots was higher in the plantation than the natural forest (Burton et al., 2007). The plantation displayed decreased rates of gross nitrification (Burton et al., 2007). Another example which demonstrated decreased concentration and pools of both carbon and nitrogen is the study of Yang et al., 2004 which showed that soil organic carbon (SOC) and TSN, especially in 0-20 cm and 20-40 cm zones, were lower in the plantation than in the natural forest (Yang et al., 2004). Also noted were increases in pH and bulk density and decreased soil moisture content. The indirect effects of forest management practices on ecosystem processes have also been examined. A study by Sanchez et al., 2006 found that soils were surprisingly resilient to forest management practices. With OM removal, soil compaction, and competition control, soil carbon and nitrogen increased but not significantly (Sanchez et al., 2006). After five years, there were no significant effects on soil carbon and nitrogen (Sanchez et al., 2006). The authors caution, however, there could be noticeable declines in OM in the surface horizon and rooting zone of fine-textured soils due to the tendency 6 of fine particles to bind tightly with OM; thus fine-textured soils are more likely to accumulate dissolved organic matter (DOM) in lower soil horizons (Sanchez et al., 2006). Others have seen much greater declines in soil carbon in coarse-textured soils because of the inability of coarse particles to protect the OM in soil aggregates (Vance, 2000). Conversion of forest to pasture has been examined in a few studies including assessment of changes in total ecosystem pools of carbon and nitrogen, as well as separate above- and belowground estimates. Overall, the transition from forest to pasture led to decreased ecosystem carbon (25%) and decreased ecosystem nitrogen (1-24%) (Jaramillo et al., 2003). Lower aboveground and root biomass were observed (Jaramillo et al., 2003). Aboveground nitrogen was lost to a greater extent than carbon, resulting in increased C:N ratios, while in the roots, more carbon was lost in proportion to nitrogen and thus decreased C:N ratios were observed (Jaramillo et al., 2003). In this same study, the SOC decreased after conversion to pasture (Jaramillo et al., 2003). Nitrogen and carbon have reportedly declined following conversion of forest to agriculture (Murty et al., 2002, Yang et al., 2004). Decreased C:N ratios were presented in Murty et al., 2002 (24% and 15% declines for carbon and nitrogen respectively). Concentrations and pools of SOC and TSN decreased, especially at the 0-20 cm and 20- 40 cm depths (Yang et al., 2004). Additionally, changes in soil physical and chemical properties, such as pH, bulk density, and soil moisture content were observed (Yang et al., 2004). 7 The transition of pasture to cropland has been shown to lead to declines in both soil carbon and nitrogen concentration and content (Powers, 2004). The author attributes the declines in carbon to decreased root biomass in cropland vs. pastures and losses due to cultivation (Powers, 2004). However, increased quantity of aboveground litter was observed and may lead to long-term carbon accumulation (Powers, 2004). Decreased N pools are counterintuitive considering that the croplands were fertilized, which suggests that excess nitrogen was exported from the system. The soil C:N ratio increased at most depths examined (Powers,2004). Land Use/ Cover Change Patterns in the Southeastern U.S. Understanding the social forces and policy that drive land use change can help to explain the patterns of change that have occurred. Historically, the southeastern United States has undergone periods of agricultural and timber exploitation, followed by a period of recovery (Wear, 2002). More recently, the southeastern United States has transitioned into a period of rapid population growth and consequently, fast urbanization (Rain et al., 2007, Wear, 2002, Clouser & Cothran, 2005). In particular, both forests and cropland have been lost to urban areas (Wear, 2002). Coastal development is widespread globally and in particular in the southeastern United States, is expected to continue in the coming years (Yang & Liu, 2005, Rain et al., 2007, O?Hara et al., 2003). Florida has development laws to limit urban sprawl, but these laws have not been thoroughly implemented. For example, the 1985 Growth Management Act was amended with three new policies during the 1990s (Ben-Zadok, 2006). These amendments aimed to limit urban and suburban development occurring in agricultural and natural systems 8 and alternatively encourage compact development in areas already in urban use (Ben- Zadok, 2006). The policies were sound, but the implementation tools were too flexible and vague (Ben-Zadok, 2006). Policies were not made mandatory by the state and enforcement was left up to the local government?s discretion. The majority of land in the southeastern U.S. is privately owned, and thus independent decisions in conjunction with policy change the land use over time (Evans et al., 2002, Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). Another prominent land use in the southern U.S. is pine plantations, making it the dominant timber producing region in the United States (Wear, 2002, Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). From 1953-1999, planted pines increased from 2 million to 30 million acres (Wear & Greis, 2002). The area of planted pines is expected to grow to 54 million acres by 2040 (Wear & Greis, 2002). It is expected that primarily agricultural land will be converted to planted pines and that natural forests will be converted to urban land or make up the rest of the planted pines increase (Wear & Greis, 2002). In particular, a 58% decrease in areas of natural forest is predicted for the state of Florida by 2040 (Wear & Greis, 2002). Plantation expansion and establishment may lead to increases in carbon emissions as compared to leaving hardwoods on site (Sohngen and Brown, 2006). Apalachicola, FL Apalachicola, FL (29?43'31.87"N, 84?59'13.20"W), located in Franklin County (Figure 1), was established in 1831 (http://www.apalachicolabay.org/apalachicolahome.php). Figure 1: Location of Study Site: Apalachicola, Florida With the advancement of railroads, Apalachicola was a major port for shipping cotton and later timber before it became an important source of oysters (http://www.apalachicolabay.org/apalachicolahome.php). Today Franklin County supplies 90% of Florida?s oysters (http://www.apalachicolabay.org/apalachicolahome.php). Consequently, the livelihood of many people in Apalachicola revolves around the fishing industry. Apalachicola has to a large extent avoided the development trends impacting much of coastal Florida and is known with a few other neighboring towns as ?Florida?s Forgotten Coast?. Recently, however, development along the coast has increased markedly. Apalachicola?s population in 2000 was 2,334 (http://www.apalachicolabay.org/apalachicolahome.php) and that of Franklin County in 2006 was 10,264 (U.S. Census Bureau). The population density in Franklin County, and almost all other Florida counties, increased by more than 50% from 1950-1999 (Wear, 2002). 9 10 Changes in Apalachicola Population increases and changes in land ownership in Apalachicola and surrounding areas may lead to great land use/cover changes. Much of the land in Franklin County is state owned, but the population is predicted to rise by 20.2% from 2004-2010, suggesting coastal development as a likely outcome (Clouser & Cothran, 2005). The St. Joe Company (formerly St. Joe Paper Company) is the largest private land owner in Florida, with around 1.1 million acres (Bennett, 1997, Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). St. Joe Company is now planning development of 4,000 acres of their land in the town of Port St. Joe, northwest of Apalachicola (Jehl, 2002 and Broadfoot, 2005). They propose to develop 5% of their land in the Florida Panhandle, which is roughly 50,000 acres (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). The current land transformation along the Gulf Coast is considered the biggest construction growth in Florida since the development of Disney World (Jehl, 2002). Rapid population increase, changes in land ownership, and resulting landscape alterations will likely affect ecosystem biogeochemical cycles. Development influences are manifested in threats to the fishing industry in Apalachicola including increased salinity stemming from water shortages in the rivers leading into the bay (Bragg & Yoder, 2002). Water shortages are caused by the increasing population pressure in Apalachicola and surrounding areas. Currently, development is lingering in the background as Apalachicola remains one of the few coastal areas devoid of massive hotels and condos; meanwhile there has been significant expansion of residential areas nearby (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). Oyster beds may not replenish themselves if this area is developed due to problems including fertilizer runoff 11 and storm water runoff from parking lots. Oyster farmers continuing their family?s traditional work may be forced to cede to development and the concomitant negative environmental impacts (Bragg & Yoder, 2002). In short, they will have to find a new way of life. Hypotheses The effects of land use changes and specific management practices on carbon storage were examined in this study. Hypotheses for specific land use changes examined were the following: 1) Development along the Gulf Coast including conversion of forest to urban areas will have caused declines in vegetation carbon. Typically urban areas are expected to have reduced soil carbon, but cases of increased soil carbon in urban areas have been reported in hot and/or dry climates. Therefore, in this subtropical climate, higher soil carbon is expected in urban lawns and urban forests than in natural forests. Additionally, urban lawns and urban forests will be compared in a paired approach to see distinctions within urban ecosystems. 2) Plantation establishment and expansion near Apalachicola will cause decreased carbon storage in the system as compared to pre-disturbance (natural forest) pools. The initial deforestation will have caused decreases in soil and vegetation carbon. Afforestation of principally slash (Pinus elliottii) or sand pine (Pinus clausa) will have ameliorated this to some extent, but the overall carbon decline should be measurable. Site preparation will influence changes in carbon storage; with increased disturbance pre- and post-harvesting, soil carbon losses should be greater. Additionally, other 12 management practices such as prescribed fire will influence the amount of carbon lost. With evidence of recent fire, smaller pools of carbon, particularly in the forest floor and vegetation are anticipated. C:N ratios may also be reduced in plantations because carbon is often lost more rapidly than nitrogen in fires. Objectives The main objectives of this study are to: 1) identify patterns of land use/cover along the Florida Gulf Coast, 2) calculate the carbon storage of each land use/cover type, 3) determine the effects of urbanization on carbon storage, 4) quantify the effects of plantation establishment on carbon storage, and 5) create an overall carbon estimate for these coastal ecosystems. Development in the Gulf Coast will cause dramatic environmental changes to the landscape in the coming years as it has elsewhere (Yang & Liu, 2005). It is important to have a clear understanding of existing patterns of land use/cover along the Gulf Coast in order to understand the resulting patterns of carbon storage. Measurements of soil and vegetation carbon will be made for each ecosystem type. Finally, the specific land conversions from natural forest to plantation and from forest to urban will be examined to determine the change in carbon storage associated with each practice. 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U.S. Census Bureau: Franklin County, FL. http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/12/12037.html Vance, E. D. (2000). Agricultural site productivity: principles derived from long-term experiments and their implications for intensively managed forests. Forest Ecology and Management, 138, 369-396. 16 Wear, D. N. (2002). Land Use in Wear, D. N. and J. G. Greis, eds. (2002). Southern Forest Resource Assessment. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-53. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station. Wear, D. N. and J. G. Greis, eds. (2002). Southern Forest Resource Assessment. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-53. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station. Xu, W. (2004). The changing dynamics of land-use change in rural China: A case study of Yuhang, Zhejiang Province. Environment and Planning A, 36, 1595-1615. Yang, J., J. Huang, Q. Pan, J. Tang, and X. Han. (2004). 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EFFECTS OF LAND USE/COVER ON SOIL CARBON AND NITROGEN POOLS Abstract Soil carbon and nitrogen storage are influenced by land use changes and management practices, as well as natural disturbances and climatic conditions. In a stretch along the Gulf Coast near Apalachicola, Florida, forested wetlands had exceedingly greater soil carbon and nitrogen storage than natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban lawns, or urban forests. Paired plots revealed that plantations and natural pine forests did not exhibit differences in carbon and nitrogen storage in the mineral soil and forest floor. Within urban ecosystems, no significant difference in carbon storage of the total soil profile was noted between urban forests and urban lawns, although urban lawns had significantly higher mineral soil nitrogen content compared to urban forests. In a comparison among land uses with better drained soils, urban forests had higher mineral soil carbon storage than natural pine forests. This ecosystem response of increased carbon storage in urban soils has been observed in hot and/or dry climatic regions, which have small native carbon pools. Urban lawns had greater soil nitrogen storage compared to natural pine forests or plantations and urban forests also had greater nitrogen storage than natural forests. This study suggests that coastal forested wetlands should be closely monitored and a high priority should be placed on their preservation 18 due to their contributions to ecosystem function. Additionally, these urban ecosystems which do not experience regular burning are able to store larger quantities of carbon in soils than pre-urban ecosystems of natural pine forests and plantations. Introduction Land use/cover change and its potential to influence ecosystem functions, such as biogeochemical cycles, have become topics of great interest. Land conversion practices alter vegetation patterns and soil physical properties, which thereby alter the movement and storage of carbon and nitrogen in soils. For example, changes in soil moisture influence rates of respiration and decomposition, thus enriching or depleting carbon pools. There is also a considerable degree of natural variation in soil organic matter and carbon storage of different ecosystems (Schlesinger, 1991, Sabine et al., 2004). Wetlands for example, store more soil carbon than other systems due to a unique balance between decomposition and primary productivity (Schlesinger, 1991). However, the extent of land use/cover change globally warrants the investigation of impacts on ecosystem function in an effort to secure a sustainable future. Worldwide, coastal development is encroaching on unique ecosystems and causing drastic changes to terrestrial landscapes (Burke et al., 2000). The global importance of the carbon cycle and its influence on climate has been demonstrated in a number of studies (Fung et al., 2005, Guo & Gifford, 2002, Falloon et al., 2007, Levy et al., 2004). Releases of carbon in the form of atmospheric CO 2 , a greenhouse gas, can lead to alterations in climate. Climate, in return, influences physiological processes such as photosynthesis thereby influencing the magnitude of 19 terrestrial carbon pools in vegetation and soils (Malhi et al., 2002). Therefore, human modification of the carbon cycle, through increased atmospheric carbon dioxide from land use change and fossil fuel combustion, results in a positive feedback with climatic controls on ecosystem carbon storage (Field et al., 2004). Additionally, carbon-nitrogen interactions have the potential to control ecosystem processes such as productivity. Nitrogen limitation is common in terrestrial ecosystems and aboveground net primary productivity usually increases with increased nitrogen availability (Fisher & Binkley, 2000). Therefore, changes caused by alterations of land use/cover in soil carbon, nitrogen, and their relative proportions, can influence ecosystem function. Two land conversions prominent throughout the Southeastern U.S., urbanization and plantation establishment, were examined in this study. The study site was located near Apalachicola, Florida, an area which has a long history of both urban and plantation land uses. A portion of the land in Franklin County, Florida and a greater extent of the surrounding counties in the Florida Panhandle are owned by the St. Joe Company. Formerly the St. Joe Paper Company, this entity is the largest private land owner in the state. In an effort to develop this region of Florida, the St. Joe Company has shifted their priorities from timber production to ?place making?, or themed community development (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). Thus, the St. Joe Company holds an important position in shaping the future of Florida?s Gulf Coast (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). The resulting land use/cover changes will undoubtedly influence biogeochemical cycles in this region. 20 Urbanization Effects on Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Soil carbon changes following urbanization are related to climate, type of construction activity, type of urban area (residential, commercial, etc.), whether the urban area is analyzed as a homogenous unit or as an assemblage of urban patches, and the pre- urban land use (Pouyat et al., 2006, Pouyat et al., 2007). Soil variation, for example, may be more influential to soil carbon and nitrogen cycles than land use/cover as found in Groffman et al., 2006. Also, study results must be interpreted in light of the soil depths sampled as well as the scale at which the study took place. In regard to the impacts of urbanization on soil carbon, some suggest that declines will follow (Tian et al., 2003), while others have seen mixed results. When cropland is converted to urban land use, small changes in soil carbon have been observed (Houghton, 2002). When converted from ?natural? land use types such as forest, a study found that urban areas in the northeastern U.S. exhibited declines in soil carbon, while in warmer and/or drier climates, increases in soil carbon were noted (Pouyat et al., 2006). Effects of Plantation Establishment on Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Conversion of natural forests to plantations and the site preparation and management practices employed can impact soil carbon and nitrogen. Most have noted declines in soil carbon following conversion of natural forest to plantation in individual studies such as Chen et al., 2004, but others have seen varied results. An average 13% decline in soil organic carbon was calculated for the conversion of natural forests to plantations in Guo & Gifford, 2002, a meta-analysis of land use change impacts. Initial clearing of vegetation reduces inputs to the soil. Widely used in the Florida Panhandle, 21 the practice known as ?bedding? moves soils into raised rows 30-60 cm high and alters soil physical properties including bulk density and soil moisture. Additionally, management regimes such as prescribed burning to reduce understory competition may decrease soil carbon in plantations and natural pine forests by removal or redistribution of organic matter (OM) to greater soil depths (Pritchett & Fisher, 1987). Study Objectives The primary objective of this study was to determine and compare the soil carbon and nitrogen storage in different land use/cover types for a section of the Florida Gulf Coast (Figure 1). Land use/cover was determined in the field and categories sampled included natural pine forest, pine plantation, urban lawn, urban forest, and forested wetland. Forested wetlands were expected to have the highest carbon and nitrogen content. Plantations were expected to have smaller carbon and nitrogen pools than natural forests due to losses through harvesting and management practices such as prescribed fire. According to Pouyat et al. 2006 in which urban land use types in warm and/or dry climates stored more carbon than the natural ecosystems they replaced, urban plots were expected to have greater carbon and nitrogen storage than natural forests. Study Area A total of 61 plots were established around Apalachicola (29?43?31?N, 84?59?33?W), Eastpoint (29?44?30?N, 84?52?37?W) and Carrabelle (29?51?14?N, 84?39?57?W), in Franklin County, Florida. The climate is humid subtropical with an average annual rainfall of about 1450 mm (NCDC, 2008). Apalachicola is about 4 m above sea level (NCDC, 2008). 22 The five land uses/covers included in this study were natural pine forest, pine plantation, urban lawn, urban forest, and forested wetlands. Important differences between land use types include fire frequency, variation in vegetation structure and composition, and variation in soil characteristics. Natural pine forests and plantations were typically on moderately drained sandy soils (ultisols, inceptisols, and some spodosols). Both natural forests and plantations experienced frequent fires. They had fairly similar vegetation structures (understory, midstory, and overstory) although they differed in species composition and richness. Prominent overstory species of natural forests and plantations included slash pine (Pinus elliottii) and sand pine (Pinus clausa). Urban forests and urban lawns likely have not been burned in the last 25 years, as estimated from visual inspection of plots. Urban lawns had a different structure than all other land uses/covers; they generally lacked a midstory component of vegetation but rather maintained an understory of grass with a few overstory trees. Urban lawns and urban forests were on soils similar to the natural forests and plantations (ultisols, inceptisols, and some spodosols). Live oaks (Quercus virginiana), sand live oaks (Quercus geminata), and slash pines (Pinus elliottii) were common in urban lawns and urban forests. In contrast to the other land uses, forested wetlands were on poorly drained soils such as histosols which are characterized by high levels of organic matter (Lal et al, 1995). Similar to urban lawns and urban forests, no visual evidence of recent fire existed in forested wetlands. Water tupelo (Nyssa aquatica), titi (Cyrilla racemiflora), green ash 23 (Fraxinus pennsylvanica), and bald cypress (Taxodium distichum) were widespread in the overstory of forested wetlands. Methods Plots are circular with a 7.32 m radius, in accordance with the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Phase 3 plot standards. The distribution of plots in this section of Florida?s Gulf Coast is shown in Figure 2. Plots were established and samples were collected between October 2007 and July 2008. Characteristics such as dominant overstory species (for the natural pine forests and plantations), soil properties (series, moisture), and topography (depressional plots were excluded) were used in plot selection. For each plot, basal area, a visual estimate of the most recent burn, percent cover of understory, midstory, and overstory by species, and any additional site notes were recorded. Some of these variables (such as percent cover of understory) were used as covariates because they were expected to explain some of the variation in the parameters of interest. An important component of this study involved direct comparisons of natural pine forests and plantations and of urban lawns and urban forests to examine the effects of plantation establishment and the variability within urban ecosystems, respectively. Plots were paired based on some important physical site properties. The main priority was to establish pairs on similar soil series in attempt to limit variability in carbon and nitrogen pools due to natural soil variation. We used soil morphological characteristics such as color and texture to judge profile similarity. Additionally, Andrew Williams, a soil scientist of the USDA National Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) provided field 24 assistance in characterizing soils. Other important considerations included dominant overstory species (this was more important for the plantation-natural forest pairs), topography, and proximity to one another. To determine soil carbon and nitrogen, three cores were taken per plot at each of four depths: 0-7.5 cm, 7.5-30 cm, 30-60 cm, and 60-90 cm. Roots were removed from the soil sample and the soil was mixed until homogenous. Each sample was sent to the University of Georgia Soil, Plant, and Water Analysis Laboratory for chemical analysis. Percent total carbon and nitrogen were determined using the dry combustion method (LECO CNS 2000; LECO Corporation, 3000 Lakeview Ave., St. Joseph, MI). An additional test was conducted by the University of Georgia to determine the soil pH (0.01 M CaCl2 method). A separate soil core of a known volume was taken at corresponding depth intervals (0-7.5, 7.5-30, 30-60, 60-90 cm) to determine bulk density. Each sample was dried at 105?C for a minimum of 72 hours (Blake & Hartge, 1986). Bulk density was then used with the concentration of carbon or nitrogen to calculate the carbon or nitrogen content per square meter to a particular depth. Three forest floor samples (0.10m 2 ) were collected at random to determine the forest floor carbon or nitrogen content of each plot. Forest floor samples were dried at 70?C for a minimum of 72 hours and then weighed to measure the total mass of the sample, which was extrapolated to the mass per square meter. A subsample was ground for chemical analyses (C, N, and P). Plant tissue carbon and nitrogen were determined using thermal combustion (Perkin-Elmer 2400 series II CHNS/O analyzer; Perkin-Elmer 25 Corp., Norwalk, CT.) as outlined in Nelson and Sommers, 1996. Plant tissue phosphorous was determined following Jackson, 1958. Statistical Analyses All statistical analyses were done in SAS version 9.1 (SAS Institute 2002-2003). Analysis of variance (ANOVA) (proc glm with Tukey?s HSD) was used to determine any significant differences among the carbon and nitrogen storage of the five major land use/cover types (natural forest, plantation, urban lawn, urban forest, and forested wetland). Bulk density, as well as carbon and nitrogen concentration and content, are presented for each land use/cover type in the Results section. Linear regression was used to determine the relationship between explanatory variables (soil characteristics, vegetation species richness, and land use/cover within a 1km-radius buffer of the plot) and the soil carbon or nitrogen storage. Land use/cover data for the 1km buffer are from the following chapter, Land Use/Cover Effects on Vegetation and Ecosystem Carbon Storage, determined with remote sensing. Comparisons of carbon and nitrogen content in paired plots (plantation vs. natural pine forest and urban lawn vs. urban forest) were evaluated with paired t-tests (proc ttest). These comparisons aimed to identify the effects of conversion to plantation and to examine differences within urban areas, respectively. Finally, another set of ANOVAs (proc glm with Tukey?s HSD) was run to compare natural forests, plantations, urban lawns, and urban forests to quantify the effects on carbon and nitrogen content due to urbanization. Forested wetlands were excluded from this analysis because they are on poorly drained soils and thus are less likely to be developed than natural pine forests and plantations. Relationships were considered 26 significant at p < 0.05 unless otherwise stated, but results p < 0.10 are also presented for informational purposes. Results Carbon and Nitrogen Concentration for all Land Use/Cover Types Mean concentrations of carbon and nitrogen by depth are presented in Tables 1 and 2 and Figures 3 and 4. Forested wetlands had significantly (all p-values <0.0001) higher mean carbon and nitrogen concentrations than natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban lawns, or urban forests for depths 0-7.5, 7.5-30, 30-60, and 60-90 cm (Tables 1 and 2 and Figures 3 and 4). Bulk Density for All Land Use/Cover Types Table 3 presents the mean bulk density at each depth for each land use/cover type. Figure 5 displays these means with significant differences between groups. In the surface soil (0-7.5 cm), urban lawns had significantly higher (p<0.0001) mean bulk density than urban forests, natural pine forests, and forested wetlands (Table 3 and Figure 5). Also in the surface soil, pine plantations, natural pine forests, and urban forests had a higher mean bulk density in comparison to forested wetlands. At the 7.5-30 cm depth, plantations and natural pine forests had significantly higher (p=0.01) bulk density than forested wetlands (Table 3 and Figure 5). Compared to forested wetlands, all land use/cover categories had significantly higher (p=0.0006) mean bulk densities in the 30-60 cm range (Table 3 and Figure 5). Finally, at the depth of 60-90 cm, the mean bulk density of plantation plots was higher (p=0.08) than forested wetlands (Table 3 and Figure 5). 27 Bulk densities of all depths in the mineral soil profile were averaged (Table 4 and Figure 6). Forested wetlands had significantly lower (p<0.0001) mean bulk density than natural pine forests, plantations, urban lawns, and urban forests (Table 4 and Figure 6). Concentration vs. Bulk Density In order to ascertain whether soil density or element concentration drove soil carbon and nitrogen content to the greatest extent, correlations (proc corr) between content and concentration and bulk density were analyzed. For carbon content, the correlation with carbon concentration was 0.71 and the correlation with bulk density was 0.33 (Table 5). The correlation of nitrogen content with nitrogen concentration was 0.64 and the correlation with bulk density was 0.30 (Table 5). Therefore, while the content is calculated as a factor of both bulk density and concentration, concentration is predominantly the driving force behind the content values. Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Content for all Land Use/Cover Types Mineral Soil All land use/cover types were considered together and the mean mineral soil carbon content, mineral soil nitrogen content, and C:N ratio were calculated at each depth (0-7.5cm, 7.5-30cm, 30-60cm, and 60-90cm) and for the total soil profile (0-90cm). At each depth (0-7.5, 7.5-30, 30-60, and 60-90) the mean mineral soil carbon content was significantly higher in forested wetlands than in natural pine forest, pine plantation, urban lawn, and urban forest (all p-values of <0.0001) (Table 6 and Figure 7). Additionally, compared to either natural pine forests or plantations, urban forests had significantly higher (p<0.0001) mineral soil carbon content in the surface soil. For the 28 total mineral soil profile (0-90cm), the mean carbon content of forested wetlands is significantly higher (6-12 times that of the other land uses) than natural pine forests, plantations, urban lawns, and urban forests (p-value of <0.0001) (Table 6 and Figure 8). Although not significantly different, the total soil profile carbon content displayed the following pattern: urban forest > urban lawn > pine plantation > natural pine forest (Table 6 and Figure 8). Table 7 and Figure 9 display the results for nitrogen content by depth. The general trend for mean soil nitrogen content was forested wetland was higher than urban forest and urban lawn which were higher than plantation and natural pine forest. At each depth (0-7.5 cm, 7.5-30 cm, 30-60 cm, and 60-90 cm) the mean soil nitrogen content is significantly higher (at least 5 times greater) in forested wetlands as compared to natural forest, plantation, urban lawn, and urban forest (all p-values of <0.0001) (Table 7 and Figure 9). Generally, the nitrogen content increased then decreased with depth except in the case of plantations which continually increased with depth (Table 7 and Figure 9). Compared to urban forests, urban lawns, natural pine forests, or pine plantations, forested wetlands had significantly higher mean nitrogen content for the total mineral soil profile (0-90 cm) (p<0.0001) (Table 7 and Figure 10). Numerically, urban lawn had the next highest mean nitrogen content followed by urban forest, plantation, and natural forest respectively (Table 7 and Figure 10). The mean mineral soil C:N ratio increased with increasing depth for forested wetlands, urban lawns, and urban forests, but not for natural pine forests or plantations (Table 8 and Figure 11). Specifically, at the depth of 0-7.5 cm, the C:N ratio of natural 29 pine forest plots was significantly higher (p<0.0001) than urban lawn, urban forest, and forested wetlands (Table 8 and Figure 11). Also, compared to urban lawns and forested wetlands, plantations had a significantly greater (p<0.0001) C:N ratio. Lastly, the C:N ratio of urban forests was significantly higher (p<0.0001) than urban lawns. For 7.5-30 cm, natural forest, urban forest, and plantation C:N ratios were all significantly higher (p<0.0001) as compared to urban lawn C:N ratios (Table 8 and Figure 11). Also, the natural forest C:N ratio was significantly greater (p<0.0001) than forested wetland. For 30-60 cm, urban forests had a significantly higher (p=0.04) C:N ratio compared to urban lawns (Table 8 and Figure 11). Finally, there were no significant differences among the C:N ratio of different land use/cover classes for 60-90 cm (Table 8 and Figure 11). Numerically, the mean soil C:N ratio of the total mineral soil profile followed the following pattern: natural pine forest > plantation > urban forest > forested wetland > urban lawn (Table 8 and Figure 12). For the total mineral soil profile (0-90 cm), the C:N ratios of natural pine forests, pine plantations, and urban forests were all significantly higher (p=0.0006) than urban lawns (Table 8 and Figure 12). Forest Floor Compared to forested wetlands, urban forests had significantly greater (p=0.0029) forest floor mass and carbon content (p=0.01) (Table 9 and Figures 13 and 14). The forest floor nitrogen content of urban forests was significantly greater (p=0.0008) than forested wetlands, natural forests, or plantations (Table 9 and Figure 15). 30 Total Mineral Soil Profile + Forest Floor Table 10 presents the mean carbon and nitrogen content for the total soil profile including forest floor. The total carbon and nitrogen content closely resembled the results from the summed mineral soil (0-90 cm). Compared to natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban lawns, or urban forests, forested wetlands had significantly higher (p<0.0001) mean carbon content (Table 10 and Figure 16) and mean nitrogen content (p<0.0001) (Table 10 and Figure 17). Covariates Certain factors were anticipated to be related to the measured response variables. Specifically, fire frequency, land use/cover surrounding the plot, vegetation species richness, soil characteristics, and the prevalence of wax myrtle were expected to be influential. Visual evidence of fire presence/absence in the last 10 years is displayed in Table 11. Mean statistics of all explanatory variables except surrounding land use/cover are presented in Table 12. The surrounding land use/cover variable, derived from a land use classification (see next chapter), is appropriate for individual plots but comparing the means between land uses is not particularly helpful. Natural forests and plantations have had more recent fire than urban lawns, urban forests, and forested wetlands (Table 11). The overstory species richness is least in plantations and midstory species richness as well as midstory + overstory species richness are lowest in urban lawns (Table 12). Bulk density results were already presented in Table 3 and Table 4. Urban lawns and urban forests have the highest mean pH (Table 12). Lastly, the percent cover of wax myrtle, a nitrogen-fixing species, was highest in forested wetlands followed by plantations (Table 31 12). Results of regression between the explanatory variables and 15 dependent variables (forest floor mass and mineral soil carbon and nitrogen at different depths) including the r-squared and p-values are displayed in Table 13. Significant relationships between explanatory and response variables are described in the Discussion. Paired Approach: Plantation vs. Natural Forest and Urban vs. Urban Forest Soil Carbon Content: Paired The mineral soil carbon content showed no significant difference between natural forest and plantations at individual depths throughout the soil profile (Table 14). Also, the carbon content in the total mineral soil profile (0-90cm), forest floor, or mineral soil + forest floor were not significantly different between plantations and natural forests (Table 14). No significant differences in carbon content were observed at depths throughout the mineral soil profile between paired urban lawn and urban forest plots. Additionally, the carbon content of the total mineral soil profile (0-90cm) was not significantly different between urban lawns and urban forests (p=0.42). Because there is no ?forest floor? mass in urban lawn plots (grass was included in a separate vegetation analysis), the carbon and nitrogen content in the forest floor of urban lawns was calculated as zero. Consequently, the forest floor carbon and nitrogen content of urban lawn and urban forest plots were not compared. However, when the forest floor component (urban forests only) was added to the total of the mineral soil profile (0-90cm) there was no significant difference between the carbon content of urban lawn and urban forest plots (p=0.60) (Table 15). 32 Soil Nitrogen Content: Paired Similar to the comparison of carbon content in natural pine forests and plantations, there were no significant differences observed for soil nitrogen content at any individual depth in the mineral soil profile, the total mineral soil profile (0-90cm), the forest floor, or the total mineral soil + forest floor (Table 14). Urban lawns exhibited significantly greater soil nitrogen content than urban forests in the 7.5-30 cm depth as well as in the total mineral soil profile (0-90cm) (Table 15). No other significant differences were observed for nitrogen content in the other three depths or the total soil profile including the forest floor (Table 15). Urbanization Effects: Natural Forest or Plantation to Urban or Urban Forest Typical land conversions include the change of either natural forests or plantations to urban land uses because they are typically on more well-drained soils than forested wetlands. Therefore, to understand the effects of urbanization on carbon and nitrogen storage, ANOVAs were used to compare natural forests, plantations, urban lawns, and urban forests. While the mean soil carbon content by depth, as well as total profile, and forest floor are all the same values from earlier analyses (see Tables 6-7 and 9-10), relationships changed when forested wetlands were removed from the analysis. Figures 18-25 present the urbanization effects for mean mineral soil carbon content by depth, total mineral soil carbon content (0-90 cm), forest floor carbon content, mineral soil + forest floor carbon content, mineral soil nitrogen content by depth, total mineral soil nitrogen content (0-90 cm), forest floor nitrogen content, and mineral soil + forest floor nitrogen content, respectively. 33 Urban forests had significantly higher mean soil carbon content in comparison to natural forests and plantations at 0-7.5 cm and 7.5-30 cm (p=0.0004 and 0.0083 respectively) (Figure 18). No significant differences in mean soil carbon content were found between land uses for 30-60 or 60-90 cm (Figure 18). For the total mineral soil profile (0-90 cm), urban forests had significantly higher mean carbon content than natural forests (Figure 19). There were no significant differences in forest floor carbon content or the total mineral soil + forest floor carbon content between land use types (Figures 20 and 21). Mean nitrogen content in the surface soil was significantly (p<0.0001) higher in urban lawn and urban forest plots than in natural forests or plantations (Figure 22). Compared to natural forests or plantations, urban plots had significantly (p=0.01) higher mean soil nitrogen content in the 7.5-30 cm range. Similar to carbon, mean soil nitrogen content showed no significant differences between land use types for 30-60 and 60-90 cm. Urban lawns had significantly (p=0.0010) higher mean nitrogen content than natural forests or plantations for the total soil mineral profile of 0-90 cm (Figure 23). Urban forests also had significantly (p=0.0010) higher mean nitrogen content in the total mineral soil profile in comparison to natural forests (Figure 23). The mean forest floor nitrogen content of urban forests was significantly (p= 0.0029) greater than natural pine forests and plantations (Figure 24). Finally, there were no significant differences between land use types for the total mineral soil + forest floor nitrogen content (Figure 25). 34 Discussion All Land Use/Cover Types Estimates of carbon and nitrogen storage in different land use/cover types were a primary goal of this study. ANOVA tests for all land use/cover categories revealed that compared to natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban lawns, and urban forests, the mean carbon and nitrogen content of forested wetlands was significantly higher at each depth in the soil profile, for the sum of the mineral soil profile, and for the mineral soil + forest floor (Tables 6, 7, and 10 and Figures 7-10 and 16-17). These results were not surprising given that other studies have found wetlands to store great pools of carbon compared to other ecosystem types (Schlesinger, 1991, Cui et al. 2005). Decomposition may be slowed in wetland soils by saturation thus allowing for accumulation of carbon and nitrogen in the mineral soil. The total mineral soil profile including forest floor (total soil profile + ff) nitrogen and depths 1-4 nitrogen were significantly related to water table depth (Table 13). Also, the total mineral soil profile + ff carbon and depth 1 carbon were significantly related to water table depth (Table 13). These relationships suggest that the soil properties such as the high water table of forested wetland soils may reduce rates of decomposition and thereby lead to increased carbon and nitrogen storage. Forested wetlands generally contain large pools of carbon and nitrogen and therefore, the coverage of forested wetlands within a given area may be a good predictor of carbon and nitrogen pools. Carbon and nitrogen pools at each depth in the mineral soil except depth 1 carbon (p=0.07) had a significant relationship with the percent forested wetland in a 1km buffer around each plot (Table 13). Placing too much emphasis on this 35 explanatory variable is cautioned, however, because of the difference in scale between the plot and the buffer size. Rather this variable is useful to explain some of the variation between individual plots (why one natural forest plot surrounded by urban land uses may display different patterns than a natural forest surrounded by forested wetlands). Nitrogen-fixing species such as wax myrtle (Myrica cerifera) can be influential to both soil carbon and nitrogen pools. Aboveground, net primary productivity and biomass may be increased in the presence of nitrogen-fixing species due to increased nitrogen availability (Fisher & Binkley, 2000). Soil organic matter may increase due to greater inputs of vegetation and reduced decomposition of old soil carbon (Fisher & Binkley, 2000). All mineral soil carbon and nitrogen pools, as well as the mineral soil + forest floor, had significant regression relationships with the understory percent cover of wax myrtle (Table 13) which suggests that wax myrtle does play a role in soil carbon and nitrogen pools in these Gulf Coast ecosystems. Percent cover of wax myrtle was the highest in forested wetlands followed by plantations; the other land uses had fairly low wax myrtle cover (Table 12). Mean carbon and nitrogen content of the forest floor was higher in urban forests than in urban lawns, natural pine forests, pine plantations, or forested wetlands (Table 9). In general, urban forest plots were undisturbed patches of remnant forest within the urban core. With less recent fire (Table 11), the forest floor of urban forests was able to accumulate to greater quantities and therefore accumulate more carbon. Additionally, there was a significant relationship of forest floor mass with soil pH (Table 13). Forest 36 floor accrual in systems dominated by pines may lower the soil pH. Therefore, a suite of complex interactions is likely driving forest floor accumulation. With regard to the C:N ratios of the mineral soil, forested wetlands did not stand out from other land uses/covers as was the case for carbon or nitrogen individually. Urban lawns had lower C:N ratios than other land use/cover classes at all depths except 60-90 cm (Table 8 and Figure 11). Relatively high nitrogen in urban plots produced low C:N ratios at different depths and for the total mineral soil profile (Table 8 and Figures 11 and 12) and may be a result of management practices such as fertilization to maintain grass. Low C:N ratios of urban soils may prove to be beneficial for vegetation productivity because sufficient nitrogen is essential for plant growth. This study suggests that forested wetlands play a major role in carbon storage, but it should be noted they perform many other ecosystem functions as well. Wetlands serve as ?kidneys? for surrounding ecosystems by filtering incoming nutrients and pollutants (Cavalcanti & Lockaby, 2006). Franklin County has a large portion of land set aside in protected areas which include some valuable forested wetlands in Tate?s Hell State Park and the Apalachicola National Forest. However, increased infrastructural needs and development account for some losses of wetlands along the Florida Gulf Coast (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). Protection of forested wetlands may be imperative to maintaining stability in these coastal environments. Fire plays a large role in the accumulation and storage of carbon and nitrogen in these ecosystems. In the absence of fire, urban forests, urban lawns, and forested wetlands, are able to accumulate carbon and nitrogen in soils. Conversely, soil carbon 37 and nitrogen pools in natural pine forests and plantations which have experienced more recent fires are reduced. This result is consistent with Johnson & Curtis 2001 who found an average decline in soil carbon following prescribed fire when the time since the last fire was less than ten years. Conversion of natural pine forests and plantations to urban land uses may increase soil carbon and nitrogen pools in these systems of low native soil nutrients. Paired Plots: Natural Pine Forest vs. Pine Plantation Paired plots allowed for examination of the transition from natural forests to plantations and distinctions between urban lawns and urban forests. There was no significant difference in carbon or nitrogen content of the total mineral soil profile (0-90 cm), forest floor, total mineral soil + forest floor, or any of the individual depths in natural forest vs. plantation comparisons (Table 14). Smaller pools of soil carbon and nitrogen were expected in plantations in accordance with Chen et al., 2004 and Guo & Gifford, 2002. However, values presented in the Guo & Gifford article represent the average change from many individual studies. Although not significantly different, the high carbon content in plantations at 60-90 cm suggests a redistribution of carbon and organic matter to lower depths which may be caused by prescribed burning and/or disking (Pritchett & Fisher, 1987). Loss of organic matter due to burning is generally greater in sandy soils such as those found on these plots. This result is also consistent with Yang et al. 2004 who observed that carbon and nitrogen losses due to plantation establishment were mainly in the surface soil. 38 Plantation establishment is recommended as a method of reducing carbon emissions from ecosystems. This practice is particularly successful when cropland is converted to plantations, for example, because trees store greater vegetation (and also enhance storage in soils) carbon than crops. However, as shown by Sohngen and Brown (2006), the conversion of natural hardwood forests to pine plantations can have opposite effects on carbon sequestration and actually emit more carbon from the system. Results of plantation establishment on carbon storage vary due to underlying climatic, soil, and vegetation characteristics and thus need to be evaluated on a case-by-case basis. Here along the Gulf Coast of Florida, natural forests are often dominated by slash or sand pine trees. In these ecosystems, as was shown above, there was no significant difference in soil carbon content for the total mineral soil profile (0-90 cm) between natural forests and plantations. This may again be related to the fact that both natural pine forests and plantations have frequent fires. Paired Plots: Urban Lawn vs. Urban Forest For the total mineral soil profile, urban lawns had higher (p=0.05) nitrogen content than urban forests, but there was no significant difference in carbon content (Table 15). Higher nitrogen content in the mineral soil in urban lawns than the urban forests may be a result of maintenance practices. Maintenance of lawns in residential areas and public parks involves periodic fertilizer application, which typically includes nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium (Cheng et al., 2008). In contrast, urban forests receive little, if any, maintenance; they are typically patches of forest remnants with a well developed understory and midstory. Other studies have found that fertilizer 39 application and irrigation of turfgrass can increase soil carbon storage to levels approximating grasslands or forests (Pouyat et al., 2008, Golubiewski, 2006). There was no significant difference in carbon or nitrogen content for total mineral soil profile + forest floor between urban forest plots and urban lawn plots (Table 15). This suggests that maintenance practices in urban lawns are able to maintain soil carbon and nitrogen pools that approximate the pools found in urban forests despite different disturbance regimes and vegetation structure. While urban lawns had higher nitrogen content in the mineral soil, the forest floor of urban forests causes the latter to be statistically indistinguishable from urban lawns with regard to the total soil nitrogen (which includes the forest floor). The soil carbon content of urban forests may be higher (Table 6 and 10) due to additional vegetation inputs, but the difference is not statistically significant. Analysis of Urbanization Comparison of natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban lawns, and urban forests gives an indication of the effects of urbanization on soil carbon and nitrogen storage. Compared to natural forests, urban forests had significantly higher soil carbon content in the total mineral soil profile (0-90 cm) (Table 6 and Figure 19). Urban forests also had significantly higher soil carbon content in the top two soil depths (0-7.5 and 7.5- 30 cm) than natural forests and plantations (Figure 18). Urban forests are typically not disturbed by fires as is the case with natural forests and plantations. This allows a greater forest floor mass and carbon pool to accumulate (Table 9). Based on observation alone, it is speculated that urban forest plots had greater canopy closure and thus less light 40 reached the forest floor than in the other forests. This may have produced lower surface temperatures in urban forest soils and thus slowed decomposition. The higher mean carbon content of urban lawns and urban forests than plantations and natural forests is consistent with the results of Pouyat et al., 2006. Urban forests and residential plots had some of the highest carbon densities of urban land use/covers (Pouyat et al., 2006). Pouyat et al. 2006 found elevated carbon storage in urban land uses/covers for warm areas such as the Southern U.S. In contrast, the greatest declines in soil carbon content following urbanization were found in the northeastern U.S. which has naturally high soil carbon content. These Gulf Coast ecosystems have sandy soils with innately low native soil carbon content. Urbanization effects on nitrogen storage include elevated nitrogen in urban lawns for the total mineral soil profile (0-90 cm) (Table 7 and Figure 23). Both urban lawns and urban forests had significantly higher mean nitrogen content in the surface soil than natural forests or plantations (Figure 22). Higher soil nitrogen in urban lawns and urban forests may be related to overstory species. Soil nitrogen in plots with hardwoods can be higher than plots with conifers (Garten & Ashwood, 2004). The presence of wax myrtle, a nitrogen-fixing species, was expected to play a role in soil nitrogen; however, the abundance of wax myrtle in plantations (Table 12) should have elevated soil nitrogen on these plots, which is not the case. Perhaps the fire component was stronger than the effect of wax myrtle in plantations. The lack of a forest floor in urban lawn plots (as previously noted, grass was included in the understory vegetation analysis) may be the reason that there are no significant differences when the forest floor nitrogen content is 41 added the mineral soil nitrogen content (Figure 25), but differences were observed in the mineral soil alone (Figure 23). Excess nitrogen can be problematic in coastal ecosystems at the terrestrial-aquatic interface. Nitrogen is commonly a limiting nutrient in terrestrial ecosystems; however, with high nitrogen inputs, ecosystems can reach a state of nitrogen saturation at which point vegetation growth may be inhibited (Aber et al., 1989). Elevated nitrogen in water can lead to eutrophication, a condition of surplus nutrients, which can cause algal blooms and interfere with other ecosystem functions (Paerl, 1997). Urban areas are susceptible to increased pools and fluxes of nitrogen because of fertilizer application to lawns coupled with increased runoff due to reduced infiltration of impervious surfaces (Tong & Chen, 2002, Erickson, 1999). Future Work It would be interesting in a future study to pair natural forest plots with urban forest plots as was done in this study for natural forests and plantations. This would create a more direct comparison of forests along an urban-rural gradient while ensuring that plots are in similar soil series and have similar vegetation characteristics. While most natural forest, plantation, urban lawn, and urban forest plots appeared to be in the soil orders of inceptisols, spodosols, and ultisols, our results here for urbanization impacts could be compounded by differences in soil series characteristics. A detailed characterization of the soils on each plot is needed. It may also be useful in the future to sample carbon and nitrogen in ?developing? areas to quantify changes during the conversion from natural ecosystems to urban land uses. 42 Land use/cover change presents a more serious threat to carbon storage when coupled with a changing climate. Alterations in land use/cover can alter the climate through increases or reductions of carbon dioxide. Conversely, alterations in climate can lead to changes in land cover (Falloon et al., 2007) as certain plants and animals are excluded or introduced to a different climatic regime. The interactive effects of land use/cover change and climate change are not fully understood. One study suggests that with the combined influence of land use change and climate change, the net effect on carbon storage will be approximately zero on the global scale (Levy et al., 2004). Changes in temperature and precipitation can greatly alter soil carbon storage. Climate is one of the major factors affecting processes such as decomposition and respiration, which in turn have a large role in the carbon storage of soils (Zheng et al., 2006). Decomposition rates are generally highest in warm, wet conditions. Ecosystems with slow decomposition (cold and/or wet conditions) tend to have the largest pools of soil organic matter (Schlesinger, 1991). At the regional scale, soil carbon may be regulated by precipitation, with wetter conditions having higher carbon storage because the increase in NPP is greater than the increase in soil respiration (Falloon et al., 2007). At the global scale, however, temperature may have more of an effect on carbon storage than precipitation, and in general decreased carbon stocks are predicted due to climate- induced land cover changes (Falloon et al., 2007). Therefore, future studies to examine interactions between human practices such as land use change, carbon, and climate would help provide a more comprehensive understanding of ecosystem function in this region. 43 Conclusions Forested wetlands had overwhelmingly higher soil carbon and nitrogen storage than all other land use/cover types (natural pine forest, plantation, urban lawn, urban forest) and should be a high priority for ecosystem conservation. According to the paired plots, there were no significant differences in carbon and nitrogen storage between plantations and natural pine forests for the total mineral soil profile, at specific depths throughout the profile, or in the forest floor. Similarly, there were no significant differences in carbon storage between urban forests and urban lawns in any of the pools examined. However, the total mineral soil (0-90cm) nitrogen content of urban lawns was higher than urban forests. In the urbanization analysis, urban forests had higher carbon and nitrogen storage than natural forests for the total mineral soil profile which is likely related to the presence of fire in natural forests. Also for the total mineral soil profile, urban lawns had greater nitrogen storage than natural forests or plantations, which again may be a factor of the absence of fire in urban ecosystems. Carbon and nitrogen storage in these Gulf Coast ecosystems are influenced by land use/cover, but are also subject to management practices, disturbances, and environmental conditions as well. 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Figure 1: Location of Study Site: Apalachicola, Florida Figure 2: Distribution of plots along coast 48 Figure 3: Mean carbon concentration (mg/kg) by land use/cover type and depth; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters Figure 4: Mean nitrogen concentration (mg/kg) by land use/cover type and depth; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters 49 Figure 5: Mean bulk density (g/cm 3 ) by depth and land use/cover type; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean B ul k D ens i t y ( g / c m 3 ) 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 b a a a a Figure 6: Mean bulk density (g/cm 3 ) of all depths by land use/cover type; significant differences are indicated by different letters 50 Figure 7: Mean soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by depth and land use; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean C a r bon C o nt ent ( k g/ m 2 ) 0 20 40 60 80 a b b b b Figure 8: Mean soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) for total profile (0-90 cm); significant differences are indicated by different letters 51 Figure 9: Mean soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) by depth and land use; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean N i t r og en C ont ent ( k g/ m 2 ) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 a b b b b Figure 10: Mean soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) for total profile (0-90 cm); significant differences are indicated by different letters 52 Figure 11: Mean mineral soil C:N ratio by land use/cover type and depth; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e a n C : N R a ti o fo r T o ta l M i n e r a l S o i l P r o f i l e 0 10 20 30 40 a a a b ab Figure 12: Mean mineral soil C:N ratio of total soil profile by land use/cover; significant differences are indicated by different letters 53 Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean F or es t F l oor M as s ( k g/ m 2 ) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 a b ab ab Figure 13: Mean forest floor mass (kg/m2) by land use/cover; significant differences are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean F or es t F l oo r C a r bon C on t en t ( k g/ m 2 ) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 b a ab ab Figure 14: Mean forest floor carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by land use/cover; significant differences are indicated by different letters 54 Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean F or e s t F l oo r N i t r ogen C o nt e nt ( k g/ m 2 ) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 a b b b Figure 15: Mean forest floor nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) by land use/cover; significant differences are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean C ar bon C ont ent ( k g / m 2 ) : S o i l + F o re s t F l o o r 0 20 40 60 80 100 a b b b b Figure 16: Mean carbon content (kg/m 2 ) for total mineral soil profile + forest floor; significant differences are indicated by different letters 55 Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e an N i t r o gen C on t ent ( k g / m 2 ) : S o i l + Fo r e s t FL o o r 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 a b b b b Figure 17: Mean nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) of total mineral soil profile + forest floor; significant differences are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover Type natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean M i ner al S oi l C ar bon C ont ent ( k g/ m 2 ) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0-7.5 cm 7.5-30 cm 30-60 cm 60-90 cm a b b ab a b b ab a a a a a a a a Figure 18: Mean mineral soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by depth: Urbanization effects; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters 56 Land Use/Cover natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e an M i ner al S oi l C ar b on C ont ent ( k g / m 2 ) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 a b ab ab Figure 19: Mean mineral soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) of total soil profile (0-90 cm): Urbanization effects; significant differences are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ea n F or es t F l oor C ar bo n C ont ent ( k g/ m 2 ) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 a a a Figure 20: Mean forest floor carbon content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects; significant differences are indicated by different letters 57 Land Use/Cover natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e an C a r bon C ont e nt ( k g / m 2 ): S o i l + F o re s t F l o o r 0 5 10 15 20 25 a a a a Figure 21: Mean mineral soil + forest floor carbon content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects; significant differences are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover Type natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e a n M i n e r a l S o i l N i tr o g e n C o n te n t (k g / m 2 ) 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0-7.5 cm 7.5-30 cm 30-60 cm 60-90 cm a a b b b b a ab a a a a a a a a Figure 22: Mean mineral soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) by depth: Urbanization effects; significant differences at each depth are indicated by different letters 58 Land Use/Cover natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean M i ne r a l S oi l N i t r oge n C o nt ent ( k g/ m 2 ) 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 a ab c bc Figure 23: Mean mineral soil nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ) of total soil profile (0-90 cm): Urbanization effects; significant differences are indicated by different letters Land Use/Cover natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e an F or es t F l o or N i t r og en C o nt en t ( k g / m 2 ) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 a b b Figure 24: Mean forest floor nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects; significant differences are indicated by different letters 59 Land Use/Cover natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e an N i t r og en C on t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) : S o i l + Fo r e s t Fl o o r 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 a a a a Figure 25: Mean mineral soil + forest floor nitrogen content (kg/m 2 ): Urbanization effects; significant differences are indicated by different letters 60 61 61 T a b l e 1 : M e a n ( ? S E ) t o t a l c a r b o n c o n c e n t r a t i o n ( m g / k g ) o f m i n e r a l s o i l b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r a n d d e p t h L a n d U s e / C o v e r 0 - 7 . 5 c m 7 . 5 - 3 0 c m 3 0 - 6 0 c m 6 0 - 9 0 c m n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 1 3 , 9 2 8 . 7 5 ? 1 9 5 2 . 8 3 5 2 0 3 . 2 6 ? 6 0 5 . 7 3 4 7 1 4 . 0 9 ? 6 1 1 . 6 3 4 2 9 8 . 7 9 ? 5 5 7 . 7 8 3 6 P l a n t a t i o n 1 1 , 5 9 6 . 4 6 ? 1 3 6 4 . 5 3 5 2 2 4 . 1 9 ? 6 7 0 . 6 4 4 7 1 9 . 9 4 ? 6 9 3 . 0 9 7 8 5 4 . 5 1 ? 2 5 3 7 . 5 4 3 3 U r b a n 1 5 , 9 7 9 . 1 9 ? 1 6 0 8 . 4 8 1 5 , 9 8 5 . 5 0 ? 4 1 4 7 . 9 6 9 0 5 0 . 9 5 ? 2 2 7 4 . 8 5 9 3 6 9 . 3 9 ? 2 4 5 9 . 6 8 4 2 U r b a n f o r e s t 4 5 , 8 7 3 . 5 5 ? 1 0 , 9 7 7 . 1 8 2 7 , 5 4 6 . 8 1 ? 8 7 0 1 . 6 3 1 0 , 9 4 2 . 0 5 ? 2 4 8 1 . 4 7 7 9 9 6 . 7 2 ? 1 7 0 3 . 8 4 4 2 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 1 8 2 , 9 3 1 . 3 3 ? 3 6 , 1 5 9 . 7 9 1 4 5 , 4 4 6 . 4 3 ? 3 5 , 9 2 3 . 4 2 1 4 , 9 5 7 8 . 7 6 ? 3 7 , 4 3 2 . 4 6 1 4 2 , 7 5 8 . 2 1 ? 3 5 , 6 5 5 . 3 4 3 0 T a b l e 2 : M e a n ( ? S E ) t o t a l n i t r o g e n c o n c e n t r a t i o n ( m g / k g ) o f m i n e r a l s o i l b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r a n d d e p t h L a n d U s e / C o v e r 0 - 7 . 5 c m 7 . 5 - 3 0 c m 3 0 - 6 0 c m 6 0 - 9 0 c m n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 3 9 1 . 9 3 ? 4 7 . 6 4 1 6 2 . 7 3 ? 1 8 . 7 7 1 6 2 . 8 2 ? 2 1 . 5 6 1 3 1 . 4 9 ? 1 2 . 2 7 3 6 P l a n t a t i o n 3 7 4 . 3 0 ? 4 4 . 9 0 1 7 4 . 4 5 ? 2 0 . 8 1 1 5 4 . 4 3 ? 2 0 . 4 9 2 3 4 . 5 3 ? 8 5 . 3 5 3 3 U r b a n 7 9 4 . 6 1 ? 8 1 . 8 0 7 5 0 . 9 1 ? 2 0 1 . 3 9 3 7 4 . 5 5 ? 9 3 . 3 8 3 3 8 . 1 0 ? 8 9 . 0 5 4 2 U r b a n f o r e s t 1 3 5 2 . 7 5 ? 2 3 1 . 0 2 7 1 3 . 7 3 ? 2 0 0 . 3 0 3 0 5 . 2 6 ? 6 0 . 9 1 2 0 2 . 0 1 ? 2 7 . 7 2 4 2 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 7 4 2 6 . 1 8 ? 1 1 7 2 . 9 4 5 2 8 0 . 9 3 ? 1 0 3 4 . 0 9 4 5 5 5 . 1 4 ? 8 8 3 . 1 1 3 9 0 3 . 6 7 ? 7 5 8 . 4 8 3 0 T a b l e 3 : M e a n ( ? S E ) m i n e r a l s o i l b u l k d e n s i t y ( g / c m 3 ) b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r a n d d e p t h L a n d U s e / C o v e r 0 - 7 . 5 c m 7 . 5 - 3 0 c m 3 0 - 6 0 c m 6 0 - 9 0 c m n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 0 . 9 6 ? 0 . 0 7 1 . 1 7 ? 0 . 0 4 1 . 2 7 ? 0 . 0 3 1 . 1 7 ? 0 . 1 0 1 2 P l a n t a t i o n 1 . 0 4 ? 0 . 0 4 1 . 1 6 ? 0 . 0 6 1 . 2 4 ? 0 . 0 3 1 . 2 8 ? 0 . 1 0 1 1 U r b a n 1 . 2 3 ? 0 . 0 4 1 . 1 0 ? 0 . 0 7 1 . 2 7 ? 0 . 0 5 1 . 1 8 ? 0 . 0 6 1 4 U r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 9 3 ? 0 . 0 8 1 . 0 9 ? 0 . 0 7 1 . 1 9 ? 0 . 0 5 1 . 1 9 ? 0 . 0 5 1 4 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 4 9 ? 0 . 0 7 0 . 8 0 ? 0 . 1 2 0 . 8 9 ? 0 . 1 3 0 . 9 1 ? 0 . 1 4 1 0 62 62 T a b l e 4 : M e a n ( ? S E ) b u l k d e n s i t y ( g / c m 3 ) o f m i n e r a l s o i l b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r : t o t a l s o i l p r o f i l e ( 0 - 9 0 c m ) L a n d U s e / C o v e r B u l k D e n s i t y ( g / c m 3 ) n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 1 . 1 4 ? 0 . 0 4 4 8 P l a n t a t i o n 1 . 1 8 ? 0 . 0 3 4 4 U r b a n 1 . 2 0 ? 0 . 0 3 5 6 U r b a n f o r e s t 1 . 1 0 ? 0 . 0 3 5 6 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 7 7 ? 0 . 0 6 4 0 T a b l e 5 : C o r r e l a t i o n s b e t w e e n m i n e r a l s o i l c o n t e n t , c o n c e n t r a t i o n , a n d b u l k d e n s i t y C a r b o n o r N i t ro g e n C o n c e n t r a t i o n B u l k D e n s i t y C a r b o n C o n t e n t 0 . 7 1 0 . 3 3 N i t r o g e n C o n t e n t 0 . 6 4 0 . 3 0 T a b l e 6 . M e a n ( ? S E ) m i n e r a l s o i l c a r b o n c o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r a n d d e p t h . L a n d U s e / C o v e r 0 - 7 . 5 c m 7 . 5 - 3 0 c m 3 0 - 6 0 c m 6 0 - 9 0 c m T o t a l P r o f i l e ( 0 - 9 0 c m ) n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 0 . 9 6 ? 0 . 1 2 1 . 3 5 ? 0 . 1 6 1 . 8 2 ? 0 . 2 5 1 . 4 3 ? 0 . 1 8 5 . 5 6 ? 0 . 5 0 3 6 P l a n t a t i o n 0 . 8 9 ? 0 . 0 9 1 . 3 0 ? 0 . 1 6 1 . 7 2 ? 0 . 2 5 3 . 0 7 ? 1 . 0 8 6 . 9 9 ? 1 . 2 4 3 3 U r b a n 1 . 4 0 ? 0 . 1 2 3 . 4 8 ? 0 . 7 7 3 . 1 8 ? 0 . 7 2 2 . 6 0 ? 0 . 5 2 1 0 . 6 6 ? 1 . 5 9 4 2 U r b a n f o r e s t 2 . 1 0 ? 0 . 3 6 4 . 7 5 ? 1 . 3 1 3 . 8 3 ? 0 . 8 5 2 . 8 0 ? 0 . 5 8 1 3 . 4 9 ? 2 . 5 9 4 2 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 4 . 0 9 ? 0 . 5 4 1 2 . 7 4 ? 1 . 9 7 2 2 . 3 5 ? 4 . 0 2 2 2 . 3 4 ? 4 . 6 2 6 2 . 0 4 ? 1 0 . 4 1 3 0 63 63 T a b l e 7 : M e a n ( ? S E ) m i n e r a l s o i l n i t r o g e n c o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r a n d d e p t h L a n d U s e / C o v e r 0 - 7 . 5 c m 7 . 5 - 3 0 c m 3 0 - 6 0 c m 6 0 - 9 0 c m T o t a l P r o f i l e : 0 - 9 0 c m n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 0 . 0 3 ? 0 . 0 0 3 0 . 0 4 ? 0 . 0 0 5 0 . 0 6 ? 0 . 0 0 9 0 . 0 4 ? 0 . 0 0 4 0 . 1 8 ? 0 . 0 1 6 3 6 P l a n t a t i o n 0 . 0 3 ? 0 . 0 0 3 0 . 0 4 ? 0 . 0 0 4 0 . 0 6 ? 0 . 0 0 7 0 . 0 9 ? 0 . 0 3 7 0 . 2 2 ? 0 . 0 4 3 3 3 U r b a n 0 . 0 7 ? 0 . 0 0 7 0 . 1 6 ? 0 . 0 3 7 0 . 1 3 ? 0 . 0 3 0 0 . 0 9 ? 0 . 0 1 8 0 . 4 6 ? 0 . 0 6 8 4 2 U r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 0 7 ? 0 . 0 1 1 0 . 1 4 ? 0 . 0 4 0 0 . 1 1 ? 0 . 0 2 3 0 . 0 7 ? 0 . 0 1 0 0 . 4 0 ? 0 . 0 6 8 4 2 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 1 9 ? 0 . 0 3 1 0 . 5 6 ? 0 . 1 0 1 0 . 7 8 ? 0 . 1 4 2 0 . 6 9 ? 0 . 1 4 1 2 . 2 9 ? 0 . 4 0 0 3 0 T a b l e 8 : M e a n ( ? S E ) m i n e r a l s o i l C : N b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r a n d d e p t h L a n d U s e / C o v e r 0 - 7 . 5 c m 7 . 5 - 3 0 c m 3 0 - 6 0 c m 6 0 - 9 0 c m T o t a l P r o f i l e : 0 - 9 0 c m n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 3 4 . 7 4 ? 1 . 4 3 3 2 . 3 8 ? 1 . 5 7 ) 3 0 . 3 9 ? 1 . 6 5 ) 3 0 . 8 9 ? 1 . 8 7 3 1 . 8 0 ? 1 . 5 1 3 6 P l a n t a t i o n 3 2 . 3 0 ? 1 . 5 4 3 0 . 2 0 ? 1 . 5 0 ) 3 0 . 1 6 ? 1 . 7 5 ) 3 2 . 7 1 ? 1 . 9 2 3 1 . 5 6 ? 1 . 3 7 3 3 U r b a n 2 1 . 0 5 ? 1 . 0 3 2 2 . 4 7 ? 0 . 9 1 ) 2 4 . 7 9 ? 1 . 4 1 ) 3 1 . 9 8 ? 3 . 7 0 2 3 . 4 9 ? 1 . 0 8 4 2 U r b a n f o r e s t 2 8 . 3 2 ? 1 . 6 0 3 0 . 5 9 ? 1 . 8 1 ) 3 1 . 6 9 ? 1 . 6 1 ) 3 3 . 0 6 ? 1 . 8 3 3 0 . 6 2 ? 1 . 6 0 4 2 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 2 3 . 8 3 ? 1 . 5 9 2 4 . 5 4 ? 1 . 9 7 ) 2 9 . 1 9 ? 2 . 5 9 ) 3 2 . 9 6 ? 2 . 8 0 2 8 . 4 2 ? 2 . 3 8 3 0 T a b l e 9 : M e a n ( ? S E ) f o r e s t f l o o r m a s s ( k g / m 2 ) , c a r b o n c o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) , a n d n i t ro g e n c o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) b y l a n d u s e / c o v e r Note: urban FF mass i s assumed to be zer o ; g r a s s i n c l u d e d i n u n d e r s t o r y v e g e t a t i o n . L a n d U s e / C o v e r F F M a s s ( k g / m 2 ) F F C C o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) F F N C o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 3 . 9 1 ? 0 . 2 8 1 . 7 3 ? 0 . 1 3 0 . 0 3 ? 0 . 0 0 3 3 6 P l a n t a t i o n 4 . 0 6 ? 0 . 5 3 1 . 8 3 ? 0 . 2 4 0 . 0 3 ? 0 . 0 0 4 3 3 Urban ------- --------- --- ------- --------- ---- ---------------- --- 42 U r b a n f o r e s t 5 . 4 5 ? 0 . 5 8 2 . 4 3 ? 0 . 2 8 0 . 0 5 ? 0 . 0 0 6 4 2 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 2 . 6 5 ? 0 . 6 1 1 . 2 9 ? 0 . 3 0 0 . 0 2 ? 0 . 0 0 5 3 0 64 64 T a b l e 1 0 : M e a n ( ? S E ) c a r b o n a n d n i t r o g e n c o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) o f t o t a l s o i l p r o f i l e i n c l u d i n g f o r e s t f l o o r L a n d U s e / C o v e r C a r b o n C o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) N i t r o g e n C o n t e n t ( k g / m 2 ) n N a t u r a l f o r e s t 7 . 2 9 ? 0 . 9 3 0 . 2 1 ? 0 . 0 3 3 6 P l a n t a t i o n 8 . 8 2 ? 1 . 6 4 0 . 2 5 ? 0 . 0 5 3 3 U r b a n 1 0 . 6 6 ? 2 . 5 6 0 . 4 6 ? 0 . 1 1 4 2 U r b a n f o r e s t 1 5 . 9 1 ? 4 . 4 3 0 . 4 4 ? 0 . 1 1 4 2 F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 6 3 . 3 3 ? 1 8 . 1 5 2 . 3 1 ? 0 . 6 8 3 0 T a b l e 1 1 : V i s u a l e v i d e n c e o f f i r e Land Use/Cover Evidence of fire in the last 10 y ears? Natural forest Yes P l a n t a t i o n Y e s U r b a n N o U r b a n f o r e s t N o F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d N o 65 65 Table 12: Mean covariate s t atistics Covariate Land Use/Cover N a t u r a l F o r e s t P l a n t a t i o n U r b a n U r b a n F o r e s t F o r e s t e d W e t l a n d X 5 : O v e r s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 1 . 3 3 1 . 0 9 1 . 3 6 2 . 0 7 2 . 2 0 X 6 : M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 1 . 6 7 1 . 0 9 0 . 4 3 2 . 1 4 3 . 1 0 X 7 : O v e r s t o r y + m i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 3 . 0 0 2 . 1 8 1 . 7 9 4 . 2 1 5 . 3 0 X 8 : W a t e r t a b l e d e p t h ( f t ) 1 . 8 5 1 . 6 3 1 . 8 9 1 . 6 6 0 . 5 0 X 9 : B u l k d e n s i t y ( g / c m 3 ) 1 . 1 4 1 . 1 8 1 . 2 0 1 . 1 0 0 . 7 7 X 1 0 : P e r m e a b i l i t y ( i n / h r ) 1 2 . 0 8 1 3 . 0 7 1 0 . 9 1 1 3 . 0 9 7 . 9 5 X 1 1 : p H 3 . 8 7 3 . 6 7 5 . 9 8 4 . 7 1 3 . 8 7 X 1 2 : P e r c e n t c o v e r w a x m y r t l e 0 . 0 0 3 . 5 5 0 . 1 4 0 . 6 4 5 . 0 5 T a b l e 1 3 : R e g r e s s i o n r e l a t i o n s h i p s f o r e x p l a n a t o r y v a riables (X1-X 12) vs. response variables (Y1-Y15) Y1: Summed soil + ff c a r b o n Y2: Summed soil + ff n i t r o g e n Y 3 : f f c a r b o n r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e X 1 : P e r c e n t u r b a n 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 6 * 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 3 X 2 : P e r c e n t u r b a n + u r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 3 X 3 : P e r c e n t t o t a l f o r e s t 0 . 1 1 * * 0 . 0 1 0 . 1 0 * 0 . 0 1 0 . 0 6 0 . 0 6 X 4 : P e r c e n t f o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 0 . 1 6 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 0 X 5 : O v e r s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 9 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 5 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 1 X 6 : M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 7 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 6 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 7 X 7 : O v e r s t o r y + M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 6 0 . 0 5 0 . 1 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 8 X 8 : W a t e r t a b l e d e p t h ( f t ) 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 0 . 0 0 0 . 8 3 X 9 : B u l k d e n s i t y 0 . 4 6 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 3 2 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 7 X 1 0 : P e r m e a b i l i t y ( i n / h r ) 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 7 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 1 3 * * 0 . 0 0 X 1 1 : p H 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 1 0 . 3 7 0 . 2 0 * * 0 . 0 0 X 1 2 : P e r c e n t c o v e r w a x m y r t l e 0 . 1 2 * * 0 . 0 1 0 . 2 8 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 2 0 . 3 2 66 66 T a b l e 1 3 c o n t . Y 4 : d e p t h 1 c a r b o n Y 5 : f f n i t r o g e n Y 6 : d e p t h 1 n i t r o g e n r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e X 1 : P e r c e n t u r b a n 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 7 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 6 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 3 X 2 : P e r c e n t u r b a n + u r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 1 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 3 0 . 0 1 0 . 3 7 X 3 : P e r c e n t t o t a l f o r e s t 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 0 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 6 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 8 X 4 : P e r c e n t f o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 7 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 7 0 . 1 0 * 0 . 0 1 X 5 : O v e r s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 2 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 7 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 X 6 : M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 9 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 0 0 . 1 0 * 0 . 0 1 X 7 : O v e r s t o r y + M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 4 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 4 0 . 1 3 * * 0 . 0 1 X 8 : W a t e r t a b l e d e p t h ( f t ) 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 0 0 . 8 8 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 X 9 : B u l k d e n s i t y 0 . 5 7 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 7 0 . 5 8 * * 0 . 0 0 X 1 0 : P e r m e a b i l i t y ( i n / h r ) 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 1 0 . 1 5 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 2 X 1 1 : p H 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 9 0 . 1 9 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 2 X 1 2 : P e r c e n t c o v e r w a x m y r t l e 0 . 2 5 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 2 0 . 3 0 0 . 3 3 * * 0 . 0 0 67 67 T a b l e 1 3 c o n t . Y 7 : d e p t h 1 + d e p t h 2 c a r b o n Y 8 : d e p t h 1 + d e p t h 2 n i t r o g e n Y 9 : d e p t h 2 c a r b o n r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e X 1 : P e r c e n t u r b a n 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 0 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 8 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 6 X 2 : P e r c e n t u r b a n + u r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 8 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 3 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 5 X 3 : P e r c e n t t o t a l f o r e s t 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 X 4 : P e r c e n t f o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 3 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 X 5 : O v e r s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 1 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 2 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 7 X 6 : M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 4 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 4 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 0 X 7 : O v e r s t o r y + M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 0 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 8 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 8 X 8 : W a t e r t a b l e d e p t h ( f t ) 0 . 0 6 0 . 0 7 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 8 X 9 : B u l k d e n s i t y 0 . 5 4 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 0 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 5 3 * * 0 . 0 0 X 1 0 : P e r m e a b i l i t y ( i n / h r ) 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 9 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 2 0 . 3 3 X 1 1 : p H 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 8 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 5 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 7 X12: Percent cover wax my rtle 0 . 1 3 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 2 5 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 1 0 * 0 . 0 2 68 68 T a b l e 1 3 c o n t . Y 1 0 : d e p t h 2 n i t r o g e n Y 1 1 : d e p t h 3 c a r b o n Y 1 2 : d e p t h 4 c a r b o n r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e X 1 : P e r c e n t u r b a n 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 2 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 5 X 2 : P e r c e n t u r b a n + u r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 0 5 0 . 1 0 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 5 * 0 . 0 5 X 3 : P e r c e n t t o t a l f o r e s t 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 1 * * 0 . 0 1 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 X 4 : P e r c e n t f o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 1 3 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 X 5 : O v e r s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 1 0 . 0 0 0 . 8 7 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 7 X 6 : M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 6 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 5 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 7 X 7 : O v e r s t o r y + M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 8 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 8 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 5 X 8 : W a t e r t a b l e d e p t h ( f t ) 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 5 0 . 1 0 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 9 X 9 : B u l k d e n s i t y 0 . 6 0 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 5 3 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 5 2 * * 0 . 0 0 X 1 0 : P e r m e a b i l i t y ( i n / h r ) 0 . 0 6 0 . 0 6 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 2 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 5 X 1 1 : p H 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 2 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 7 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 1 X12: Percent cover wax my rtle 0 . 2 1 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 4 * * 0 . 0 0 69 69 T a b l e 1 3 c o n t . Y 1 3 : d e p t h 3 n i t r o g e n Y 1 4 : d e p t h 4 n i t r o g e n Y 1 5 : f f m a s s r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e r - s q u a r e d p - v a l u e X 1 : P e r c e n t u r b a n 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 8 X 2 : P e r c e n t u r b a n + u r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 7 X 3 : P e r c e n t t o t a l f o r e s t 0 . 1 1 * * 0 . 0 1 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 7 X 4 : P e r c e n t f o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 0 . 1 4 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 1 5 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 4 X 5 : O v e r s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 3 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 6 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 6 X 6 : M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 1 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 8 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 7 X 7 : O v e r s t o r y + M i d s t o r y s p e c i e s r i c h n e s s 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 5 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 1 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 3 X 8 : W a t e r t a b l e d e p t h ( f t ) 0 . 0 7 * 0 . 0 4 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 8 X 9 : B u l k d e n s i t y 0 . 5 8 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 5 9 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 2 X 1 0 : P e r m e a b i l i t y ( i n / h r ) 0 . 0 6 0 . 0 6 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 0 . 1 9 * * 0 . 0 0 X 1 1 : p H 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 3 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 2 0 . 2 1 * * 0 . 0 0 X 1 2 : P e r c e n t c o v e r w a x m y r t l e 0 . 2 6 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 3 1 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 0 70 Table 14. Paired t-test mean difference of carbon and nitrogen content in soil depths, total soil profile, forest floor, and total soil profile + forest floor: Plantation vs. natural pine forest. Significant values at ? =0.05 are indicated by *. A positive difference indicates that plantation > natural forest and a negative difference indicates that natural forest > plantation. Pool Depth Difference in Carbon: Plantation- Natural Forest Difference in Nitrogen: Plantation- Natural Forest 0-7.5 cm -0.16 -0.00 7.5-30 cm -0.16 -0.01 30-60 cm -0.35 -0.02 60-90 cm 1.85 0.06 Soil Total Profile 1.17 0.03 Forest Floor 0.13 -0.01 Soil + FF 1.31 0.03 Table 15. Paired t-test mean difference of carbon and nitrogen content in soil depths, total soil profile, forest floor, and total soil profile + forest floor: Urban vs. urban forest. Significant values at ? =0.05 are indicated by *. A positive difference indicates that urban > urban forest and a negative difference indicates that urban forest > urban. Pool Depth Difference in Carbon: Urban- Urban Forest Difference in Nitrogen: Urban- Urban Forest 0-7.5 cm -0.18 0.01 7.5-30 cm 0.28 0.06* 30-60 cm 0.91 0.05 60-90 cm 0.34 0.02 Soil Total Profile 1.36 0.14* (p=0.0511) Forest Floor -------- -------- Soil + FF -1.00 0.09 71 III. LAND USE/COVER EFFECTS ON VEGETATION AND ECOSYSTEM CARBON STORAGE Abstract Concern about human modification of ecosystems including extensive and rapid coastal development has led to a significant body of research investigating the impacts on ecosystem structure and function. Changes in the carbon cycle are of particular importance due to the carbon-climate interactions. Carbon storage in vegetation and soils along the Florida Gulf Coast were investigated in this study. Each vegetation pool (overstory, midstory, and understory) displayed unique patterns of carbon storage in different land use/cover conditions. Urban forests had significantly greater overstory and total vegetation carbon storage than plantations. Midstory carbon content was significantly higher in natural pine forests and plantations than urban lawns. Urban lawns, however, had significantly higher understory carbon storage than urban forests or forested wetlands. Total ecosystem carbon (vegetation + soil) was significantly higher in forested wetlands than all other land use/cover classes due to the organic nature of wetland soils. Predictions of land use change in Franklin County, Florida through the year 2020 suggest that declines in carbon storage are possible due to the loss of forests (including forested wetlands) and continued urbanization. Because forested wetlands 72 store substantial pools of carbon, their protection is imperative to maintain ecosystem function in these dynamic coastal environments. Introduction Alteration of ecosystem function through practices such as deforestation for agriculture and urbanization has become a global concern. Additionally, a rapidly growing population is placing disproportionate pressure on coastal ecosystems. According to a recent estimate, roughly half of the U.S. population lives in coastal counties (Bourne, 2006). Consequently, diminished and/or degraded resources and pollution may be concentrated in coastal ecosystems. Studies to quantify the effects of land use/cover change on ecosystem function are of great importance to minimize environmental degradation and inform management and policy initiatives in coastal areas. Many studies have demonstrated the global importance of the carbon cycle and its influence on climate (Guo & Gifford, 2002, Falloon et al., 2007, Levy et al., 2004). Emissions of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide through land use change and fossil fuel combustion can lead to alterations in climate. Processes such as photosynthesis and decomposition which influence the magnitude of vegetation and soil carbon pools are influenced by climatic factors (Malhi et al., 2002). Therefore, a combination of natural processes and human modification of the carbon cycle results in positive feedback of climatic controls on ecosystem carbon storage (Field et al., 2004). Both soil and vegetation carbon pools and fluxes can be extensively altered by land use changes. Initial land clearing and vegetation removal has obvious and 73 immediate impacts on the standing crop. In addition, through a series of feedbacks including altered inputs of organic material to soil and thus altered nutrients available for future plant growth, the productivity of forests is also influenced by land use/cover change. Quantification of baseline vegetation, soil, and total ecosystem carbon storage of different land use/cover conditions allows for projections of future impacts of land use/cover change on ecosystem function. Urbanization effects on vegetation pools The effects of urbanization on vegetation carbon depend largely on the pre-urban land use and initial carbon storage. For example deforestation reduces NPP and decreases the standing stock of vegetation carbon in urban land conversions (Houghton & Hackler, 1999, Milesi et al., 2003, Tian et al., 2003). Alternatively, when cropland is converted to urban land uses, there will likely be only small changes in the vegetation carbon pool (Houghton, 2002). Grass in residential lawns and public parks can maintain a substantial pool of carbon, although when compared to soil carbon or carbon stored in trees and shrubs, it seems quite small (Jo & McPherson, 1995). Roots are the dominant component of grass carbon storage (Jo & McPherson, 1995). Plantation/agriculture effects on vegetation pools It has been well documented that deforestation lowers productivity and decreases the standing stock of vegetation carbon in conversion to agricultural land use (Houghton & Hackler, 1999, Milesi et al., 2003, Tian et al., 2003). Initial site preparation, including activities such as disking and bedding, reduces the soil carbon pool and may restrain vegetation pools in the future due to alterations in soil physical properties (Turner et al., 74 2005). Additionally, management practices such as prescribed burning promote reduced vegetation pools. Plantation harvesting can have mixed results and may not lead to noticeable changes in vegetation carbon (Johnson, 1992). Florida?s Gulf Coast Similar to much of the Southeastern U. S., the Gulf Coast of Florida has been widely influenced by forest utilization. The Florida Panhandle has been involved in the forest products industry since colonial times (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). In the 1920s and 1930s, the St. Joe Company, the largest private landowner in the Florida Panhandle, purchased the majority of their land to be used in silviculture (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). However, in the last decade, following changes in management and company objectives, the St. Joe Company has transitioned into a major developer of the region (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). The future of the Florida Panhandle will undoubtedly be shaped both economically and ecologically by the decisions of the St. Joe Company. Florida?s Gulf Coast presents a fitting study site for examining vegetation and soil carbon storage in natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban lawns, urban forests, and forested wetlands (Figure 1). By summing the pools of soil and vegetation, the total carbon storage of each land use/cover type was calculated. Coupled with a remote sensing analysis of land use/cover, the mean total carbon content of each land use/cover type was applied on an area basis to create an overall estimate of carbon storage for the coastal section. This can be utilized as a baseline analysis to predict future changes in carbon storage in response to changes in land use/cover. 75 Methods Field Sampling The study site is a section of the Florida Gulf Coast including the towns of Apalachicola (29?43?31?N, 84?59?33?W), Eastpoint (29?44?30?N, 84?52?37?W), and Carrabelle (29?51?14?N, 84?39?57?W) chosen for its potential for development and encompassment of desired land use/cover classes. The climate of this region is humid subtropical and has an average annual rainfall of about 1450 mm (NCDC, 2008). Apalachicola is about 4 m above sea level (NCDC, 2008). In general, soils are sandy with adequate drainage (NCDC, 2008). Slash pine (Pinus elliottii), sand pine (Pinus clausa), live oak (Quercus virginiana), water tupelo (Nyssa aquatica), and titi (Cyrilla racemiflora) are among the prominent overstory species. Vegetation and soil samples were collected for each land use/cover type on a total of 61 circular plots (7.32m radius according to Forest Inventory & Analysis (FIA) Phase 3 plot standards) (Figure 2). All plots were established and samples collected between October 2007 and July 2008. Selected plots were in the local land use/cover categories of natural pine forest, pine plantation, urban lawn, urban forest, or forested wetland as determined in the field (Figure 3). Carbon storage in barren lands such as sand dunes is negligible so this land cover type was excluded from sampling. Several approaches were used to meet the study objectives. First, a baseline analysis of natural pine forests, pine plantations, urban lawns, urban forests, and forested wetlands was used to create an estimate of total carbon storage for this section of the coast. Additionally, a paired approach was used to compare natural pine forests to pine 76 plantations and urban lawns to urban forests. Paired plots were selected based on factors such as dominant overstory species (for natural pine forest and plantation), soil morphological characteristics, and topography. These paired comparisons aimed to quantify the effects on carbon storage of plantation establishment and examine variation within urban land uses. Lastly, a separate analysis excluding forested wetlands designed to determine the effects of urbanization in land uses with better drained soils. Vegetation carbon was estimated for over-, mid-, and understory. Overstory was categorized as anything taller than 4.88 m, midstory was 1.83-4.88 m, and understory was 0-1.83 m. These thresholds were chosen based on the Forest Inventory and Analysis Phase 3 protocol for vegetation sampling. For the overstory, every tree ? 12.7 cm diameter at breast height (dbh) was cored. In cases where more than six trees of the same species (and approximately same size) existed within the plot boundary, a minimum of 5 trees was cored and the average growth from the 5 trees was used as an estimate of any additional trees of the same species in the plot. Increment growth for the last five years was measured by Dr. Tom Doyle of the USGS National Wetlands Research Center in Lafayette, LA. Species-specific dry weight equations were used to estimate the standing crop and productivity from the tree core data. When species-specific equations were not available, general equations for plant groups were used. A list of the equations used and their sources is provided in Table 1. Carbon content was calculated as 50% of the biomass (Fried & Zhou, 2008). Midstory trees were tallied and dbh was recorded to estimate the standing crop using allometric equations, similar to calculations of the overstory. Table 2 lists the equations used to estimate midstory biomass. In some cases, 77 these vary from the overstory equations because of differences in applicable dbh ranges associated with the equations. In the same manner as the overstory, carbon content was calculated as 50% of the biomass. One 1m 2 subplot per plot was used to estimate understory carbon pools on a subsample of a minimum of 35% of plots within each land use/cover category. Urban lawn plots instead used three 0.1m 2 subplots and 100% of all plots were sampled. All living vegetation less than 1.83 m tall was clipped to the ground, dried at 70?C for at least 72 hours, and weighed. A subsample was ground for C and N analysis using thermal combustion (Perkin-Elmer 2400 series II CHNS/O analyzer; Perkin-Elmer Corp., Norwalk, CT.) as outlined in Nelson and Sommers, 1996 to measure the concentration of carbon (mg/kg). Carbon concentration was used to calculate carbon content of the sample. Percent cover was recorded for every plot and categorized into groups based on the distribution of percent cover. Each un-sampled plot was assigned the group average understory carbon content based on the plot?s percent cover. Remote Sensing Digital orthoimagery quarter quadrangles (DOQQs) with 1m spatial resolution were used to produce a classification of land use/cover for a band along the coast (and ~10 km inland) from roughly 85?18?18? W to 84?31?28? W (Figure 1). April 2004 color infrared (CIR) images were obtained from the Land Boundary Information System at http://data.labins.org/2003/index.cfm (last accessed May 2008). The classification scheme used for the land use/cover was selected to capture all dominant classes for the study area. Classes included water, natural forest, bare ground, urban built-up, urban 78 vegetation (including both lawns and forest), non-forested wetland, forested wetland, and plantation. To produce the land cover dataset multiple geographic information system (GIS) methods were utilized. An initial unsupervised classification using an ISODATA algorithm was performed with 50 classes to distinguish water, forest, and barren land. The boundaries of urban areas were modified from data delimiting the city boundaries obtained from the Florida Geographic Data Library (http://www.fgdl.org/) for Apalachicola, Carrabelle, Eastpoint, and Port St. Joe. These areas were subset from the original images and a separate unsupervised classification with 50 classes was performed on these urban areas. This separate classification distinguished urban built up areas from urban vegetation (including urban forest and urban lawns) and barren land. GIS layers for roads were obtained from the FGDL and were given a 4 m buffer, converted to raster, and then overlaid with the classified images as built-up areas. Heads-up digitizing was used to separate natural forests from pine plantations in the initial forest class done with ISODATA algorithm. Plantations were digitized from the DOQQs based on the considerations of color, texture, pattern, and parcel shape. Only areas that had harvest potential were considered plantations; areas that had already been harvested were considered barren land. A GIS layer for wetlands was obtained from the Wetlands Mapper of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service at http://wetlandsfws.er.usgs.gov/wtlnds/launch.html. The freshwater emergent and marine estuarine wetlands categories were extracted and classified as non-forested wetlands. Forested wetlands were distinguished by extracting the pixels of forest from the initial 79 50-class unsupervised classification and then masking these with the wetlands of the forested/shrub category from the Fish and Wildlife data. Vector data of plantations and non-forested wetlands were converted to raster and were overlaid with the two unsupervised classifications and forested wetlands in a GIS to create the combined classification. Finally, a low-pass spatial filter was run on the classified image to diminish noise and ideally improve accuracy Statistical Analyses of Vegetation Data All statistical analyses were done in SAS version 9.1 (SAS Institute 2002-2003). Analysis of variance (ANOVA) (proc glm with Tukey?s HSD) was used to determine significant differences in carbon storage among the land use/cover types. Linear regression was used to determine the relationship between the covariates (soil characteristics, vegetation species richness, and land use/cover within a 1 km buffer around the plot) and the biomass or productivity. Comparisons of paired plots (urban lawn vs. urban forest and natural pine forest vs. pine plantation) were done with paired t- tests (proc ttest). Finally, an analysis was done to quantify the effects of urbanization on carbon storage. For this, another ANOVA (proc glm with Tukey?s HSD) compared natural forests and plantations (representing pre-urban states) to urban lawns and urban forests (representing post-urban states). Forested wetlands were not included in this analysis because they tend to be on poorly drained soils and thus are not ideal for conversion to urban land uses. Relationships were considered significant at p < 0.05 and results of p < 0.10 are also presented for informational purposes. 80 Results and Discussion Regression was used to examine relationships between hypothesized explanatory variables and response variables (biomass of different vegetation pools and productivity). Regression results are displayed in Table 3 and will be discussed in reference to each relative vegetation pool. Additionally, some general vegetation statistics were calculated by plot and analyzed by land use/cover. Results from these ANOVA tests are presented in Table 4 and significant results will be discussed below. Overstory Biomass and Carbon Content Table 5 presents the mean overstory biomass, carbon content, and productivity by land use/cover type. Mean overstory biomass and carbon content were significantly higher (p=0.03 for both biomass and content) in urban forests than in plantations (Table 5 and Figures 4 and 5). Overstory biomass values are comparable to Gholz & Fisher, 1982 for natural and planted slash-pine dominated forests. Forested wetlands had a significantly higher average number of trees per plot than urban lawns, as well as a significantly greater number of hardwood trees per plot than all other land use/cover types, but this did not translate into a significant difference in biomass or carbon content (Table 4). Hardwoods can store more carbon than pines (Sohngen & Brown, 2006). However, the average tree size of forested wetland plots was significantly smaller than that of the urban lawns (Table 4). Urban lawns and urban forests tended to have the largest trees and presumably oldest stands, although tree size is also a factor of the growth rate of the species (Table 4). 81 Overstory biomass had a significant regression relationship with overstory species richness and soil permeability (Table 3). The relationship between species richness and biomass/carbon will be explained further in the productivity section below. Soil permeability may influence biomass by allowing more nutrients in solution to make their way to the plant roots in more permeable soils. Fire, common in both natural forests and plantations (see previous chapter: Effects of Land Use/Cover on Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Pools), reduces biomass in the understory and may also alter nutrient allocation to plants of other vegetation strata. With less recent fire, overstory biomass increased to greater levels in urban forests (Table 4). It is likely that a combination of younger aged stands and frequent burning contributed to reduced biomass in pine plantations and to a lesser extent natural forests. Overstory Productivity Overstory productivity generally matched the patterns of biomass and carbon content (Table 5). Productivity was highest in urban forests, but there were no significant differences (p=0.11) between land use/cover groups (Figure 6). The productivity values are lower than those found in Gholz and Fisher 1982 for slash pine plantations and Messina and Conner 1998 for forested wetlands. However, in order to make a direct comparison to this study, the age of the trees must be determined because productivity is related to tree age. Productivity and species richness had the strongest relationship of any of the variables tested (Table 3). Forested wetlands and urban forests had significantly higher mean species richness than pine plantations (Table 4). 82 Species richness and productivity are two common indices of biodiversity and ecosystem function. A plethora of studies have examined this relationship with both species richness and productivity acting as the explanatory variable (Hooper et al., 2005, Waide 1999). In general, there is a positive correlation between species richness and productivity (Hooper et al., 2005, Loreau et al., 2001, Fargione et al., 2007, Lavers & Field, 2006, Waide, 1999), although this can show somewhat of a bell-shaped curve, experiencing saturation at higher levels (Catovsky et al., 2002, Kadmon & Benjamini, 2006). Lavers and Field 2006 caution that this may not be a causal relationship. Some of the variation in diversity-ecosystem function studies stems from the fact that the measure of species richness does not account for characteristics such as the identity and functional role of the species present. Alternatively, the number of functional types, or groups of species with similar impacts on ecosystem processes, can be used as an indicator instead of species richness. However, this measure still does not capture important identity effects of species diversity (Schwartz et al., 2000) while assuming that all species within a group function equivalently (Lyons& Schwartz, 2001). As an example, total aboveground productivity may not be impacted by decreased biodiversity in the short-term because dominant species may be able to compensate for the loss of subordinate species (Smith & Knapp, 2003). However, the long-term effects of the loss of subordinate species might have important impacts on ecosystem resilience (Smith & Knapp, 2003). As a facet of species identity, the role of nitrogen-fixing species may also be important for this study. Nitrogen-fixing plants may be used in silviculture to increase 83 available nitrogen to crop trees with the intention of enhancing growth (Fisher & Binkley, 2000). Productivity and biomass may be increased in the presence of nitrogen-fixing species due to increased nitrogen availability (Fisher & Binkley, 2000). Despite the high abundance of wax myrtle in plantations, productivity and biomass of pine plantations in these plots were low (Tables 4 and 5). Basal area, a function of both the number of trees and their relative sizes, is used to determine the percent stocking of a plot. Forested wetlands had the highest basal area of all land uses/covers, followed by urban forests (Table 4). On average, plantations, natural forests, and urban lawns were less well stocked. While productivity is affected by many other factors such as tree species and age, the less stocked plantations would be expected to have lower productivity than well stocked land uses such as urban forests and forested wetlands (Tables 4 and 5). Average productivity of all land use/cover types for the last five years is presented in Table 6 with year 1 representing the most recent year of growth. Productivity decreased over the last 5 years for all land use/covers, but not significantly (Table 6). Productivity varies with age; in general, it increases up to a certain point and then declines after passing a threshold of maximum growth (Gholz & Fisher, 1982). In general, trees in urban land uses were older than trees in the other land uses/covers so it is difficult to discern the relationship between productivity and age. Changes in productivity over time may also be a factor of annual climatic variability. Warm and wet climate types generally have the highest productivity. High temperatures stimulate nutrient mineralization which stimulates productivity. High 84 precipitation ensures sufficient water for plant growth and respiration. According to data from the Florida Climate Center (http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/climate_center/), Apalachicola did have higher precipitation in 2003 (year 5) than more recent years, but whether or not this is responsible for the higher productivity is unclear. Midstory Biomass and Carbon Content Midstory biomass and carbon content displayed the following pattern: natural pine forest > plantation > urban forest > forested wetland > urban lawn (Table 7). Mean midstory biomass and carbon content were significantly higher (both p=0.01) in natural forests and plantations than in urban lawns (Table 7 and Figures 7 and 8). The low values for urban lawn midstory biomass and carbon content are not surprising. Urban lawns did not have a developed midstory stratum; generally plots consisted of a grass understory with a few large trees (Table 4). The fire regime (whether unmanaged or managed) in natural and planted pine forests may have helped facilitate the development of the midstory stratum in these land use types. Similar to the overstory, the midstory biomass had a significant relationship with the midstory species richness and may be a factor of complementarity among species and individuals of this vegetation pool (Table 3). A diverse assemblage of midstory species could increase nutrient use efficiency between species. Whether or not this is a causal relationship remains to be determined. Understory Biomass and Carbon Content Mean understory biomass (g/m 2 ), carbon content (g/m 2 ), and nitrogen content (g/m 2 ), are presented in Table 8 and Figures 9-11 respectively. Urban lawns had significantly higher understory biomass (p<0.0001) and nitrogen content (p<0.0001) than 85 plantations, urban forests, or forested wetlands (Table 8 and Figures 9 and 11). Urban lawns also had higher carbon content (p<0.0001) than urban forests or forested wetlands (Table 8 and Figure 10). Additionally, natural forests had significantly higher understory carbon content than forested wetlands (Table 8 and Figure 10). Understory biomass had a significant but negative relationship with overstory species richness, midstory species richness, and overstory + midstory species richness (Table 3). In urban lawns, understory growth may be facilitated by increased access to sunlight, which is a result of typical manicuring processes that favor an open canopy. The understory percent cover of urban lawns is not the highest (Table 4) because this measure is a function of height and grass only occupies a small portion of the 1.83 m included in the understory. However, the consistent, dense coverage of grass in urban understories produces a considerable biomass pool. Grass is also known to substantially contribute to carbon storage (Jo & McPherson, 1995), so it is not surprising that urban plots have the highest understory carbon content (Table 8 and Figure 10) of all land use/cover types. Higher nitrogen content in understory vegetation of urban plots (Table 8 and Figure 11) may be due to fertilizer application (which typically includes three macronutrients: nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium) to enhance residential and public lawns (Cheng et al., 2008). Natural pine forests, pine plantations, and a few urban forests had a unique understory composition with abundant Serenoa repens, or saw palmetto (Figure 12). Table 9 presents the understory (0-1.83 m) percent cover of saw palmetto by land use/cover type. Natural pine forests had significantly greater (p=0.01) percent cover of 86 saw palmetto than urban lawns or forested wetlands (Table 9). The presence of saw palmetto in the understory is a contributing factor to the relatively high biomass and carbon content of natural pine forests and plantations (Table 8). Similar to urban lawns, the open canopy of plantations (as compared to the mostly closed canopies of urban forests and forested wetlands) allows more light to reach the forest floor and thus promotes understory growth. Serenoa repens is very flammable because of its stand dead biomass (Behm et al., 2004), but it may also be quick to establish post-fire, which helps explain its presence in plantations and natural pine forests. The understory biomass estimates presented here are higher than those in Gholz & Fisher 1982 for similar slash pine/saw palmetto sites. Some of the other species that comprised a substantial part of the understory percent cover estimate and may be contributing to the higher biomass and carbon content in this study include: Ilex glabra, Quercus chapmanii, Lyonia ferruginea, Quercus geminata, Cliftonia monophylla, Cyrilla racemiflora, Lyonia lucida, and Quercus myrtifolia. Total Carbon Content of All Vegetation Pools Overstory, midstory, and understory carbon content of each plot was summed and then averaged within each land use/cover class. Table 10 presents the mean total vegetation carbon content by land use/cover. Urban forests had significantly higher (p=0.06) total vegetation carbon content than plantations (Table 10 and Figure 13). No other significant differences in total vegetation carbon were found between land use/cover groups. Similar to overstory biomass, total vegetation biomass was significantly related to overstory species richness (Table 3). Plantations had 87 predominately either slash or sand pine overstories. Also, hardwoods generally store more carbon than pines (Songhen & Brown, 2006) and the lowest average number of hardwoods per plot was found in plantations (Table 4). No evidence of fire was observed in urban areas in the recent past. As a result, urban forests had a diverse assemblage of older, large overstory trees (Table 4), which greatly contributed to the total vegetation biomass and carbon content. Therefore, plantations which can be limited in species to a single dominant pine and are subjected to prescribed burning are at a disadvantage in terms of total vegetation carbon storage. Young slash and sand pine trees in plantations store less carbon than the vegetation of the other land uses/covers. Paired Approach Paired plots were used to further examine the impacts of land use/cover by reducing site differences such as soil variation. Plots on similar soil series were compared for plantations vs. natural pine forests and urban (lawns) vs. urban forests. This approach examined the effects of plantation establishment and estimated the variation within urban ecosystems. Plantation vs. natural forest paired t-tests present some interesting results. There was no significant difference between carbon content of natural forests and plantations in the overstory (p=0.15), midstory (p=0.78), or understory (p=0.30) (Table 11). However, the overstory ANPP of natural forests was significantly higher (p=0.05) than the ANPP of plantations on paired plots (Table 12). The mean total vegetation carbon content was also numerically higher (p=0.09) in natural forests than plantations (Table 11). 88 Plantations were expected to have smaller pools of carbon than natural forests due to initial site disturbance including vegetation removal, bedding, and management regimes such as prescribed burning in accordance with Houghton & Hackler, 1999, Milesi et al., 2003, Tian et al., 2003, and Turner et al., 2005. Numerically, these patterns held true for all vegetation pools, but a significant difference was found only for productivity (Tables 11 and 12). As previously mentioned, the higher carbon in natural forests than plantations could be related to greater species richness including some hardwoods in the former (Tables 3 and 4). Urban lawn vs. urban forest paired comparisons also showed differences. There was no significant difference (p=0.31) in overstory carbon content in urban forest and urban plots (Table 11). The midstory of urban forests had significantly (p=0.0007) higher mean carbon content than urban lawns (Table 11). Urban forests had a more diverse vertical structure than their paired urban lawn plots which included a developed midstory stratum in the former. However, urban lawns had significantly higher (p=0.04) understory carbon content than urban forests (Table 11) and as previously noted, this is likely a function of a high percent cover of grass (Table 4). Although small in comparison to the magnitude of the total vegetation pool, the ability of grass to store carbon is particularly noteworthy when examining the understory pool (Jo & McPherson, 1995). No significant differences (p=0.39) in overstory ANPP were found for urban vs. urban forest paired plots (Table 12). Both urban lawn and urban forest plots tended towards a small number of large trees per plot which included some hardwoods (Table 4). Urban lawn vs. urban forest paired plots showed no significant difference (p=0.24) in 89 mean total vegetation carbon content (Table 11). The absence of fire in urban areas promotes similar vegetation carbon pools in both lawns and forests despite structural differences. Urbanization Effects on Vegetation Carbon A separate ANOVA which included natural pine forest, pine plantation, urban lawn, and urban forest was used to quantify the impacts of urbanization on vegetation carbon storage. As previously noted, forested wetlands were excluded from this analysis because development typically occurs on better drained sites. Results were similar to those of the ANOVA with all land use/cover categories. Overstory biomass and carbon content were significantly higher (both p= 0.01) in urban forests than in plantations (Table 13). Trees in urban forests were older and larger than trees in pine plantations and thus the biomass and carbon storage were higher (7.33 cm mean dbh for plantations compared to 12.48 cm mean dbh for urban forests). Mean midstory biomass and carbon content were significantly higher (both p=0.01) in natural forests and plantations than in urban lawns (Table 13). Urban lawns generally did not have a midstory stratum. Conversely natural pine forests and plantations have a developed midstory stratum and thus maintain a substantial carbon pool here. Mean understory biomass, carbon content, and nitrogen content were significantly higher (p=0.01, 0.03, and 0.0013 respectively) in urban lawns than urban forests (Table 13). The presence of grass and its associated fertilization in urban lawns may be the principle factors in maintaining large understory biomass, carbon, and nitrogen pools (Jo & McPherson, 1995, Cheng et al., 2008). Urban lawns also had significantly higher understory biomass and nitrogen content than 90 plantations (p=0.0015 and p=0.0013 respectively) (Table 13). Prescribed fires in plantations may be responsible for reduced biomass and depleted nutrient pools in the understory and overstory. Total vegetation biomass and carbon content were significantly higher (p=0.02 and 0.03 respectively) in urban forests than in plantations (Table 13). Reduced vegetation pools were predicted in urban areas on account of initial vegetation clearing. However, the trees that remain in the patches of urban forest contain large stocks of biomass and carbon that now exceed those in plantations and natural pine forests. Similarly, urban lawns are able to maintain large pools of vegetation carbon in the trees left onsite or regenerated after the initial clearing along with a substantial pool in the grass. Additionally, species identity and community composition can play a large role in nutrient cycling and productivity. Lower species richness and frequent fires may be responsible for reduced vegetation carbon pools in plantations and natural forests. Ecosystem Carbon Storage: Soils + Vegetation Results for total carbon storage (soils + vegetation) by land use/cover type can be found in Table 14 and Figure 14. Soils data are from the previous chapter: Effects of Land Use/Cover on Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Pools. Forested wetlands had significantly higher (p<0.0001) carbon storage than all other land uses due to organic soils (Table 14 and Figure 14). The numerical ranking for total ecosystem carbon storage is as follows: forested wetlands > urban forests > urban lawns > natural pine forests > plantations (Table 14). Natural forests and plantations were very close in terms of their total ecosystem carbon storage. No obvious spatial patterns of carbon storage related to 91 distance from the coast or gradients of carbon density (for example, high carbon storage in the east and low carbon storage in the west) were observed (Figure 15). Rather, the carbon storage of each plot appears to be more influenced by land use and other environmental differences among plots. Plantation establishment is promoted as a method of reducing carbon emissions. For example, the conversion of cropland to plantations sequesters carbon because trees store greater vegetation carbon (and resultantly soil carbon) than crop systems. However, conversion of natural forests, especially hardwood forests, to plantations can lead to increased carbon emissions from the system (Sohngen & Brown 2006). Climatic, soil, and vegetation characteristics influence the results of plantation establishment and should be evaluated on a case-by-case basis. Along the Florida Gulf Coast, plantations stored less carbon than all other land uses and should not be recommended as a mechanism for enhanced carbon sequestration. In this particular location, natural forests as well as urban land uses were more effective at storing carbon. The importance of protecting forested wetlands cannot be overstated. They perform critical ecosystem functions including climate regulation by storing carbon (Schlesinger, 1991) and filtration of nutrients and pollutants (Cavalcanti & Lockaby, 2006). Increased infrastructural needs and development of the Florida Gulf Coast account for some losses of wetlands (Ziewitz & Wiaz, 2004). Enforcement and continuation of wetland protection should be a priority for all levels of government. 92 Remote Sensing Results An important component of this study was the production of a land use/cover map of the region of interest in the Florida Gulf Coast. The final classified image is presented in Figure 16. An accuracy assessment involving a combination of ground truthing and visual inspection of the raw image, calculated 81.97% accuracy for the classified image. Statistics on the area that each land use/cover type occupies are presented in Table 15. Plantations and forested wetlands are the most widespread land use/covers, representing about 32 and 31% respectively. Urban areas (all urban built-up areas plus all vegetated areas (lawns, forests)) total < 7% of the land area. This is roughly equal to the percent of land covered by natural pine forests. Carbon Storage Estimate for Gulf Coast Also included in Table 15 is the total carbon storage for the section of the Gulf Coast, broken down by land use/cover type. This value was derived by multiplying the mean carbon content (on an area basis) for each land use/cover by the area that the land uses/cover represents in the region of interest. The total carbon storage 0.03 PgC is an impressive figure for such a small area and is likely underestimated due to fact that the carbon content of non-forested wetlands and built-up areas is not represented in this value. To put this in perspective, all forests of the U.S. are estimated to store a total of 41.52 PgC (this estimate includes aboveground and belowground biomass, deadwood, litter, and soil organic carbon) (U.S. EPA, 2007). 93 Projections of Land Use Change and Estimates for Future Carbon Storage Wear and Greis (2002) predict a decrease of 3.69 % of forest cover from 1992- 2020 for the Florida Coastal Lowlands (Western) region. For Franklin County specifically, they predict between -0.5 and 0.5 percent change in forested and urban areas from 1992 to 2020. These are coarse estimates of land use change, but can be useful for estimating the corresponding changes in carbon storage. It should be noted that although these estimates of land use change may seem trivial, due to the fact that much of Franklin County is public land (including Tate?s Hell State Forest and Apalachicola National Forest), the remaining areas (primarily the privately-owned land along the coast) will undergo much greater changes in land use in coming years. A 0.5% decrease of forested land (including forested wetlands, natural pine forest, and plantation) in the section of interest would correspond to a loss of 133,858 Mg C. A 0.5% increase of urban land (including built-up, urban lawn, and urban forest) would lead to an increase of 2018 Mg C. Urban built-up areas are currently assumed to store zero carbon for this estimate; for example the carbon stored in the soils beneath buildings and roads is not accounted for. Therefore, this increase in carbon due to the growth of urban areas may be underestimated. However, this may be negated because soil carbon lost in excavation for construction was not accounted for in this study. The net change in carbon corresponding to a 0.5% decrease of forests and a 0.5% increase of urban areas would be a loss of 131,839 Mg C. This calculated loss of carbon may not noticeably impact ecosystem function at the local scale; however, the estimates for all of the Southern U.S. are a bit more daunting. For example, the estimated area of forest loss (corresponding to 94 a 0.5% decrease in forest area) in this study area represents only 0.0028% of the predicted forest losses for all of the Southern U.S.by the year 2040 in Wear 2002. If natural pine forests and plantations are converted to urban land uses to a greater extent than forested wetlands, the carbon losses would be considerably smaller. For example, if the 0.5% loss of forests came solely from natural pine forests and plantations, the loss of carbon would be 12,153 Mg C. With the same 0.5% increase in urban areas as above (leading to an increase of 2018 Mg C) the net change in carbon would be a loss of 10,138 Mg C. Therefore, more detailed land use change projections, especially those that address the fate of forested wetlands, would clarify the estimates of future carbon storage changes. Future Work This study could be enhanced by distinguishing urban lawns from urban forests in the land use/cover classification. To this effect, GIS zoning data could be used to examine individual parcels and determine whether they are primarily lawn or forest. This would allow for a more direct expansion from the plot-level averages to the whole section of interest, or even further to the regional scale. As previously stated, more fine-scale estimates of future land use change would be useful to accurately estimate corresponding changes in carbon storage. The current county-level projections do not capture the spatial variation of land use/cover changes occurring within Franklin County. Use of fine-scale historical and current land use/cover data could be used to predict future changes in both land use/cover and carbon storage. Incorporating ecosystem models with validation data from a field-based study can be 95 particularly powerful. Although field studies are necessary for model calibration, rarely are the two conducted in the same experiment. Ecosystem models can also examine the interactions between climate change, land use change, and carbon storage. Although general conclusions have been drawn regarding climate and carbon processes, the interactive effects of climate change and land use change on these processes remain uncertain. In general, there is somewhat of an inverse relationship between NPP and soil carbon storage. NPP decreases with increasing latitude, whereas soil carbon increases with increasing latitude. NPP and rates of decomposition are greatest in warm, wet conditions, but carbon storage is greatest in cold, wet conditions. Maximum carbon storage can be achieved under conditions of moderate to high productivity and slow to moderate decomposition. The effects of land use change on climate and the resulting impacts on ecosystem processes such as productivity and decomposition should be explored. Data including temperature, precipitation, and decomposition rates would be a useful addition to this study to explore the interactions between ecosystem processes, land use, climate, and carbon storage. Conclusions Vegetation carbon storage is unique to each land use/cover class and varies by pool (overstory, midstory, understory). Urban forests had significantly higher overstory biomass and carbon content than plantations. Urban forests also had the highest productivity rates, although these were not significantly different from other land use classes. Midstory biomass and carbon content were significantly higher in natural pine forests and plantations than urban lawns. Urban lawns, however, had significantly higher 96 understory biomass, carbon content, and nitrogen content than urban forests and forested wetlands. Because the overstory represents the largest pool, urban forests had the highest total vegetation carbon storage of the land use/cover types. The total vegetation carbon of urban forests was significantly higher than plantations. However, the total ecosystem carbon (vegetation + soil) of forested wetlands is significantly higher than all other land use/cover classes due to the high organic content of wetland soils. Land use change predictions through the year 2020 for Franklin County suggest that declines in carbon storage are possible due to the loss of forests (especially if these losses include forested wetlands) and the growth of urban land uses. 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Figure 1: Location of Study Site: Apalachicola, Florida Figure 2: Distribution of plots along coast 101 (a) natural pine forest (b) pine plantation (c) urban lawn (d) urban forest (e) forested wetland Figure 3: Example plots: (a) natural forest, (b) plantation, (c) urban, (d) urban forest, (e) forested wetland. 102 Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e an O v er s t or y B i om as s ( g/ m 2 ) 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 a b ab ab ab Figure 4: Mean overstory biomass (g/m 2 ) Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ea n O v er s t o r y C ar bo n C ont en t ( g / m 2 ) 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 a b ab ab ab Figure 5: Mean overstory carbon content (g/m 2 ) 103 Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e a n O v e r s t o r y AN PP ( g / m 2 /y r ) 0 100 200 300 400 500 a a a a a Figure 6: Mean overstory ANPP (g/m 2 /yr) Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest Me a n Mi d s t o r y B i o ma s s ( g / m 2 ) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 ab a a ab b Figure 7: Mean midstory biomass (g/m 2 ) 104 Land Use/ Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ean M i ds t or y C a r bon C o nt en t ( g/ m 2 ) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 a a b ab ab Figure 8: Mean midstory carbon content (g/m 2 ) Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M ea n U n der s t or y B i om a s s ( g/ m 2 ) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 a ab b b b Figure 9: Mean understory biomass (g/m 2 ) 105 Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e a n U n d e rs t o ry C a rb o n C o n t e n t (g / m 2 ) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 b ac abc a bc Figure 10: Mean understory carbon content (g/m 2 ) Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest M e an U nde r s t or y N i t r og en C o nt en t ( g/ m ) 0 5 10 15 20 25 b ab b a b Figure 11: Mean understory nitrogen content (g/m 2 ) 106 Figure 12: Pine plantation with extensive cover of Serenoa repens Land Use/Cover forested wetland natural forest plantation urban urban forest T ot al V eget at i on C ar bon C ont ent ( g/ m 2 ) 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 a b ab ab ab Figure 13: Mean total vegetation carbon content (g/m 2 ) 107 Figure 14: Relative carbon content by pool (kg/m 2 ); the size of the circle is indicative of the carbon content of the plot with larger circles representing greater carbon storage Figure 15: Spatial display of plot carbon storage totals (soils + veg); land uses are represented with different colors; the size of the circle is indicative of the carbon content of the plot with larger circles representing greater carbon storage 108 Figure 16: Classified Image 109 110 110 Table 1: Overstory equations to estim ate dry weight S p e c i e s S p e c i e s / G r o u p o f E q u a t i o n C o m p o n e n t S o u r c e E q u a t i o n U n i t s f o r d r y w e i g h t , d b h , h e i g h t ( i f applicable ) S l a s h P i n e L o b l o l l y W h o l e t r e e ( A b o v e - s t u m p ) V an L e a r e t a l . 1 9 8 4 l o g 1 0 ( b m ) = - 1 . 1 5 7 5 + 2 . 5 6 4 1 * l o g 1 0 ( d b h ) k g , c m Sand Pi ne Sand Pi ne Total aboveground b i o m a s s T a r a s 1 9 8 0 ; o u r r e g r e s s i o n l o g 1 0 b m = - 0 . 9 1 8 3 + 0 . 9 7 5 9 3 l o g 1 0 ( d b h ) 2 h ; 6 . 9 7 + ( 7 . 4 7 4 * d b h ) - ( 0 . 3 3 8 5 * d b h 2 ) lb , in, ft L o n g l e a f P i n e P i n e - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 5 3 5 6 + 2 . 4 3 4 9 l n d b h ) k g , c m W a t e r O a k W a t e r O a k W h o l e t r e e ( a b o v e s t u m p ) J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = 3 . 4 7 7 2 4 * ( ( d b h 2 ) ^ 1 . 2 0 4 6 9 ) l b , i n T u r k e y O a k H a r d m a p l e / o a k / h i c k o r y / b e e c h - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 1 2 7 + 2 . 4 3 4 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m L i v e O a k L a u r e l O a k W h o l e t r e e ( A b o v e - s t u m p ) C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 1 8 2 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 1 9 7 5 8 ; o r b m = 9 . 6 8 5 1 5 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 0 . 9 6 5 5 4 l b , i n Sand Li ve O a k L a u r e l O a k W h o l e t r e e ( A b o v e - s t u m p ) C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 1 8 2 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 1 9 7 5 8 ; o r b m = 9 . 6 8 5 1 5 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 0 . 9 6 5 5 4 l b , i n S w e e t g u m S w e e t g u m T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = 1 . 6 7 4 2 2 * ( ( d b h 2 ) ^ 1 . 1 7 6 7 7 ) l b , i n S w e e t b a y , S w a m p b a y M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m S w a m p red b ay M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m S w a m p L a u r e l O a k Swam p Laurel O a k W h o l e t r e e ( A b o v e - s t u m p ) C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 1 8 2 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 1 9 7 5 8 ; o r b m = 9 . 6 8 5 1 5 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 0 . 9 6 5 5 4 l b , i n Pecan Hard m a ple / oak / h i c k o r y / b e e c h - T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 1 2 7 + 2 . 4 3 4 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m 111 111 g e n e r a l E a s t e r n Redceda r E a s t e r n R e d c e d a r T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s N o r r i s 2 0 0 1 l o g ( b m ) = - 0 . 9 1 2 + 2 . 3 2 2 l o g ( d b h ) k g , c m C a r o l i n a C h e r r y M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m G r e e n A s h G r e e n A s h W h o l e t r e e ( a b o v e s t u m p ) J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = 2 . 7 6 5 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) 2 ^ 1 . 1 5 8 4 9 ) l b , i n W a t e r T u p e l o W a t e r T u p e l o W h o l e t r e e ( a b o v e s t u m p ) J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = 1 . 8 8 3 3 5 * ( ( d b h ) 2 ^ 1 . 1 8 8 4 2 ) l b , i n B a l d C y p r e s s C e d a r / l a r c h - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 3 3 6 + 2 . 2 5 9 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m T i t i C h i n e s e P r i v e t T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s B r a n t l e y 2 0 0 8 b m = 0 . 1 2 1 4 ( d b h ^ ( 2 . 4 9 1 9 ) ) k g , c m B u c k w h e a t Tree C h i n e s e P r i v e t T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s B r a n t l e y 2 0 0 8 b m = 0 . 1 2 1 4 ( d b h ^ ( 2 . 4 9 1 9 ) ) k g , c m L a u r e l O a k L a u r e l O a k W h o l e t r e e ( A b o v e - s t u m p ) C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 1 8 2 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 1 9 7 5 8 ; o r b m = 9 . 6 8 5 1 5 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 0 . 9 6 5 5 4 l b , i n P o n d C y p r e s s C ed a r / l ar c h - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 3 3 6 + 2 . 2 5 9 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m R e d M a p l e R e d M a p l e ; S o f t m a p l e / b i r c h - g e n e r a l W h o l e t r e e ( A b o v e - s t u m p ) ; T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 ; J e n k i n s 2 0 0 4 f o r d b h > 1 1 i n b m = 2 . 5 2 3 6 3 * ( d b h ^ 2 ) ^ 1 . 1 9 6 4 8 ; b m = E x p ( - 1 . 9 1 2 3 + 2 . 3 6 5 1 l n d b h ) l b , i n ; k g , c m S w a m p Tupelo M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m S a b a l P a l m S a b a l s p p . T o t a l a b o v e g r o u n d b i o m a s s IPCC re p o rt: D elaney et al., 1999, Brown et a l . , 2 0 0 1 ; g r o w t h r a t e : Z o n a & M a i d m a n , 2 0 0 1 b m = 2 4 . 5 5 9 + 4 . 9 2 1 * h t + 1 . 0 1 7 * ( h t ) 2 ; f r o m S A S r e g r e s s i o n : h t = - 1 . 3 6 4 1 + ( 2 . 0 5 7 4 * d b h ) ; g r o w t h r a t e : 6 c m / y r k g , c m , m ( h e i g h t ) 112 112 Table 2: Midstory equations for dry weight S p e c i e s S p e c i e s / G r o u p o f E q u a t i o n S o u r c e E q u a t i o n U n i t s f o r d r y w e i g h t , d b h , h e i g h t ( i f applicable ) A c e r r u b r u m A c e r r u b r u m C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 2 . 5 2 3 6 3 * ( ( d b h 2 ) ^ 1 . 1 9 6 4 8 ) l b , i n C a r p i n u s s p p . M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m C e r c i s c a n a d e n s i s M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m Cham aecyparis t h y o i d e s C e d a r / l a r c h - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 3 3 6 + 2 . 2 5 9 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m C i n n am o m u m c a m p h o r a C h i n e s e P r i v e t B r a n t l e y 2 0 0 8 b m = 0 . 1 2 1 4 * d b h ^ ( 2 . 4 9 1 9 ) k g , c m C l i f t o n i a m o n o p h y l l a C h i n e s e P r i v e t B r a n t l e y 2 0 0 8 b m = 0 . 1 2 1 4 * d b h ^ ( 2 . 4 9 1 9 ) k g , c m C o r n u s s p p . M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m C y r i l l a r a c i m i f l o r a K a l m i a l a t i f o l i a C h a s t a i n e t a l . 2 0 0 6 b m = ( 1 7 . 2 3 + 3 2 . 1 4 * d b h ) + ( 7 4 . 9 2 + 8 4 2 . 2 7 * d b h ) g , c m F r a x i n u s p e n n s y l v a n i c a F r a x i n u s p e n n s y l v a n i c a C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 2 . 7 6 5 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) 2 ^ 1 . 1 5 8 4 9 ) l b , i n Ilex c o riacea Liqui dam b ar s t yraciflua Cl ark et al. 1985 bm =1.82108( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 2 6 350 lb, in I l e x v o m i t o r i a K al m i a l a t i f o l i a C h a s t a i n e t a l . 2 0 0 6 b m = ( 1 7 . 2 3 + 3 2 . 1 4 * d b h ) + ( 7 4 . 9 2 + 8 4 2 . 2 7 * d b h ) g , c m K a l m i a l a t i f o l i a K a l m i a l a t i f o l i a C h a s t a i n e t a l . 2 0 0 6 b m = ( 1 7 . 2 3 + 3 2 . 1 4 * d b h ) + ( 7 4 . 9 2 + 8 4 2 . 2 7 * d b h ) g , c m L i q u i d a m b a r s t y r a c i f l u a L i q u i d a m b a r s t y r a c i f l u a C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 1 . 8 2 1 0 8 ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 2 6 3 5 0 l b , i n L y o n i a f e r r u g i n e a K a l m i a l a t i f o l i a C h a s t a i n e t a l . 2 0 0 6 b m = ( 1 7 . 2 3 + 3 2 . 1 4 * d b h ) + ( 7 4 . 9 2 + 8 4 2 . 2 7 * d b h ) g , c m M a g n o l i a g r a n d i f l o r a M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m M a g n o l i a v i r g i n i a n a M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m Melia azadara ch Mixed hardwood-g ene r al Jenkins et al. 2004 bm =Exp( -2.48 + 2.4835 l n dbh) kg, cm M o r e l l a c e r i f e r a K a l m i a l a t i f o l i a C h a s t a i n e t a l . 2 0 0 6 b m = ( 1 7 . 2 3 + 3 2 . 1 4 * d b h ) + ( 7 4 . 9 2 + 8 4 2 . 2 7 * d b h ) g , c m N y s s a a q u a t i c a N y s s a a q u a t i c a C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 1 . 8 4 1 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) 2 ^ 1 . 1 8 9 7 6 ) l b , i n Nyssa sylvatica va r. biflora M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m P e r s e a p a l u s t r u s M i x e d h a r d w o o d - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 4 8 + 2 . 4 8 3 5 l n d b h ) k g , c m P i n u s c l a u s a P i n e - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 5 3 5 6 + 2 . 4 3 4 9 l n d b h ) k g , c m P i n u s e l l i o t t i i P i n u s t a e d a V a n L e a r e t a l . 1 9 8 4 l o g 1 0 ( b m ) = - 1 . 1 5 7 5 + 2 . 5 6 4 1 * l o g 1 0 ( d b h ) k g , c m Prunus car oliniana Prunus spp. S m i t h & B r a n d 1 9 8 3 b m = 6 8 . 0 4 1 * ( d b h ) 2.237 g , c m Q u e r c u s g e m i n a t a Q u e r c u s l a u r i f o l i a C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 1 8 2 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 1 9 7 5 8 l b , i n Q u e r c u s l a u r i f o l i a Q u e r c u s l a u r i f o l i a C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 1 8 2 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 1 9 7 5 8 l b , i n Q u e r c u s m y r t i f o l i a H a r d J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 1 2 7 + 2 . 4 3 4 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m 113 113 m ap l e / o a k / h i c k o r y / b e e c h - g e n e r a l Q u e r c u s n i g r a Q u e r c u s n i g r a C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 4 7 7 2 4 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 2 0 4 6 9 l b , i n Q u e r c u s v i r g i n i a n a Q u e r c u s l a u r i f o l i a C l a r k e t a l . 1 9 8 5 b m = 3 . 1 8 2 8 3 * ( ( d b h ) ^ 2 ) 1 . 1 9 7 5 8 l b , i n T a x o d i u m d i s t i ch u m C ed a r / l ar c h - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 3 3 6 + 2 . 2 5 9 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m T a x o d i u m d i s t i c h u m v a r . n u t a n s C e d a r / l a r c h - g e n e r a l J e n k i n s e t a l . 2 0 0 4 b m = E x p ( - 2 . 0 3 3 6 + 2 . 2 5 9 2 l n d b h ) k g , c m 114 114 Table 3: Regression results of explanatory variables with biom ass (overstory, m i ds tory, understory, and total) and ANPP. * denotes significance at . =0.05 and ** denotes significance at . =0.01. O v e r s t o r y b i o m a s s M i d s t o r y b i o m a s s U n d e r s t o r y b i o m a s s T o t al b i o m a s s O v e r s t o r y A N P P r p - v a l u e 2 r 2 p - v a l u e r 2 p - v a l u e r 2 p - v a l u e r 2 p - v a l u e P e r c e n t u r b a n 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 8 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 6 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 3 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 9 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 8 P e r c e n t u r b a n + u r b a n f o r e s t 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 9 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 0 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 2 0 . 0 5 0 . 1 0 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 8 P e r c e n t t o t al f o r e s t 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 5 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 4 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 4 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 6 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 2 Perce n t f o reste d w e t l a n d 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 7 0 . 0 5 0 . 1 0 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 8 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 4 0 . 0 0 0 . 5 9 O v e r s t o r y s p e c i e s richness 0 . 1 5 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 8 6 0 . 1 1 * * 0 . 0 1 0 . 1 4 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 2 3 * * 0 . 0 0 Midstory s p eci es richness 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 9 0 . 0 8 * 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 0 * 0 . 0 1 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 2 0 . 0 2 0 . 2 8 O v e r s t o r y + m i d s t o r y s p e c i e s richness 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 3 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 8 0 . 1 4 * * 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 3 0 . 0 9 * 0 . 0 2 W a t e r t a b l e ( f t ) 0 . 0 3 0 . 1 7 0 . 0 0 0 . 6 7 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 1 0 . 0 3 0 . 2 0 0 . 0 1 0 . 5 0 B u l k d e n si t y ( g / c m 3 ) 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 9 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 1 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 9 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 2 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 2 P e r m e a b i l i t y ( i n / h r ) 0 . 0 6 * 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 7 0 . 0 0 0 . 9 9 0 . 0 5 0 . 0 8 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 5 p H 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 9 0 . 0 4 0 . 1 1 0 . 0 0 0 . 7 2 0 . 0 0 0 . 5 9 0 . 0 1 0 . 4 4 115 115 Table 4: ANOVA results for average nu m ber of trees per plot, average number of ove rstory hardw ood trees per plot, average overstory tree size (dbh in inches), over story species richness, percent cover in understory (0-6 ft), and basal area (m 2 / h a ) . S i g n i f i c a n t d i f f e r e n c e s a t . =0.05 are indicated with different letters. Land Use/Cover # of trees per plot # o f hardwoods p e r p l o t Average tree d b h ( i n ) P l o t s p e c i e s richness % understory c o v e r Plot basal area ( m 2 / h a ) Natural forest 4.00 (ab) 0.92 (b) 9.94 (bc) 1.33 (ab) 121.21 (ab) 13.77 (bc) P l a n t a t i o n 5 . 3 6 ( a b ) 0 . 0 0 ( b ) 7 . 3 3 ( c ) 1 . 0 9 ( b ) 1 2 9 . 8 6 ( a ) 1 6 . 7 0 ( b c ) U r b a n 2 . 0 7 ( b ) 1 . 0 7 ( b ) 1 5 . 7 5 ( a ) 1 . 3 6 ( a b ) 8 5 . 1 1 ( a b ) 9 . 1 8 ( c ) Urban forest 4.86 (ab) 2.71 (b) 12.48 (ab) 2.07 (a) 115.25 (ab) 22.30 (b) F o r e s t e d w e t l a n d 7 . 7 0 ( a ) 7 . 4 0 ( a ) 9 . 7 0 ( b c ) 2 . 2 0 ( a ) 6 8 . 1 0 ( b ) 4 7 . 9 8 ( a ) Table 5: Mean (?SE) overstory biom ass (g/m 2 ), carbon content (g/m 2 ), an d ANPP (g/m 2 /yr) by land use/cover type L a n d U s e / C o v e r B i o m a s s ( g / m 2 ) C a r b o n C o n t e n t ( g / m 2 ) ANPP (g/ m 2 / y r ) n Natural forest 8582.01 ? 2801.59 4291.01 ? 1400.79 260.77 ? 72.68 12 Plantation 4775.22 ? 1233.66 2387.61 ? 616.83 107.28 ? 19.31 11 Urban 14,192.68 ? 3439.53 7096.34 ? 1719.77 258.29 ? 58.09 14 Urban forest 18,527.69 ? 3358.84 9263.85 ? 1679.42 349.32 ? 69.71 14 Forested wetland 14,319.65 ? 4128.71 7159.82 ? 2064.36 237.28 ? 63.69 10 116 Table 6: Mean ANPP (g/m 2 /yr) of all land uses/covers by year; statistical significance (at ?=0.05) between groups is indicated by different letters. Year Mean ANPP (g/m 2 /yr) 1 249.00 (a) 2 264.40 (a) 3 333.83 (a) 4 336.25 (a) 5 371.99 (a) Table 7: Mean (?SE) midstory biomass (g/m 2 ) and carbon content (g/m 2 ) Land Use/Cover Biomass (g/m 2 ) Carbon Content (g/m 2 ) n Natural forest 1826.46 ? 605.28 913.23 ? 302.64 12 Plantation 1815.88 ? 572.60 907.94 ? 286.30 11 Urban 57.81 ? 55.43 28.91 ? 27.71 14 Urban forest 1486.25 ? 339.19 743.12 ? 169.59 14 Forested wetland 1261.03 ? 283.17 630.51 ? 141.58 10 Table 8: Mean (?SE) understory biomass (g/m 2 ), carbon content (g/m 2 ), and nitrogen content (g/m 2 ) by land use/cover Land Use/Cover Biomass (g/m 2 ) Carbon Content (g/m 2 ) Nitrogen Content (g/m 2 ) n Natural forest 1235.72 ? 126.29 589.22 ? 62.64 10.42 ? 1.43 12 Plantation 1126.61 ? 122.17 519.50 ? 60.44 9.38 ? 0.95 11 Urban 2000.92 ? 341.78 755.81 ? 141.34 16.84 ? 2.83 14 Urban forest 742.66 ? 167.88 345.25 ? 79.14 6.17 ? 1.32 14 Forested wetland 423.76 ? 176.60 183.25 ? 73.35 3.54 ? 1.44 10 Table 9: Mean understory percent cover of Serenoa repens; statistical significance (at ?=0.05) between groups is indicated by different letters. Land Use/Cover Percent Cover (0-2 ft) Natural forest 41.67 (a) Plantation 21.81 (ab) Urban 0.43 (b) Urban forest 16.43 (ab) Forested wetland 0.00 (b) 117 Table 10: Mean (?SE) total vegetation carbon content (g/m 2 ) by land use/cover type Land Use/Cover Total Carbon Content (g/m 2 ) n Natural forest 5793.46 ? 1270.10 12 Plantation 3815.05 ? 581.14 11 Urban 7881.06 ? 1762.33 14 Urban forest 10,352.22 ? 1737.43 14 Forested wetland 7973.58 ? 1994.83 10 Table 11: Paired t-test results for difference in mean carbon content of vegetation pools Comparison Mean difference P-value Plantation vs. natural forest overstory -2.11 0.15 Plantation vs. natural forest midstory -0.12 0.78 Plantation vs. natural forest understory -0.11 0.30 Plantation vs. natural forest total veg -2.34 0.09 Urban vs. urban forest overstory -2.35 0.31 Urban vs. urban forest midstory -0.82 0.00 Urban vs. urban forest understory 0.41 0.04 Urban vs. urban forest total veg -2.76 0.24 Table 12: Paired t-test results for difference in ANPP of overstory Comparison Mean difference P-value Plantation vs. natural forest -0.17 0.05 Urban vs. urban forest -0.07 0.39 118 118 Table 13: Mean difference (g/m 2 : b i o m a s s , c a r b o n c o n t e n t , and nitrogen content; g/m 2 /yr: ANPP) in vegetation pools: Urbanization analysis. S i g n i f i c a n t r e s u l t s a t . = 0 . 0 5 a r e i n d i c a t e d w i t h a n a s t e r i s k . O v e r s t o r y M i d s t o r y U n d e r s t o r y T o t a l Biomass Carbon ANPP Biomass Carb o n B i o m a s s C a r b o n N i t r o g e n C a r b o n Natural forest - p l a n t a t i o n 3 . 8 1 1 . 9 0 0 . 1 5 0 . 0 1 0 . 0 1 0 . 1 3 0 . 0 7 0 . 0 0 1 . 9 8 Natural forest - u r b a n - 5 . 6 1 - 2 . 8 1 0 . 0 0 1 . 7 7 * 0 . 8 8 * - 0 . 7 5 - 0 . 1 7 - 0 . 0 1 - 2 . 0 9 Natural forest - u r b a n f o r e s t - 9 . 9 5 - 4 . 9 7 - 0 . 0 9 0 . 3 4 0 . 1 7 0 . 5 1 0 . 2 4 0 . 0 0 - 4 . 5 6 P l a n t a t i o n - u r b a n - 9 . 4 1 - 4 . 7 1 - 0 . 1 5 1 . 7 6 * 0 . 8 8 * - 0 . 8 7 * - 0 . 2 4 - 0 . 0 1 * - 4 . 0 7 P l a n t a t i o n - u r b a n f o r e s t - 1 3 . 7 5 * - 6 . 8 8 * - 0 . 2 4 * 0 . 3 3 0 . 1 7 0 . 3 8 0 . 1 7 0 . 0 0 - 6 . 5 4 * U r b a n - u r b a n forest - 4 . 3 4 - 2 . 1 7 - 0 . 0 9 - 1 . 4 3 - 0 . 7 1 1 . 2 6 * 0 . 4 1 * 0 . 0 1 * - 2 . 4 7 119 119 Table 14: Mean (?SE) vegetation, soil, and vegetation + soil carbon content (kg/m 2 ) by pool and land use/cover type L a n d U s e / C o v e r V e g e t a t i o n T o t a l S o i l T o t a l V e g e t a t i o n + S o i l T o t a l Natural forest 5.79 ? 1.27 7.29 ? 0.93 13.08 ? 1.52 Plantation 3.81 ? 0.58 8.82 ? 1.64 12.63 ? 1.94 Urban 7.88 ? 1.76 10.66 ? 2.56 18.54 ? 3.27 Urban forest 10.35 ? 1.74 15.91 ? 4.43 26.26 ? 4.86 Forested wetland 7.97 ? 1.99 63.33 ? 18.15 71.30 ? 17.88 T a b l e 1 5 : R e m ot e s e n s i n g a n a l y s i s : L a n d u s e /c o v e r a r e a e s t i m a t e s a n d r e s u l t i n g c a r b o n s t o r a g e o f e a c h . N o t e t h a t i n t h e r e m o t e sensing approach urban f orest includes al l urban vegetation (ie. lawns). T his cont radicts the field sam pling that counted urba n lawns as ?u rban?. Urban built-up con sists of build ings and im pe rvious su rfaces such as roads and parking lots. Carbon sto r age o f urban built-up areas is assum e d to be zero. Land Use/Cover Area (% of Total) Area (m 2 ) Carbon Storage (kg C) Natural forest 6.32 63,145,662 825,945,259 Plantation 31.96 319,491,069 4,035,172,201 Urban (built-up) 2.45 24,533,217 0 Urban vegetation (forest + lawns) 4.26 18,021,258 403,676,179 Forested wetland 30.74 307,299,272 21,910,438,094 Total 27,175,231,733 120 IV. CONCLUSIONS Carbon and nitrogen storage of Gulf Coast ecosystems are a function of land use/cover, management practices, climatic conditions, and natural variation. Interactions between these factors lead to unique soil and vegetation storage within the land use/cover types. Carbon storage in soils is generally greater than storage in vegetation. Consequently, due to the organic nature of wetland soils, the total ecosystem carbon (vegetation + soil) of forested wetlands is significantly higher than all other land use/cover classes. After forested wetlands, the numerical rank of total ecosystem carbon is as follows: urban forests, urban lawns, natural pine forests, pine plantations. Forested Wetlands Forested wetlands had higher carbon and nitrogen storage compared to other land use/cover types (natural pine forest, pine plantation, urban lawn, urban forest). Forested wetlands have a unique balance of productivity and slow decomposition due to anaerobic conditions, enabling large quantities of carbon to be stored. The ecosystem services that forested wetlands perform, such as climate regulation through carbon storage as well as filtration of nutrients and pollutants from water, make these areas a top priority for ecosystem conservation and restoration. 121 Urban Ecosystems Urban forests had dense vegetation and a thick forest floor due to high productivity and the absence of fire. Trees were much older and larger in urban forests than in either natural forests or plantations. Additionally, overstory biomass had a significant relationship with overstory species richness. High species richness can initiate complementary resource use between species and enhance productivity. All of these factors leading to greater organic inputs in urban forests likely contributed to higher levels of soil carbon than in natural pine forests and pine plantations. Urban lawns including residential yards and public parks require intensive management for aesthetic purposes. Grass maintenance including watering and fertilization in urban lawns can lead to large pools of carbon. Urban lawns had higher understory biomass and carbon content than urban forests and forested wetlands. In addition to a large understory pool, the absence of fire in urban lawns has allowed for large overstory trees to persist thus increasing the organic inputs to the soil. An important finding of this study was that urban ecosystems are able to store greater quantities of carbon than natural pine forests and pine plantations largely due to the influence of fire in the two latter systems. Fires directly affect the structure of vegetation and indirectly affect soils by altering inputs of organic matter. Increased carbon storage in urban ecosystems has been observed in other studies with warm climates. Accumulation of soil nitrogen in urban ecosystems, both urban lawns and urban forests, can be attributed to increased nutrient inputs through fertilizers and increased 122 runoff as a result of reduced infiltration due to impervious surfaces. Urban lawn and urban forest soils had greater nitrogen storage than natural pine forests or pine plantations near the surface and in the total mineral soil profile. Natural Pine Forests and Pine Plantations Although the soil carbon of pine plantations and natural pine forests was statistically indistinguishable, natural forests had higher total vegetation carbon content than plantations. Complementary resource use due to higher species richness may support greater biomass production in natural pine forests. Additionally, more frequent burning and young even-aged stands (7.33 cm mean dbh for plantations vs. 12.48 cm mean dbh for urban forests) contributed to low overstory biomass in plantations. These plantations have lower productivity rates than other plantations in the literature (1.1 Mg/ha/yr vs. 5 Mg/ha/yr in other studies) due to low stocking. Consequently, even if these plantations were at rotation age, the carbon storage would be less than in urban forests (plantations would likely be less than 80 Mg/ha in the standing crop of vegetation while urban forests have 93 Mg/ha). Both natural forests and plantations were subject to burning which likely plays a large role in reduced soil carbon pools as compared to urban ecosystems. Land Use Change Land use change predictions through the year 2020 for Franklin County suggest that declines in carbon storage are possible with a 0.5% loss of forests (especially if these losses include forested wetlands) and a 0.5% growth of urban land uses. If only natural forests and plantations are lost, the decrease in carbon would be considerably smaller. 123 Fine-scale predictions of land use change would help to project a more accurate estimate of change in ecosystem carbon in future years. The results from this study suggest that intelligent land management and urban planning may offer solutions towards maintaining stability in the carbon cycle. In particular, the carbon sequestration capacities of urban forests offer a means towards more sustainable development. Practices such as leaving patches of forest interspersed within the urban core are already supported for aesthetic and ecological purposes such as increased infiltration. This study shows that urban forests in the Florida Gulf Coast may also increase carbon storage in soils and vegetation compared to natural pine forests. The net effect on the carbon cycle by urban development may be minimized through the adoption of planting requirements and land preservation criteria. Further studies may allow for the creation of comprehensive development guidelines outlining actions necessary to increase carbon sequestration in systems with low native carbon storage. This is not to say that widespread urban growth in the Panhandle should be promoted, however, smart growth with conscientious decisions can meet both economic and environmental concerns. Lastly, the importance of forested wetland areas in the Florida Panhandle must not be overlooked in the midst of future development activities. A rapidly growing coastal population, coupled with changing objectives of the largest private land owner in the Florida Panhandle from timber production to community development, is likely to cause dramatic changes in the region, both economically and ecologically. 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