Local Calibration of the MEPDG Using Test Track Data
by
Xiaolong Guo
A thesis submitted to the Graduate Faculty of
Auburn University
in partial fulfillment of the
requirements for the Degree of
Master of Science
Auburn, Alabama
December 14, 2013
Keywords: MEPDG, Local Calibration, Transfer Function, Input Level 1
Copyright 2013 by Xiaolong Guo
Approved by
David H. Timm, Chair, Professor of Civil Engineering
Rod E. Turochy, Associate Professor of Civil Engineering
Randy West, Director of National Center of Asphalt Technology
ii
ABSTRACT
The Mechanistic-empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG), now known as
AASHTOWare Pavement ME Design, is a state-of-art mechanistic-empirical design method. It
has been adopted by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials
(AASHTO) as the new standard for pavement design in the U.S. However, the MEPDG was
calibrated to various types of pavements located across the country representing diverse design
conditions. Since the default transfer functions were nationally-calibrated, the performance
prediction for local projects sometimes may not correlate well with the local performance
measurements. The National Center for Asphalt Technology (NCAT), equipped with a full-scale
accelerated Test Track, supported the evaluation and local calibration of the nationally-calibrated
models. The study results showed the nationally-calibrated fatigue cracking model and the IRI
model matched the measured values in the 2003 research cycle, and no better coefficients were
found to improve the model predictions. However, applying the same fatigue coefficients to the
2006 research cycle resulted in poor correlations to measured performance and no significant
improvement to fatigue cracking prediction was found. The nationally-calibrated rutting model
over-predicted rut depths, but the accuracy of the rutting model was significantly improved by
local calibration. The research methods and findings may be useful for the transportation
agencies to perform local calibration studies.
iii
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
I would like to sincerely acknowledge my academic advisor Dr. David Timm for his
professional guidance on my graduate study. His patience, inspiration, and rigorousness
motivated me to reach deeper and be more involved in the research of civil engineering. I not
only learned a wealth of knowledge and skills, but also shaped research perspectives based on his
expertise of pavement design and asphalt technology. I truly appreciate his understanding of my
program progress. It is his critical advice that strengthens my confidence to insist on the study
until a completion of this program.
I am truly grateful to Dr. Rod Turochy for his endeavor to support my study, and also
thank his family for bringing me in community activities. I also would like to thank Dr. Randy
West for taking time from his busy schedule to review my work and participate as one of my
committee members.
I am thankful to Dr. Raymond Powell, Dr. Mary Robbins, and Dr. Fabricio Leiva-
Villacorta for their assistance in conducting experiments. I would like to thank Derong Mai, Xiao
Zhao, Jingwen Li, and Boyao Zhao, as well as other students of the civil engineering program
here for their kind help with my work and my life. I also would like to acknowledge Miller
Writing Center at Auburn University library for supporting the writing development. I appreciate
the professional suggestions to my thesis writing from their tutors, especially Courtney Hewitt.
Finally, I would like to thank my parents, my relatives and friends in China for their
selfless care and encouragement during my study.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES ..................................................................................................................... vi
LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................................... ix
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................. 1
BACKGROUND .............................................................................................................. 1
OBJECTIVE ................................................................................................................... 12
SCOPE ............................................................................................................................ 12
ORGANIZATION OF THESIS ..................................................................................... 13
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW ..................................................................................... 14
INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 14
PAVEMENT DESIGN OVERVIEW ............................................................................. 14
TRADITIONAL DESIGN METHODS ......................................................................... 28
MEPDG........................................................................................................................... 36
LOCAL CALIBRATION CASE STUDIES .................................................................. 47
CHAPTER 3 MEPDG INPUT CHARACTERIZATION AND PERFORMANCE DATA
COLLECTION ........................................................................................................................... 69
TEST FACILITY INTRODUCTION............................................................................. 69
MEPDG INPUTS CHARACTERIZATION .................................................................. 70
PERFORMANCE MONITORING ................................................................................ 96
CHAPTER 4 THE METHODOLOGY OF LOCAL CALIBRATION AND VALIDATION 100
INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 100
v
LOCAL CALIBRATION ............................................................................................. 102
VALIDATION .............................................................................................................. 107
CHAPTER 5 A METHOD OF RUNNING THE MEPDG AUTOMATICALLY .................. 109
BACKGROUND .......................................................................................................... 109
METHOD DESCRIPTION .......................................................................................... 110
SUGGESTION ............................................................................................................. 114
CHAPTER 6 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ......................................................................... 115
INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 115
RESULTS OF CALIBRATION ................................................................................... 115
RESULTS OF VALIDATION ..................................................................................... 120
SUMMARY .................................................................................................................. 125
CHAPTER 7 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMEDATION .................................................... 127
REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................... 130
APPENDIX A ........................................................................................................................... 137
APPENDIX B ........................................................................................................................... 152
APPENDIX C ........................................................................................................................... 154
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1.1 Scheme of the M-E design .......................................................................................... 9
Figure 1.2 NCAT Test Track ...................................................................................................... 12
Figure 2.1 Fatigue cracking ........................................................................................................ 16
Figure 2.2 Rutting ....................................................................................................................... 17
Figure 2.3 Longitudinal cracking ................................................................................................ 17
Figure 2.4 Transverse cracking ................................................................................................... 18
Figure 2.5 Low pressure tire and high pressure tire.................................................................... 21
Figure 2.6 Design chart for full depth asphalt concrete .............................................................. 30
Figure 2.7 Nomograph ................................................................................................................ 32
Figure 2.8 Chart for estimating effective subgrade resilient modulus ........................................ 34
Figure 2.9 Pavement structure .................................................................................................... 35
Figure 2.10 Measured and predicted alligator cracking in western Washington ........................ 53
Figure 2.11 Measured and predicted alligator cracking in eastern Washington ......................... 53
Figure 2.12 Measured and predicted longitudinal cracking in western Washington .................. 54
Figure 2.13 Measured and predicted longitudinal cracking in eastern Washington ................... 54
Figure 2.14 Measured and predicted transverse cracking in western Washington ..................... 55
Figure 2.15 Measured and predicted transverse cracking in eastern Washington ...................... 55
Figure 2.16 Measured and predicted rutting in western Washington ......................................... 56
Figure 2.17 Measured and predicted rutting in eastern Washington .......................................... 56
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Figure 2.18 Measured and predicted IRI in western Washington .............................................. 57
Figure 2.19 Measured and predicted IRI in eastern Washington ................................................ 57
Figure 2.20 Measured versus predicted distresses ...................................................................... 61
Figure 2.21 Measured versus predicted HMA total rutting before local calibration .................. 63
Figure 2.22 Measured versus predicted HMA total rutting after local calibration ..................... 65
Figure 2.23 Measured and predicted rutting for Section 2 before local calibration ................... 67
Figure 2.24 Measured and predicted rutting for Section 2 after local calibration ...................... 67
Figure 3.1 Triple trailer truck...................................................................................................... 72
Figure 3.2 Box trailer truck ......................................................................................................... 72
Figure 3.3 Number of axles per vehicle ...................................................................................... 73
Figure 3.4 Hourly traffic distribution for the 2003 research cycle ............................................. 75
Figure 3.5 Hourly traffic distribution for the 2006 research cycle ............................................. 76
Figure 3.6 Test Track on-site weather station ............................................................................. 77
Figure 3.7 Hourly climatic database file ..................................................................................... 78
Figure 3.8 Cross section of structural sections in the 2003 research cycle ................................. 79
Figure 3.9 Cross section of structural sections in the 2006 research cycle ................................. 80
Figure 3.10 Measured vs. predicted E* data ............................................................................... 87
Figure 3.11 The MEPDG E* master curve for N1-1 lift in the 2003 research cycle.................. 88
Figure 3.12 Construction and lab record for N1-1 lift in the 2006 research cycle ..................... 89
Figure 3.13 Cross sections comparison ...................................................................................... 92
Figure 3.14 Vertical pressures in N1 subgrade in the 2006 research cycle ................................ 95
Figure 3.15 Sample crack map from section N6 at the end of the 2006 research cycle ............. 98
Figure 3.16 Dipstick profiler....................................................................................................... 99
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Figure 3.17 ARAN inertial profiler ............................................................................................ 99
Figure 4.1 Reasonable goodness of fit for model predictions .................................................. 101
Figure 4.2 Unreasonable goodness of fit for model predictions ............................................... 101
Figure 4.3 Trial and error calibration steps ............................................................................... 103
Figure 4.4 Curves in similar shape ........................................................................................... 104
Figure 4.5 Curves not in a similar shape................................................................................... 104
Figure 4.6 Project templates in the MEPDG ............................................................................ 106
Figure 5.1 VB script flow chart ................................................................................................ 111
Figure 5.2 SSE result in a message box .................................................................................... 112
Figure 5.3 Dialog box pop-up ................................................................................................... 113
Figure 5.4 Excel error warning ................................................................................................. 114
Figure 6.1 Model predictions vs. measured values for fatigue cracking .................................. 116
Figure 6.2 Fatigue cracking model prediction optimization ..................................................... 117
Figure 6.3 Model predictions vs. measured values for rutting ................................................. 117
Figure 6.4 Rutting model prediction optimization ................................................................... 119
Figure 6.5 Model predictions vs. measured values for IRI ....................................................... 120
Figure 6.6 Model predictions vs. measured values for fatigue cracking .................................. 121
Figure 6.7 Model predictions vs. measured values for rutting ................................................. 122
Figure 6.8 Model predictions vs. measured values for rutting (excluding N1 and N2) ........... 123
Figure 6.9 Model predictions vs. measured values for IRI ....................................................... 124
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 2.1 Sensitivity of the MEPDG calibration coefficients .................................................... 50
Table 2.2 Final local calibration coefficients .............................................................................. 52
Table 2.3 Statistical summary of the rutting model local calibration results.............................. 60
Table 2.4 Statistical summary of validation results .................................................................... 61
Table 2.5 Recommended calibration coefficients ....................................................................... 62
Table 2.6 Hypothesis testing before local calibration of the rutting model ................................ 63
Table 2.7 Hypothesis testing after local calibration of the rutting model ................................... 64
Table 3.1 Construction and traffic months ................................................................................. 71
Table 3.2 Initial IRI values ......................................................................................................... 71
Table 3.3 Surveyed layer thickness of the 2003 sections ........................................................... 83
Table 3.4 Surveyed layer thickness of the 2006 sections ........................................................... 84
Table 3.5 E* regression coefficients for the 2003 research cycle ............................................... 86
Table 3.6 E* regression coefficients for the 2006 research cycle ............................................... 86
Table 3.7 Unbound materials gradations for the 2003 research cycle ........................................ 91
Table 3.8 New fill depths for the 2003 research cycle ............................................................... 93
Table 3.9 Unbound materials moduli for the 2003 research cycle ............................................. 93
Table 3.10 Unbound materials gradations for the 2006 research cycle ...................................... 94
Table 3.11 Regression coefficients for unbound materials ......................................................... 96
Table 3.12 Unbound materials moduli for the 2006 research cycle ........................................... 96
x
Table 6.1 Statistical analysis for the 2003 fatigue cracking predictions................................... 116
Table 6.2 Statistical analysis for the 2003 rutting predictions .................................................. 118
Table 6.3 Statistical analysis for the 2003 IRI predictions ....................................................... 120
Table 6.4 Statistical analysis for the 2006 fatigue cracking predictions................................... 121
Table 6.5 Statistical analysis for the 2006 rutting predictions .................................................. 123
Table 6.6 Statistical analysis for the 2006 rutting predictions (excluding N1 and N2) ........... 124
Table 6.7 Statistical analysis for the 2006 IRI predictions ....................................................... 125
Table 6.8 Best-fit calibration coefficients for three models in the MEPDG ............................ 125
1
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
BACKGROUND
Overview of Pavement Design
Pavement design is critical to successful road construction. It provides a workable plan to
specify the pavement section before it is built. The effectiveness of pavement design usually
determines whether an application can serve for a long time with good quality at an affordable
cost for owners. A good quality pavement means durable support, skid resistance, and energy
conservation for road users. However, engineers are inevitably faced with a variety of design
challenges when considering traffic, the environment, or subgrade soils with local characteristics.
For a highway agency, pavement design relies on material specifications, pavement design
policies, and construction practice. Obviously, it is never easy to achieve a pavement design that
fulfills the requirements above. In this case, pavement design procedures or guides are needed
for providing a paradigm of generating appropriate designs. The common procedures account for
these main design factors such as traffic, materials, the environment, and performance
predictions.
Main design factors
Traffic
Pavements are designed to sustain recurring loadings of vehicles. Vehicles impose weight
at the interface between tires and pavement, as a result, the stress is distributed into the pavement
structure, attenuating from the top to the bottom. The heavier the vehicle is, the greater the
stresses. It is a rule of thumb that doubled axle weight will increase induced damage by 16 times
(Equivalent Single Axle Load, 2007). With repetitive vehicle loadings, the pavement endures a
tremendous amount of cycles of deforming and rebounding. If the allowable volume of traffic
2
loading is reached, the pavement will experience a loss of serviceability and become distressed.
From the standpoint of pavement design, the repetitive vehicle loadings in a period of time
should be related to how much damage they impose. Therefore, traffic is decomposed into a
number of axle groups based on configurations and weights, and the induced damage of each
axle group is estimated. In this way, the total damage of traffic during a period of time can be
determined by an accumulation of damage of these axle groups. To design a new pavement,
designers need to derive future traffic predictions based on the current trend. However, traffic
may fluctuate due to unexpected situations, such as rapid economic activity or population growth,
and this should be within the concern of pavement design.
Materials
Materials physically comprise a layered pavement structure, containing surface, base, and
subgrade. The properties of the materials reflect the capacity of the pavement to withstand
damage. For example, a subgrade with high strength can prevent compressive or shear stress
failure under heavy loads. Open-graded asphalt courses allow rainwater to drain through the
pavement surface, reducing the amount of splash and spray on highways. The adoption of good
quality material helps pavements to last longer, but it may greatly increase project costs.
Therefore, engineers sometimes choose economical materials with local availability.
Environment
It is common sense that civil engineering structures must function within the environment
where it is built. The material properties of structures are significantly affected by environmental
variations. This principle can be applied to pavements. The viscoelastic properties of asphalt are
affected significantly by pavement temperature changes and loading frequency. Furthermore, the
asphalt binder will be oxidized if exposed in air and the asphalt mixture will become stiffer and
3
brittle. Therefore, the material property changes due to environment should be considered in the
pavement design process.
Performance
Pavements are affected by a combination of traffic loading and environmental effects. As
a result, the performance degrades over time. Engineers need an efficient way to define the
performance of pavement so that they know whether an in-service pavement is still in good
condition. From the view of pavement design, a clear definition of performance can prepare
engineers to set their design goal. In fact, the pavement performance is defined from the
experience, but in different ways at project and network levels. At a project level, performance is
defined by distress, loss of serviceability index, and skid resistance. On a network level, it is
defined by overall condition of the network and even policy and economics (Lytton, 1987).
Generally, serviceability, defined as the current ability of a pavement to serve the traffic, is taken
as an overall indicator to represent the pavement performance.
Approaches to Pavement Design
Approaches to pavement design are required to provide a link between the inputs of a
design scenario (i.e., traffic, environment, materials, and tolerable degradation of pavement) with
an output design (i.e., material type and layer thickness). The approaches currently available can
be generally divided into two categories: empirical methods and mechanistic-empirical (M-E)
methods.
Empirical method
Empirical methods correlate important variables based on experiments or experience. The
important variables account for design factors in a measurable or quantitative way. Empirical
methods were an effective method for early engineering practice; however, because it is
4
statistics-based or experience-based, the applicability of the model would be limited by the range
of the experimental data or experience. For example, the 1993 AASHTO (American Association
of State Highway and Transportation Officials) method is an empirical approach. The empirical
relationship between important variables and a thickness-related ?structural number? is described
by design equations aimed to determine pavement thickness. This method is built on the limited
conditions and materials present in the 1950s, so it is not widely applicable to other conditions or
current pavement materials.
Advantages
Through many trial-and-errors, the empirical approach can build upon what is already
observed, and respond more appropriately to real world design scenarios. It does not need cogent
theoretical derivation to prove the reasonableness of empirical relationships.
Disadvantages
The validity of the empirical approach is usually limited by the dataset on which the
approach was based. The dataset inherently specifies the value range of the important variables
or considers a limited set of contributing variables. Thus, the extreme condition, for instance, in
which a variable falls out of the pre-defined value range or the neglected variable that may have
a big impact, is not accounted for. Additionally, a fairly solid empirical model takes a long time
to build and needs calibration before use.
Mechanistic-empirical method
In contrast with the empirical methodology, mechanistic-empirical methods integrate
mechanistic analysis of pavement structures into a design procedure. Mechanistic analysis can
determine the response of pavement layers (i.e., strain, stress, or deflections) and these responses
5
are highly related with the propagation of various pavement distresses. The relationship between
them can be statistically defined by empirical regression equations called transfer functions.
Advantages
Mechanistic-empirical methods contain broader variable sets to characterize design
inputs more realistically, so they has ability to account for new materials, advanced traffic
technology, and changes of environmental conditions. Thus, designers are able to compose
pavement designs for a wide variety of local areas and conditions. Additionally, the M-E method
is able to predict various distresses by sophisticated algorithms and enables engineers to set a
failure criterion for each of them.
Disadvantages
Along with advanced design concepts, a large number of inputs will require designers
much time to collect the design input information. Since many agencies are still using old
AASHTO methods, they will need to upgrade technical capabilities and to provide training for
implementation of the mechanistic-empirical methods. It is also important that the M-E method
requires local calibration to ensure its effectiveness.
Development of Empirical Method
The development of the AASHTO empirical method dates back to a first application of
the Highway Research Board (HRB) soil classification in estimating the subbase and total
pavement thickness. An method with a strength test was first used by the California Highway
Department in 1929 (Porter, 1950). The thickness of pavement was related to the California
Bearing Ratio (CBR), which defines the penetration resistance of a subgrade soil relative to a
standard crushed rock. In the 1960s, AASHTO initiated to develop design equations and
nomographs for both flexible and rigid pavements, primarily based on the regression of the data
6
from the AASHO (American Association of State Highway Officials) Road Test. These
empirical methods had been adopted until the appearance of M-E method (Huang, 1993).
AASHO road test and AASHTO methods
In the late 1950s, AASHO conceived a grand plan of building real-world testing facilities
to examine the performance of pavement structures of known thickness under moving loads of
known magnitude and frequency. A long list of pooled-funding sponsors spent $27 million (1960
dollars) to complete the construction of 6 loops of two-lane pavements, with half asphalt and half
concrete. The road test provided the foundation for analytical evaluation of pavement response,
load equivalencies, climate effects, and much more. The precious performance information
greatly helped to build the regression equations for AASHTO design methods. The initial version
was completed in 1961 relating loss in serviceability, traffic, and pavement thickness and it was
revised in 1972 by introducing the consideration of foundation, material, and environmental
conditions. Then, the next version released in 1986 improved the characterization of the
subgrade and unbound materials, considered drainage effects, and incorporated a reliability
factor. The latest update was released in 1993 and had some additions for pavement
rehabilitation designs.
The AASHTO methods have gained popularity through relatively straightforward
procedures; however, the design equations reflect a single traffic volume, single environmental
condition, and limited design variables described in the late 1950s. Studies have shown that
despite adjustments made over the years to the design equation in attempts to expand its
suitability to different climate regions and materials, the design of flexible pavements still lacks
accuracy in performance predictions and compatibility to include different materials and their
complex behavior (Schwartz, 2007). The performance indicator PSI (Present Serviceability
7
Index) cannot address today?s need in the situation that road designers and managers require
more accurate evaluation of pavement performance regarding distresses and overall smoothness.
Development of Mechanistic-Empirical Methods
Brief introduction
It was noted that Kerkhoven and Dormon in 1953 first suggested using vertical
compressive strain on the surface of subgrade as a critical indicator of permanent deformation
(Huang, 1993). In 1960, Saal and Pell recommended the use of horizontal tensile strain at the
bottom of asphalt layer as a critical predictor of fatigue cracking (Huang, 1993). Afterwards, the
use of these concepts was first presented for pavement design in the US by Dormon and Metcalf
in 1965. These two criteria have been adopted by Shell Petroleum International (Claussen et al,
1977) and the Asphalt Institute (Shook et al., 1982) in their proposed mechanistic-empirical
methods.
The concepts and principles of M-E design were extensively discussed in details in the
National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) 1-26 project ? ?Calibrated
Mechanistic Structural Analysis Procedures for Pavements.? In this project, the available M-E
design at that time was assessed, evaluated, and applied on a nationwide level, and researchers
recognized that the M-E method represents one step forward from empirical methods. In the
1990s, several M-E design approaches by computer software were developed, including
MnPAVE adopted by Minnesota Department of Transportation, the 2002 AASHTO
Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG), EverSeries by Washington
Department of Transportation, and Michigan Flexible Pavement Design System (MFPDS) by
Michigan State.
8
M-E design framework
The basic outline of M-E design includes calculating the pavement response under the
impact of traffic by mechanistic models and applying transfer functions to predict number of
loads to failure. Miner?s hypothesis (Miner, 1945) was integrated afterwards as an incremental
approach to calculate the cumulative damage in the pavement life. The approach allows the
summation of fatigue or rutting damage by axle loads of varying magnitudes under varying
environmental conditions.
As Figure 1.1 shows, the pavement structure specifies the material and thickness of layers,
which constitutes the basic elements for mechanistic analysis. Environmental conditions impact
the properties of materials by temperature, precipitation, wind speed, and so on. Traffic applies
vehicle loading to induce pavement response depending on axle types and magnitudes. In order
to predict long-term performance, the transfer functions are used to link dynamic pavement
response with allowable repetitions of loads. It is also worthy to note that the magnitude of
loading significantly affects mechanistic properties of stress-sensitive materials, such as resilient
modulus of unbound materials. Further, for one of the strain levels, the damage is quantified as
the ratio of actual repetitions of loads to allowable repetitions of loads. Thus, the total damage in
pavement life is a summation of damage ratios for all levels of strain. If the total damage is
greater than 1, the pavement is ?under-designed?, so it is necessary to modify the original
pavement design, such as increasing the thickness of layers or adopting more durable materials.
The modification of pavement design should be re-evaluated, and this iterative procedure is
processed until the damage ratio is less than 1. Otherwise, if the total damage is much lesser than
1, which indicates pavement is ?over-designed?, it is necessary to propose a less conservative
design by reducing the thickness of layers or choosing poorer quality materials.
9
Figure 1.1 Scheme of the M-E design
MEPDG
Background
At the time when the 1986 AASHTO method was adopted, the benefits of
mechanistically-based pavement design were clearly recognized and it had become apparent for
transportation agencies that there was a great need for an advanced design method that accounts
for modern traffic, current materials, and diverse climates. Subsequently, the Washington State
Department of Transportation (DOT), North Carolina DOT, and Minnesota DOT developed their
10
mechanistic-empirical procedures. The National Cooperative Highway Research Program
(NCHRP) 1-26 project provided the basic framework for most of efforts attempted by state
DOTs (Schwartz, 2007). To embrace the widely-accepted transition from empirical to
mechanistic-empirical design methods, the AASHTO Joint Task Force on Pavements, in
cooperation with NCHRP and FHWA (Federal Highway Administration), invited a group of top
pavement engineers in the U.S. to a workshop on ?pavement design? in March, 1996 in Irvine,
California. They were identifying means to develop the AASHTO mechanistic-empirical design
procedure by 2002. Based on the conclusion and recommendation of the workshop, the NCHRP
1-37A project, named ?Development of 2002 Guide for New and Rehabilitated Pavement: Phase
II?, was awarded to the ERES Consultants division of Applied Research Associates Inc. in Feb,
1998 for software generation. The version 0.7 of software was first released in 2004, named
?Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG)?.
Adoption and implementation
In order to facilitate MEPDG implementation among highway agencies, a list of NCHRP
projects was carried out after the first release to deal with issues regarding traffic data,
independent review, user manual, local calibration, technical assistance, models for predicting
HMA overlay reflective cracking, models for predicting top-down cracking, sensitivity analysis,
and so on (Qiang Li et al, 2011). Many of these have been completed and adopted as supportive
strategies and implementation guides for application of the new software. The version 1.0 of
MEPDG was issued in 2007 under the NCHRP 1-40D project, and then it was taken as the
Interim Pavement Design Guide by AASHTO in 2008. By 2009, 80 percent of states in the U.S.
had implementation plans for the MEPDG (?MEPDG Overview & National Perspective?,
January 2009). The latest version of MEPDG is called ?AASHTOWare Pavement ME Design?.
11
It is the next generation of AASHTO pavement design software with many improvements and is
a production-ready tool to support day-to-day operations for engineers.
To take an example of MEPDG implementation, the Indiana DOT began their program
on January 1st, 2009. They initiated a steering committee, in cooperation with design engineers,
FHWA, pavement associations, and contractor associations to discuss details and issues in
practice. The Indiana DOT also provided support for engineers and consultants to facilitate the
use of the MEPDG software. Most of designers and consultants gained familiarity with the new
design procedure within six months. From January to December 2009, the Indiana DOT
designed more than 100 pavement sections by using the MEPDG. The thickness of most
concrete pavements on the Interstate and U.S highway systems was reduced by 2 inches
compared with using the AASHTO 1993 method; a less prominent reduction applied to
pavements on state routes. For 11 HMA projects of US highway and state route, the average
thickness reduction was 2 inches and the savings were estimated to be $3,637,000 (TR News,
Nov-Dec 2010).
Need of MEPDG Local Calibration
For the M-E design methods, the transfer functions link the bridge the mechanistic and
empirical analyses, but the NCHRP 1-26 report concluded this to be the weak link in M-E design.
Studies conducted in Washington State (Li et al, 2009), North Carolina (Muthadi and Kim, 2008),
and Minnesota (Hoegh et al, 2010) suggested that transfer functions in MEPDG produce
predictions that contained significant bias or variance. Indeed, the accuracy of the transfer
functions needs to be improved so the field verification and local calibration are strongly
recommended before it is used locally. To satisfy the need of implementing MEPDG for
southeastern states, especially Alabama, local calibration is needed.
12
OBJECTIVE
The main objective of this research was to evaluate the validity of the nationally-
calibrated transfer functions built in the MEPDG version 1.1 which were developed based on the
Long Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) program database. The second objective was to
calibrate these transfer functions to the local conditions at the NCAT Test Track.
SCOPE
NCAT Test Track
The NCAT Test Track (Figure 1.2), a 1.7-mile oval accelerated pavement testing track
located in Opelika, Alabama, was used in this research. The outside lane of track was divided
into forty-six test sections, each 200 feet long, and sponsored on three-year cycles. During each
cycle, NCAT operates a truck fleet to apply 10 million Equivalent Standard Axle Loads (ESALs)
and collects field performance data on a continuous basis. In this study, eight sections from the
2003 cycle were simulated in the MEPDG to evaluate nationally-calibrated models and
subsequently to adjust the transfer functions for the Test Track. Eleven sections from the 2006
cycle were utilized to validate results of the local calibration.
Figure 1.2 NCAT Test Track
13
Evaluation and Calibration Process
The process of evaluation was to first characterize traffic, material properties and
environmental conditions at the NCAT Test Track and generate inputs for the MEPDG. The next
step was to run the software and to compare the predicted performance from the MEPDG with
observed performance on the Test Track. If the differences were small, it means the MEPDG
performed very well for the Test Track conditions. Otherwise, poor predictions were obtained
which means the MEPDG needs to be locally calibrated. The calibration was an iterative process
that required varying the calibration coefficients in the transfer functions to calibrate the
MEPDG predictions to the observed values.
ORGANIZATION OF THESIS
Chapter 2 will further provide a background literature review about traditional design
methods, the MEPDG, and local calibration efforts conducted by some states. Chapter 3 covers
an explanation of the datasets involved in the study such as the NCAT facilities, traffic operation,
climate file generation, and data collection methods. Next, the methodology of validation and
local calibration is described in Chapter 4. A method of programming for running the MEPDG
automatically is introduced in Chapter 5. This method greatly reduces labor intensity involved in
running the software. Chapter 6 presents the results of calibration and validation. Finally, the
conclusions and recommendations are presented in Chapter 7.
14
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
INTRODUCTION
This chapter provides a general overview of pavement concepts, including pavement
types, distresses, and design factors. Traditional design methods and the MEPDG are
investigated to describe the evolution of pavement design and understand the purpose and
significance of this study. Furthermore, MEPDG local calibration efforts by Washington State,
North Carolina, Ohio and Minnesota were researched to guide the conduction of this study.
PAVEMENT DESIGN OVERVIEW
Pavement Types
Pavement is usually classified into two categories based on surface materials, flexible and
rigid. The flexible pavement is selected as the first choice in the U.S., which is determined by
state highway agencies based on policy, economics, or both. In regard to service life, flexible
pavement requires maintenance or rehabilitation every 10 to 15 years, while rigid pavement can
last for 20 to 40 years. However, owing to high cost of rehabilitation, rigid pavement is narrowly
adopted in urban and high traffic areas.
Flexible pavement
Flexible pavement is surfaced with the mixture of mineral aggregate and asphalt.
Mineral aggregate, as the major component, accounts for 92 to 96 percent by volume and it
provides pavement surfaces with qualities related to hardness, texture, and resistance to
stripping. As a binding medium, asphalt becomes a viscous liquid at higher temperatures but
turns to a solid at ambient air temperatures. Due to the effect of asphalt, the pavement will bend
or deflect when traffic loads are applied without breaking; thus it is ?flexible?. A flexible
15
pavement structure is normally composed of flexible surface courses and several layers of base
materials which can accommodate and distribute this ?flexing? over a larger area, downward to
the subgrade.
Rigid pavement
Rigid pavement, also called portland cement concrete (PCC), is composed of aggregate,
portland cement, and water. The aggregate accounts for 70 to 80 percent of portland cement
concrete by volume and it can be either coarse aggregate (i.e., crushed stone and gravel) or fine
aggregate (i.e., sand). The portland cement is the chief binding agent in rigid pavements. Once
mixed with water, they harden into a solid mass. Because of high stiffness, rigid pavement tends
to distribute the load over a relatively wide area of subgrade. The concrete slab itself provides
most of a rigid pavement?s structural capacity.
Pavement Distresses
As discussed earlier, pavements are categorized into flexible or rigid, but only flexible
pavement is discussed since it is the main interest of this study. The major distresses for flexible
pavement include fatigue cracking, rutting, longitudinal/transverse cracking, raveling, stripping,
and the loss of skid resistance.
Fatigue cracking
Fatigue cracking is prevalent among aged flexible pavements. It gets another name,
?alligator cracking?, from its appearance in severely-damaged condition (Figure 2.1). The
cracking initializes at the bottom of asphalt mixture layers and propagates upward to the surface,
so it is also called ?bottom-up cracking?. The cracks allow moisture infiltration, roughness, and
may further deteriorate to a pothole (Fatigue cracking, 2009). Thin HMA layers, stiff mixtures,
and soft base are more likely to intensify the potential of bottom-up cracking (Schwartz and
16
Carvalho, 2007). The Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS) uses the percent of
cracking area divided by the total area to measure the severity level of fatigue cracking. For
example, the cracking of 500 ft length by 2 ft width in each wheelpath can be reported as 5% if
the sample section is a single lane, 12 ft width by 1 mile length. In addition to these causes, cold
weather often quickens the propagation of cracking. In the laboratory, the flexural beam test is
typically performed to investigate the fatigue of a HMA material, which can be related to its
resistance to fatigue cracking.
Figure 2.1 Fatigue cracking (Fatigue cracking, 2009)
Rutting
Rutting, also known as permanent deformation, is observed as surface depression in the
wheel path, sometimes accompanied by pavement uplift along the sides of the rut (Figure 2.2).
Ruts tend to steer a vehicle towards the rut path as its tires are riding on the rut, which can cause
vehicle hydroplaning if ruts are filled with water (Rutting, 2008). It is a load-induced distress
caused by consolidation or lateral movement of the materials due to cumulative traffic loading at
moderate to high temperatures (Schwartz and Carvalho, 2007). The rut depth is usually measured
by Straight Edge, Dipstick Profile, or Automated Laser Profile. In the laboratory, the tests for
predicting the HMA rutting characteristics include the static creep test, the repeated load test,
dynamic modulus test, empirical tests (i.e., the Hveem and Marshall mix design tests), and
17
wheel-tracking simulative tests. Each of them has limitations related to equipment complexity,
expense, running time, and material parameters.
Figure 2.2 Rutting (Rutting, 2008)
Longitudinal/Transverse cracking
Longitudinal cracking (Figure 2.3) often develops parallel to the pavement centerline
when the paving lane joint is poorly constructed. Transverse cracking (Figure 2.4) usually
propagates across the centerline. These types of cracks are not usually load-associated. They may
be caused by the shrinkage of asphalt surface due to low temperatures, asphalt hardening, or
result from reflective cracking caused by cracks beneath the asphalt surface (Huang, 1993).
Figure 2.3 Longitudinal cracking (Longitudinal cracking, 2008)
18
Figure 2.4 Transverse cracking (Transverse cracking, 2006)
Ride Quality
Ride quality represents the overall performance of a pavement. The ride quality is
evaluated by pavement roughness, which is defined as an expression of irregularities in the
pavement surface. The roughness adversely affects the ride quality, delay costs, fuel
consumption, and maintenance costs (Roughness 2007). The typical metrics of pavement
roughness are Present Serviceability Rating (PSR) developed by AASHO Road Test,
International Roughness Index (IRI) developed by World Bank, or other indexes, with IRI being
the most prevalent (Roughness 2007). The measurement of IRI is made using a profilometer,
which can measure small surface variations in vertical displacement as a function of longitudinal
position.
State highway agencies usually use the International Roughness Index (IRI) to rate
pavement roughness, and schedule maintenance and rehabilitation plans. The lower the IRI is,
the smoother the pavement surface.
19
Design Factors
Design factors were briefly discussed in Chapter 1; however, they are an essential part in
the design method and crucial to the determination of a final design (i.e., thickness design). Thus,
design factors are further specified with details in regard to traffic, the environment, material,
failure criteria, and reliability herein.
Traffic
Traffic is the major cause of pavement distresses. It poses external forces to induce
fatigue cracking progress and rutting accumulation during repetitive loadings. The effect of
traffic is considered in terms of axle loads and the number of repetitions, contact pressure,
vehicle speed, and traffic volume distribution.
Axle loads and number of repetitions
The response of pavement to applied traffic is determined by the magnitude of loads, axle
types, and the spacing between axles. Load magnitude is a primary factor in the determination of
damage; the relationship between axle weight and inflicted pavement damage is not linear but
exponential. For instance, a 44.4 kN (10,000 lbs) single axle needs to be applied to a pavement
structure more than 12 times to inflict the same damage caused by one repetition of an 80 kN
(18,000 lbs) single axle (Loads, WSDOT Pavement Guide). As for axle types, two axles, if not
grouped closely as tandem, tridem, or quad axle, should be considered independently because
they are too far apart to superpose their effects (i.e., stresses or strains); otherwise, the influenced
areas of these axles begin to overlap, as a result, the concern is no longer the single load but
rather the combined effect of all the interacting loads. Obviously, it is not appropriate to treat
those axles as one group as a single axle, nor is appropriate to treat each axle independently
(Huang, 1993). In the AASHTO method, the load of an axle (i.e., single, tandem, tridem, or
20
quad) with a specific magnitude is normalized to a number of ?standard? loads based on its
damaging effect on the pavement. The ?standard? loads are named as Equivalent Single Axle
Loads (ESALs). In the M-E method, ?load spectra? replaced the ESALs to characterize traffic
directly by numbers of axles, axle configuration, and axle weight. It provides precise load data
for each passing axle in the mechanistic analysis.
The number of repetitions describes how many axle loads are imposed during a long
term. In the AASHTO method, the number of ESALs describes the repetitive traffic loadings in a
uniform manner, serving as a fundamental input in pavement design. In the M-E method, the
ratio of the number of actual loads over the number of allowable loads is used to quantify a long
term effect of traffic loadings under the Miner?s hypothesis (Miner, 1945). It is assumed in
Miner?s hypothesis that each axle load inflicts a certain amount of incremental damage, and the
total damage can be estimated by a known number of load repetitions. If the pavement is
imposed with a variety of load magnitudes, the damage ratio for each load magnitude can be
specified separately based on its number of repetitions and then they can be combined together
for predicting the total pavement damage.
Contact pressure
The contact pressure is the force spread over the interface between the tire and pavement,
which equals to the force distributed to the pavement. In fact, the contact pressure is the result of
composition of tire pressure and pressure due to tire wall. The contact pressure is greater than the
tire pressure for low-pressure tires (Figure 2.5) because the wall of tires is in compression and
the sum of vertical forces due to wall and tire pressure must be equal to the force due to contact
pressure; otherwise, the contact pressure is smaller than the tire pressure for high-pressure tires
21
(Figure 2.5) (Huang, 1993). In mechanistic-empirical methods, the contact pressure is usually
assumed to be the tire inflation pressure with a circular tire/pavement interface.
Figure 2.5 Low pressure tire (left) and high pressure tire (right) (Huang, 1993)
Vehicle speed
The vehicle speed determines the frequency of moving loads, which may affect the
properties of pavement materials. For example, the stiffness of asphalt mixture is sensitive to the
frequency of loading. Slower speeds typically result in lower modulus values in asphalt concrete
which, in turn, increase strain levels.
Traffic volume distribution
On any given road, one direction typically carries more traffic than the other.
Furthermore, within one direction, each lane carries a different portion. The outer lane often
carries most of the trucks and therefore is usually subjected to heavier loading, especially for
Interstate highways. This requires the outer lane to be more resilient to load-induced damage.
To prepare traffic data for designing a new pavement, agencies may need to monitor the
characteristics of former traffic loads (i.e., past traffic volume, weight data, speed) along or near
the roadway segment to be designed, thus, they can best forecast the traffic inputs for design
purpose. Four main sources of traffic data are typically used for the traffic characterization in the
MEPDG: weigh-in-motion (WIM) data, automatic vehicle classification (AVC), vehicle counts,
22
and traffic forecasting and trip generation models (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Part 2, Chapter 4,
2004).
Environmental effects
The environment provides an independent medium that affects material properties. The
environment can vary much across different regions in a country with seasonal or monthly
changes. The key environmental concerns in the pavement design are typically temperature and
precipitation, which are usually recorded by local weather stations.
Temperature
Temperature greatly affects the behavior of asphalt materials. When the pavement gets
cold, the HMA becomes stiffer and tends to have fatigue damage because stiff materials often
have a shorter fatigue life. The extreme low temperature even induces low-temperature cracking,
which could happen regardless of traffic loading (Ksaibati and Erickson, 1998). In practice, this
problem can be avoided by adopting modified asphalt materials. Otherwise, when the pavement
gets hot, the HMA becomes softer and tends to deform under traffic loading so rutting is more
likely to occur at wheel paths.
Precipitation
Precipitation impacts the quantity of surface water, which can change the location of the
groundwater table once it infiltrates into the subgrade. The groundwater table should be kept at
least 3 feet below the pavement surface (Huang, 1993); otherwise, the seasonal frost will have a
detrimental effect on pavements. Also, excessive moisture will cause the loss of bond between
aggregates and binder, resulting in distresses, such as bottom-up cracking, stripping, and
raveling.
23
Materials
As mentioned previously, the properties of materials determine the inherent capability to
resist damage caused by traffic and environmental effects; thus, they need to be accurately
characterized. The properties generally include mechanistic properties, such as stiffness and
Poisson?s ratio, and some other properties, for example, the related properties for low-
temperature cracking: the tensile strength, creep compliance, and coefficient of thermal
expansion.
The characterization of material properties differs in asphalt mixture and unbound
materials. The discussion mainly covers the mechanistic properties for these two components
since they are key roles in the pavement behavior.
Asphalt mixture
Asphalt mixtures are often modeled as elastic materials in elastic layered systems. The
elastic modulus and the Poisson ratio were used to characterize asphalt mixture (Yoder &
Witczak, 1975). Sometimes the resilient modulus was used instead of elastic modulus, which
differed in the testing method. However, neither moduli accounted for the visco-elasticity of
asphalt mixture. As a result, the dynamic modulus (|E*|) was proposed to characterize asphalt
mixture so as to compute stress and strain in flexible pavements.
Elastic modulus
The elastic modulus, or Young?s modulus, is a measure of the elasticity of a material,
which is equal to the constant ratio of stress over strain within its elastic range of loading (i.e., a
load range where the relationship between the stress and strain is linear) (Elastic Modulus, 2007).
If the elastic modulus of asphalt mixture is higher, it will bend or deform less.
24
Resilient modulus
The resilient modulus of a material is an estimate of its elastic modulus (Resilient
Modulus, 2007). The resilient modulus is determined by the tri-axial test, in which a repeated
axial cycle stress of fixed patterns (i.e., magnitude, load duration, and cycle duration) is applied
to a cylindrical test specimen. The cyclic load application can simulate actual traffic loading
more accurately than constant load applications. The resilient modulus can be calculated as the
ratio of the repeated deviator axial stress to the recoverable axial strain.
Dynamic modulus
The dynamic modulus uses a complex number with two components, a viscous part and
an elastic part, to relate stress to strain for linear visco-elastic materials subjected to
continuously-applied sinusoidal loading in the frequency domain (Witczak et al., 2002). The
complex number is defined as the ratio of the amplitude of the sinusoidal stress (?) at any given
time (t) and the angular load frequency (?), and the amplitude of the sinusoidal strain (?) at the
same time and frequency (Witczak et al., 2002).
iEEt te eE ti ti *s i n*c o s*)s i n (s i n*
0
0)(
0
0 ????? ??? ??? ?? ? ?????? ? (2-1)
where,
?0 = peak (maximum) stress
?0 = peak (maximum) strain
? = phase angle
? = angular velocity
t = time
i = imaginary component of the complex modulus
25
This type of characterization for asphalt mixtures is under Level Input 1 in the MEPDG
to account for the interaction between material properties and environmental conditions. It can be
determined by the Asphalt Mixture Performance Test (AMPT).
Unbound materials
The unbound materials are not as frequency-temperature sensitive as asphalt mixtures.
The characterization of unbound materials mostly focuses on resilient modulus, Poisson ratio,
and the coefficient of lateral pressure. The resilient modulus can be measured from
backcalculation based on FWD data or through the use of correlations with other material
strength properties, such as California Bearing Ratio (CBR).
Moreover, only a few design methods, such as the MEPDG, require gradation, Atterberg
limits, and hydraulic conductivity to predict temperature and moisture conditions within the
pavement system.
Failure criteria
Failure criteria define the indicators related with the pavement failure (i.e., the occurrence
of major distresses) and their thresholds. In the AASHTO method, the present serviceability
index (PSI), which indicates the general condition of a pavement, is used as the criterion to judge
whether the pavement fails or not. The failure criteria for M-E method are described in detail
below.
Fatigue cracking
The failure criterion for fatigue cracking is the allowable number of load repetitions
before ?significant? cracking (or failure) occurs. In other words, if the number of applied load
repetitions exceeds the allowable number of load repetitions, significant fatigue cracking is
expected to occur. To identify and measure cracking, some visually evaluate the level of
26
cracking severity into low (no or a few cracks), moderate (interconnected cracks), and high
(severely interconnected cracks) categories (Oregon DOT Distress Survey Manual, 2010). The
definition of significant cracking (or failure) is often established on agencies? identification
perspective, engineering experience, management strategy, and funding availability. The Asphalt
Institute recommended an area greater than 45 percent of the wheel path or an equivalent 20
percent of the total lane as failure in their transfer functions (Priest and Timm, 2006). The
MEPDG considered 50 percent fatigue cracking of the total lane at a damage percentage of 100
percent as failure (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix II-1, 2004).
Rutting
The failure criterion for rutting is the allowable number of load repetitions before critical
rut depth is formed. If the actual number of repetitions exceeds the allowable number of
repetitions, rutting will cause driving discomfort and even potential safety hazards. The
evaluation for rutting condition is based on the average depth of rutting, and varies by type of
road. Usually, rut depth less than 0.2? is good, and rut depth larger than 0.5? is poor. The rut
depth between 0.2? and 0.5? is fair (Pavement Preservation Manual, 2009). The definition of
critical rut depth is often established on agencies? engineering experience, management strategy,
and funding availability.
IRI
IRI, as an overall evaluation of pavement performance, can also be taken as a failure
criterion. The failure criterion for IRI is usually an allowable level, which represents a
combination of different distresses. The FHWA suggests that a road surface with IRI rating
below 95 is in good condition, providing a decent ride quality; a road surface with IRI from 95 to
119 is in fair condition; a road surface with an IRI from 120 to 170 is in mediocre condition; and
27
a road with IRI above 170 is in poor condition, providing an unacceptable ride quality
(AASHTO and TRIP 2009, P9). The definition of allowable IRI is often established on agencies?
engineering experience, management strategy, and funding availability.
Other criteria
Besides the two failure criteria above, there are also some other criteria for specific
distresses, such as low-temperature cracking. The potential of low-temperature cracking for a
given pavement can be evaluated if the mix stiffness and fracture strength characteristics are
known and temperature data on-site are available to compute the thermal stress. The pavement
will crack when the computed thermal stress is greater than the fracture strength.
Reliability
The uncertainty and variability associated with design inputs have always been of great
concern to pavement engineers. Uncertainty exists in any prediction of future situations (i.e.,
traffic and environmental changes). Variability is common because pavement materials are
constructed with variance at different spatial locations. These may cause less accurate input
characterization, which is the basis of a pavement design. To guarantee the reliability of design,
there are two methods to account for uncertainty and variability associated with inputs:
deterministic and probabilistic (Huang, 1993). In the deterministic method, each design input has
a fixed value based on engineering judgment and experience. The designer assigns a safety factor
to each design input to allow more challenging conditions so that the final design can withstand
the risks beyond the estimated situation. A more realistic approach is the probabilistic method in
which each of the design factors is assigned a mean and a variance. The variability of a design
input is determined by characterizing its distribution, and then the reliability of an acceptable
design can be estimated (Huang, 1993). The reliability of a pavement design can be defined as
28
the probability that the performance indicator is acceptable. For example, the reliability in the
MEPDG is the probability that the performance of the pavement predicted for that design will be
satisfactory over the time period under consideration (Li et al., 2011). It is defined in the design
as equation (2-2).
R = P [performance indicator over design period < critical indicator level] (2-2)
where,
P = probability, percent
The basic elements of pavement design as discussed above are accounted for in the
pavement design methods which serve the project design. The following will introduce a few
traditional and modern design methods that use elements of pavement design.
TRADITIONAL DESIGN METHODS
California Method
The California Method was originally developed in the 1940s based on experience
obtained from test roads and pavement theory. It was adopted by the western states and has been
modified several times to suit the changes of regional traffic characteristics. The objective of the
original design method was to avoid plastic deformation and the distortion of the pavement
surface, but a later modification included the minimization of early fatigue cracking due to traffic
loads (Garber and Hoel, 2009).
The factors considered in this method are traffic loads and the strength of construction
materials. The traffic loads are initially calculated in terms of ESALs and then converted to a
traffic index (TI) as equation (2-3) (Garber and Hoel, 2009).
0 .1 1 9
6 )10E SA L(*9 .0TI ?
(2-3)
29
The strength of the subgrade material is determined by the Hveem Stabilometer test in
terms of the resistance value R. The strength characteristics of each layer material are described
by a gravel equivalent factor , which is determined based on the type of material.
The thicknesses of respective layers are determined by dividing gravel equivalents (GE)
by their factors . The GE can be derived by Equation (2-4) depending on the R value. The R
value is the resistance value of the material of the supporting layer (Garber and Hoel, 2009). For
subgrade, the R value is normally determined at an exudation pressure of 300 psi.
R)( 1 0 0*( T I )*0 .0 0 3 2GE ?? (2-4)
The California Method is simple to use but its applicability is highly subject to the local
traffic characteristics. Although the method accounts for the strength of supporting materials, it
does not consider the seasonal effect of the environment. Different types of distresses are
considered together to evaluate whether a pavement fails. It is not efficient to investigate a single
type of distress and consider preventive measures.
Asphalt Institute Method
The Asphalt Institute Method establishes its own relationships between subgrade
strength, traffic, and pavement structure. The goal of this method is to determine the minimum
thickness of the asphalt layer with which the pavement can satisfy the criteria in regard to two
types of strains: the horizontal tensile strain at the bottom of the asphalt layer, and the vertical
compressive strain at the surface of subgrade (Garber and Hoel, 2009). The AI method is a good
example of an early M-E approach to pavement design.
The basic design factors in this method are traffic characteristics, subgrade engineering
properties, and base/subbase engineering properties. The annual traffic containing a mix of
vehicle axle loads is converted to ESALs. In addition, the subgrade engineering properties
30
should be determined in the laboratory or relative to with other test values (i.e., CBR and R
value). The base/subbase material should satisfy certain quality requirements in terms of CBR,
liquid limit, Plasticity Index (PI), particle size distribution, and minimum sand equivalent.
The minimum thickness for various types of materials is determined by using a computer
program DAMA or by using the appropriate charts, such as design chart for full-depth asphalt
concrete shown in Figure 2.6.
Figure 2.6 Design chart for full depth asphalt concrete (Asphalt Institute, 1983)
The Asphalt Institute method is straightforward and provides a guide for thickness
determination for various paving materials. It also accounts for the effect of temperature on the
materials when selecting an appropriate design chart based on mean annual air temperature
(MAAT) of the local area. More importantly, the Asphalt Institute method is an M-E design
method which establishes the design criteria based on the mechanics of materials coupled with
the observed performance. The original fatigue transfer function was based on laboratory
equation developed by Monismith and Epps (1969). Then, the transfer function was calibrated
using field data from AASHO Road Test, considering the failure to be 45 percent cracking of
31
wheelpaths and then further modified to include a correction factor to account for the
volumetrics of the mixture as suggested by Pell and Cooper (1975). Furthermore, only the
determination of the soil modulus requires a reliability safety factor to account for the variability
from design inputs. The design procedures still lack the consideration of variations associated
with material quality, homogeneity, and construction technique, which might cause a non-
uniform pavement response at different spatial locations. Also, the options of pavement materials
are limited to several given material alternatives.
AASHTO Method
The AASHTO method includes a series of design methods with different versions based
on the original AASHO Road Test. It has been widely used by state agencies. According to an
FHWA survey (Asphalt Design Procedure 2007), 63 percent of the state DOTs were using the
1993 AASHTO method, while 12 percent of them were using the 1972 AASHTO method. In
addition, 8 percent of the state DOTs were using a combination of AASHTO methods and state
procedures. The AASHTO method aims to achieve a pavement design that allows a tolerable
serviceability decrease over the design life. The first version of this design equation directly
incorporated the empirical observations under the AASHO Road Test local conditions, and was
modified and extended its applicability to other regions (AASHTO 1972, 1986, 1993).
The 1993 AASHTO method empirically evaluates the effects of design factors on
pavement performance, with respect to design time constraints, traffic, reliability, serviceability,
environmental effect, and effective subgrade modulus. The method adopts the design equation,
as Equation (2-5) for flexible pavements, or a nomograph (Figure 2.7) to derive a thickness
design based on the evaluation of those design factors. In either the design equation or the
32
nomograph, the Structural Number (SN) is usually targeted as the result which can generate the
thicknesses of layers (AASHTO guide, 1993).
8 . 0 7l o g M*2 . 3 2
1)( S N
10940 . 4
]1 . 54 . 2? P S I[l o g
0 . 2 01)( S Nl o g*9 . 3 6S*Zl o g W R
5 . 1 9
10
100R18 ??
??
??????
(2-5)
where,
= predicted number of 80kN (18,000 lbs) ESALs
= standard normal deviate at chosen percent reliability (R)
= combined standard error of the traffic prediction and performance prediction
SN = structural number
PSI = difference between the initial design serviceability index, , and the design
terminal serviceability index,
= the resilient modulus of material used for the lower layer, psi
Figure 2.7 Nomograph (AASHTO guide, 1993)
Two variables are adopted for design time constraints: analysis period and performance
period. The analysis period is the length of time over which the whole pavement maintenance
33
strategy is designed to apply. It includes both the design life of use after initial construction and
the prolonged life due to planned rehabilitation. The performance period is the length of time
during which a pavement structure deteriorates from the initial serviceability to terminal
serviceability before rehabilitation, or the performance time between rehabilitation operations.
The analysis period is used for evaluating alternative long-term strategies based on the life-cycle
cost analysis (Huang, 1993).
The ESAL concept is used to quantify traffic loadings. The ESALs that a pavement will
encounter over the design life is determined by counting truck traffic, predicting traffic growth,
and converting this to ESALs (AASHTO Guide, 1993).
The reliability is determined by the functional classification of the pavement. For
example, for an Interstate highway in an urban area, the recommended reliability should lie
between 85 to 99.9 percent. The reliability is related to the ?normal deviate?, which is a statistic
adopted in the design equation (AASHTO Guide, 1993).
The change of serviceability represents the capacity of pavement to withstand damage
experienced between initial construction and terminal failure. The serviceability is evaluated by
PSI, which is derived based on the original PSR from the AASHO Road Test. The initial PSI is a
function of pavement classification and construction quality; and the terminal PSI is a design
index that can be tolerated until rehabilitation, resurfacing, or reconstruction (AASHTO Guide,
1993).
The effect of the environment is accounted for by applying an excessive reduction of
serviceability in the design equation. Since the AASHTO methods are derived based on the two-
year AASHO Road Test, the long-term effect of temperature and moisture on the pavement
structure cannot be precisely evaluated (AASHTO Guide, 1993).
34
The subgrade is characterized by one elastic modulus. This modulus would result in the
same damage as predicted by using the multiple moduli which account for its seasonal (or
monthly) fluctuation due to temperature, moisture, or load damage. In the Figure 2.8, the
monthly soil modulus is transferred to relative damage, and then the relative damages are
averaged. The average relative damage is used to derive the effective soil modulus, which
accounts for the monthly fluctuation of soil modulus.
Figure 2.8 Chart for estimating effective subgrade resilient modulus (FHWA, 2006)
The structural number is used to determine the thickness of respective layer. It is a
function of layer thicknesses, layer coefficients, and drainage coefficients as Equation (2-6)
shows, and it accounts for all the layers above the layer that MR characterizes (Figure 2.9).
35
Figure 2.9 Pavement structure (Garber and Hoel, 2009)
For example, if MR in the Equation (2-6) is substituted by the modulus of the base course
(E2) in Figure 2.9, the SN1 only accounts for the surface layer; if MR is substituted by the
modulus of the subbase course (E3), the SN2 accounts for the surface and base layer. Therefore,
the thickness of each layer can be derived by dividing ai from the corresponding ai * Di.
nnn333222 111n D*m*aD*m*a + D*m*a +D*m*a =SN ????? (2-6)
where,
SNn = structural number for the combined n-layer structure
ai = layer coefficient for surface, base, or subbase (i = 1, 2, 3, ???, or n)
mi = dainage coefficient for surface, base, or subbase (i = 1, 2, 3, ???, or n)
Di = the thickness of surface, base, or subbase (i = 1, 2, 3, ???, or n), in.
The AASHTO methods first adopted the concept of ESALs to quantify the effect of
traffic loadings and the concept of PSI to evaluate the serviceability of pavement condition.
Additionally, the AASHTO methods have specific variables in the design procedure to account
for the effect of climate and subgrade. However, these methods are empirically-based because
they are proposed based on the AASHO Road Test. Therefore, the efficiency of the AASHTO
methods cannot be well-guaranteed in different regions with characteristics of modern traffic,
climate, and materials.
36
MEPDG
Introduction
The Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) is a pavement design
guide associated with its computer software that applies the mechanistic-empirical design to
analyze input data and to predict the damage accumulation over the design life. It is applicable to
designs for new or rehabilitated pavements, in any type of flexible, rigid, and semi-rigid
pavement. The typical predicted distresses for flexible pavement designs are alligator cracking,
rutting, thermal cracking; and for rigid pavement designs, faulting, cracking, and continuously
reinforced concrete pavement (CRCP) punch-outs. Design performance can be compared with
the threshold values, or comparisons of performance may be made for alternate designs with
varying traffic, structure, and materials (Sharpe, 2004).
The MEPDG is one of the most sophisticated design methods because it not only
characterizes design inputs in all-inclusive details, but also incorporates the M-E design structure
with advanced features in reliability, input hierarchy, and distress analysis. It is not as
straightforward as the older AASHTO methods, which derive pavement thicknesses directly
from design equation or the nomograph; it requires an iterative process in which the pavement
structure configuration is adjusted until the predicted performance of pavement satisfies the
design criteria.
Input Characterization
The MEPDG employs a hierarchical approach for selecting design inputs based on the
designer?s knowledge of input parameters and importance of project (Li et al., 2011). The input
Level 1 requires measured data directly, either in-situ or project-specific. This level represents
the most familiar situation for a specific project. The input Level 2 needs a lower accuracy of
37
input information. The input parameters could be estimated by correlations or regression
equations. The input Level 3 is the easiest one to determine just using estimated or default
values. Most of the inputs in this study were provided at input Level 1, which helps to minimize
the error in the estimation of design inputs.
Material characterization
The MEPDG characterize materials using many properties, which are required by the
mechanistic model, transfer functions, and the climatic model (NCHRP Project 1-37A Report,
Part 2, Chapter 2, 2004).
For asphalt concrete, the mechanistic model requires two basic properties: dynamic
modulus and Poisson?s ratio. The Poisson?s ratio can be assumed but the dynamic modulus is a
variable affected by temperature and loading frequency. The dynamic modulus is provided by
lab data at input Level 1. The properties for transfer functions are tensile strength, creep
compliance, and coefficient of thermal expansion (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Part 2, Chapter 2,
2004). In addition, the parameters required for the climatic model are mainly thermal properties
of HMA and binder viscosity.
For unbound materials, the resilient modulus and the Poisson?s ratio are used in the
mechanistic model. The unit weight and the coefficient of thermal expansion are needed if the
unbound material is considered to be stress-sensitive at input Level 1. No inputs are required by
transfer functions for flexible pavement designs. In addition, the gradation parameters, plasticity
index, optimum moisture contents are needed for climatic models (NCHRP Project 1-37A
Report, Part 2, Chapter 2, 2004).
38
Environmental effects characterization
The MEPDG adopted the Enhanced Integrated Climate Model (EICM) to characterize
environmental effects. The EICM is a one-dimensional heat and moisture flow program that
simulates changes in the behavior and characteristics of pavement and subgrade materials in
conjunction with climatic conditions. The major output from the EICM is a set of adjustment
factors for unbound layer materials, which accounts for the effects of environmental conditions.
Also, three additional outputs of importance are the temperatures at midpoints of each bound
layer, the temperature profiles within the asphalt for every hour, and the average moisture
content for each sub-layer (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Part 2, Chapter 3, 2004). These outputs are
incorporated into the design framework regarding materials characterization, structural response,
and performance prediction. The EICM enables hourly characterization of temperature, moisture,
and frost throughout the pavement structure, considerably enhancing the quality of pavement
design. The source of environmental data comes from more than 800 weather stations of the
National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) throughout the United States, which allows the user to
select a given station or generate a climatic data file for local use (Li et al., 2011).
Traffic characterization
The MEPDG no longer uses the ESAL concept to evaluate traffic, but adopts the load
spectra for analyzing traffic directly in a series of load ranges of axles. The inputs accounting for
axle type, load magnitude, and traffic volume jointly define the number of loading repetitions for
each axle group classified by axle configuration and magnitude; and the numbers of loading
repetitions will be analyzed for the damage accumulation.
39
Mechanistic Models
The MEPDG utilizes the JULEA multilayer elastic theory program to calculate
mechanistic responses of the pavement structure assuming that all materials can be treated as
linearly elastic (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Part 3, Chapter 3, 2004). Each pavement layer (i.e.,
asphalt, base, and subgrade) is actually divided into thinner sub-layers so that the varying
properties at different depths can be captured. The JULEA program can predict stress, strain or
deflection at any point in a particular layer or sub-layer based on material properties, layer
structure, and loading conditions; meanwhile, it provides a combination of analysis features,
theoretical rigor, and computational speed (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Part 3, Chapter 3, 2004). The
load-induced responses are analyzed at critical locations with various depths and the most
damage-vulnerable points are used to predict pavement distress performance (Schwartz and
Carvalho, 2007). In addition, the Finite Element Model (FEM) would be applied to the special
situation that the non-linear behavior of unbound materials is simulated (e.g., Input Level 1 for
subgrade materials).
Distress Prediction Models
Fatigue cracking
The fatigue cracking model for asphalt concrete in the MEPDG was obtained based upon
the Asphalt Institute?s equation, which was derived by modifications to constant stress laboratory
fatigue criteria (Asphalt Institute, 1982). The Asphalt Institute?s equation was calibrated to
Equation (2-7) using data from 82 LTPP sections including new and rehabilitated pavements
across the country with different climatic locations and diverse range of site features. The
calibration process included collecting the LTPP calibration data, running the MEPDG
simulation using different sets of coefficients, comparing the predicted damage to the measured
40
cracking, and minimizing the square of errors between predicted damage and the measured
cracking (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix II-1, 2004). The standard error of model predictions
was 6.2% (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix II-1, 2004). The local calibration coefficients
were set to be 1 in the nationally-calibrated models.
1 . 2 8 1*- ?3 . 9 4 9 2*- ?tff 3f2f1 E*?*?*C*0 . 0 0 4 3 2 =N (2-7)
where,
= number of repetitions of a given magnitude of load to failure
, , = local calibration coefficients
C = laboratory to field adjustment factor, C=10M and
0 .6 9 )-VV V(*4 .8 4 =M b e ffa b e ff?
= the effective binder content, percent by volume
= the air voids, percent by volume
= tensile strain at the critical location in the asphalt layer, in./in.
= asphalt concrete stiffness at given temperature, psi
Then, the damage caused by a given magnitude of load will be accumulated in terms of
the ratio between the actual load repetitions and allowable load repetitions based on the Miner?s
Law (1945):
? ijijk Nn =D (2-8)
where,
= damage for layer k
= actual load repetitions for load i within period j
41
= allowable load repetitions for load i within period j
In order to provide in-situ representation for cracking, the MEPDG adopted another
model, called alligator cracking model, to relate the accumulated damage ( ) to the cracked
area. Fatigue cracking is measured in terms of cracking area as the percentage of the lane area in
the MEPDG, and 50% of the total lane area is considered as failure (NCHRP 1-37A Report,
Appendix II-1, 2004). This model was calibrated to be as followed using the same LTPP
database.
)601(*)e1 6000( =FC 1 0 0 ) )*C 2 '* lo g ( D*C2C 1 '*( C 1 k?? (2-9)
- 2 . 8 5 6AC2 )h3 9 . 7 4 8 ( 1-- 2 . 4 0 8 7 4='C ? (2-10)
'C*-2='C 21 (2-11)
where,
= alligator fatigue cracking, percent
= = 1
=damage for layer k, percent
= total thickness of asphalt layer, in.
Rutting
In the MEPDG, rutting is evaluated for asphalt concrete and unbound materials,
respectively. For asphalt concrete, the adopted rutting model was initially based on Leahy?s
model, modified by Ayes, and last by Kaloush (Schwartz and Carvalho, 2007). For unbound
materials, the model was first derived by Tseng and Lytton, which was modified by Ayres and
later on by El-Basyouny and Witczak (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix GG-1, 2004). The
national calibration was performed using the identical LTPP sections used for the fatigue
42
cracking model calibration. The calibration process included collecting the LTPP calibration
data, running the MEPDG simulation using different sets of coefficients, selecting the best
coefficients based on the reasonableness of the results, adjusting functions for confining
pressure, and minimizing the square of errors between predicted damage and the measured
cracking. As a result, the predictions produced a SE of 0.055 inch for the asphalt concrete model
(NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix GG-1, 2004). The SE was 0.014 inch for the base/subbase
model, and 0.056 inch for the subgrade model (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix GG-1, 2004).
For asphalt rutting prediction in the MEPDG, the asphalt concrete layer is subdivided into
thinner sublayers, so the total predicted rut depth for the asphalt concrete layer can be achieved
by:
? ?n 1i iipAC ?h*)(? =R u t (2-12)
where,
= rut depth at the asphalt concrete layer, in.
n = number of sublayers
( ) = vertical plastic strain at mid-thickness of sublayer i, in./in.
= thickness of sublayer i, in.
The vertical plastic strain ( ) in the sublayer i can be determined by the nationally-
calibrated model below, which was calibrated using identical LTPP pavement sections used for
asphalt concrete fatigue cracking model calibration (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix GG-1,
2004). The resilient strain is derived by the mechanistic model.
43
32 *0 . 4 7 9 1*1 . 5 6 0 63 . 3 5 4 1 2-1
r
p N*T*10* = ????? (2-13)
where,
= computed vertical resilient strain at mid-thickness of the sublayer i, in./in.
, , = regression coefficients derived from laboratory testing
, , = local calibration coefficients
T = temperature, ?F
N = number of repetitions from a given load group
The unbound granular materials are also divided into sublayers, and the total rut depth is
the summation of rut depth appeared in each of sublayers. The rut depth ( ) appeared in any
given sublayer is computed as:
iv)N
?(-
r
p11i h*?*e*)??(*k*? =? ? (2-14)
where,
= rut depth or plastic deformation of the sublayer i, in.
= local calibration coefficient
= regression coefficient determined from the laboratory permanent deformation test
= intercept for the sublayer i determined from laboratory repeated load permanent
deformation tests, in./in.
= resilient stain for the sublayer i imposed in laboratory test to obtain material
properties (i.e., , , and ), in./in.
, = material properties
N = number of load applications
44
= average vertical resilient strain in the sublayer i for a given load and calculated by
the mechanistic model, in./in.
= thickness of the sub-layer i, in.
It is not computationally feasible to divide the subgrade into sublayers so as to estimate
the total subgrade rut depth because the subgrade is regarded as a semi-infinite layer in the
structural response models (NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix GG-1, 2004). An adjustment on
the rutting models is therefore required for computing the plastic strains in a semi-infinite layer.
The plastic strain at different depths can be computed with a simpler method as Equation (2-15),
and it will be used to determine the total subgrade rutting (Schwartz and Carvalho, 2007).
z*-0PP e*)(=(z ) ???
(2-15)
where,
( ) = plastic vertical strain at the depth z (measured from the top of the subgrade),
in./in.
= plastic vertical strain at the top of the subgrade (i.e., z=0), in./in.
Z = depth measured from the top of the subgrade, in.
= regression coefficient
With regard to determine the value of , two depths in the subgrade were utilized to fit
Equation (2-15) and solve a system of two equations. The MEPDG uses the top of the subgrade
(z=0) and 6 inches below the top (z=6). The plastic strains at these two depths can be derived by
Equation (2-14) given that the plastic strain is also the ratio of the rut depth over the sublayer
thickness (i.e., / ).
The total subgrade ( ) rut depth can be computed by integrating Equation (2-16) over
the whole subgrade down until the bedrock (Schwartz and Carvalho, 2007).
45
p0
h-
sb )ke-1( =? b ed r o ck ?
?
(2-16)
where,
hbedrock = depth to the beckrock, in.
Roughness
The MEPDG roughness models were developed for flexible pavements with three types
of base layers: relatively thick granular base, asphalt-treated base, and cement-treated base
(NCHRP 1-37A Report, Appendix OO-3, 2004). The IRI model considered over 350 LTPP
sections in the calibration. The SE was 0.387 m/km. The equation for conventional flexible
pavement with thick granular base is shown as Equation (2-17). The calibration coefficients
shown in the MEPDG were specified regarding rutting, fatigue cracking, transverse cracking,
and site factors (Darter, Titus-Glover, and Von Quintus, 2009).
IRI = IRI0 + 40 (RD) + 0.400 (FCTotal) + 0.008 (TC) + 0.015 (SF) (2-17)
where,
RD = average rut depth, in.
FCTotal = total area of load-related cracking (combined alligator, longitudinal, and
reflection cracking in the wheel path), percent of wheel path area
TC = total length of transverse cracks, ft./mile
SF = site factor
SF = Frosth + Swellp * Age1.5 (2-18)
where,
Frosth = Ln [(Precip+1) * Fines * (FI + 1)]
Swellp = Ln [(Precip+1) * Clay * (PI + 1)]
Fines = Fsand + Silt
46
Age = pavement age, year
PI = subgrade soil plasticity index, percent
Precip = average annual precipitation or rainfall, in
FI = average annual freezing index, ?F days
Fsand = amount of fine sand particles (between 0.074 and 0.42 mm) in subgrade, percent
Silt = amount of silt particles (between 0.074 and 0.002 mm) in subgrade, percent
Clay = amount of clay particles (less than 0.002 mm) in subgrade, percent
Local Calibration
The MEPDG, like all mechanistic-empirical design methods, relies on predictions of
pavement responses under load correlated to empirical predictions of distress. The distress
prediction models in the MEPDG were derived based on a national calibration of previously-
developed equations using LTPP data from the entire U.S. Thus, the models reflect a wide range
of traffic conditions, climates, and structural configurations, rather than a state-specific or local
design scenario. Furthermore, modern advancements in asphalt technology, such as polymer-
modified materials and warm-mix asphalt were not included in the LTPP sections during the
MEPDG national calibration. Since state and regional differences, in addFition to material
characteristics, can strongly influence pavement performance, there is a need for local calibration
of the transfer functions prior to implementation of the MEPDG.
The aim of local calibration is to reduce the difference between an observed result and a
predicted result to a minimum value. The calibration process is performed on pavement sections
that are characterized in traffic, climate, material, and field performance. The stepwise procedure
recommended for a local calibration includes (AASHTO?s Guide for the Local Calibration of the
MEPDG, 2010):
47
a. Select hierarchical input levels for use in local calibration
b. Develop experimental design & matrix
c. Estimate sample size for each distress simulation model
d. Select roadway segment
e. Extract and evaluate roadway segment/test section data
f. Conduct field investigation of test sections to define missing data
g. Assess bias for the experimental matrix or sampling template
h. Determine local calibration coefficient to eliminate bias of transfer function
i. Assess standard error for transfer function
j. Improve precision of model; Modify coefficients and exponents of transfer functions
or develop calibration function
k. Interpretation of results; Decide on adequacy of calibration coefficients
The recommended procedure by AASHTO provides a systematic guidance for
performing local calibration of the MEPDG. The methodology of this study is discussed in
Chapter 4 including local calibration and validation. The following section details local
calibration efforts conducted by several states.
LOCAL CALIBRATION CASE STUDIES
Washington
The Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) initiated MEPDG local
calibration for the replacement of the 1993 AASHTO Design Guide by the MEPDG. The
research utilized a total of 38 weight-in-motion stations with different locations and traffic
patterns throughout Washington. The climate data recorded by the weather stations in
Washington were tested, inspected, and judged to be acceptable for calibration efforts (Li et al.,
48
2009). The traffic data were obtained from the WSDOT project design records. The structural
information and pavement performance were provided by the Washington State Pavement
Management System (WSPMS).
The use of the calibration dataset combined two statistical approaches: split-sample
approach and jackknife testing approach (Li et al., 2009). The split-sample approach is to split
the sample into two subsets: one for the local calibration and the other for the validation. The
datasets for local calibration and validation need to be independent of each other to ensure
validity of analysis. The jackknife approach is to re-compute the statistic estimate leaving out
one or more observations at a time from the sample set. In the new set of replicates of the
statistic, an estimate for the bias and an estimate for the variance of the statistic can be
calculated.
The local calibration process was implemented by five basic steps: bench testing, model
analysis, calibration, validation, and iteration (Li et al., 2009). For the bench testing, it aimed to
evaluate the MEPDG regarding the run-time issues and the reasonableness of model predictions,
and to identify the needs of local calibration. The reasonableness of the models was checked by
varying key design parameters of traffic loading, climate, layer thickness, and soil properties;
and then comparing results with expected pavement performance.
The local calibration should be performed in an appropriate order among different
distress models (Li et al., 2009). First, the asphalt mixture fatigue model needed to be calibrated
before the longitudinal and alligator cracking models. Second, the cracking and rutting models
needed to be calibrated before calibrating the roughness model. Also, the team conducted a
sensitivity analysis on the calibration coefficients of the models, which intends to evaluate how
49
much each calibration coefficient affects the results of pavement distress models (Li et al., 2009).
The sensitivity was defined as follows:
i
i
Cd i s t r e s s
CC
d is tr e s sd is tr e s sE i )( )( ??? (2-19)
where,
= sensitivity of calibration coefficient Ci for the associated distress condition
? (distress)= change in estimated distress associated with a change in factor Ci
? (Ci)= change in the calibration coefficient Ci
distress = estimated distress using default calibration coefficients
Ci = default value
Table 2.1 shows the sensitivity of each calibration coefficient based on typical pavement
characteristics in Washington State. A positive value implies that the prediction increases as the
calibration coefficient increases, and a negative value implies that the prediction decreases as the
coefficient increases. Zero implies that the coefficient has no impact on the model prediction.
50
Table 2.1 Sensitivity of the MEPDG calibration coefficients (Li et al., 2009)
Local calibration
coefficients
Sensitivity values Related variables in the
MEPDG distress models
AC fatigue
-3.3 Effective binder content, air voids,
AC thickness
-40 Tensile strain
20 Material stiffness
Longitudinal cracking
-0.2 Fatigue damage, traffic
1 Fatigue damage, traffic
0 No related variable
? 0 No related variable
Alligator cracking
1 AC thickness
0 Fatigue damage, AC thickness
? 0 No related variable
Rutting
0.6 Layer thickness, layer resilient
strain
20.6 Temperature
8.9 Number of load repetitions
IRI
Not available Rutting
Not available Fatigue cracking
Not available Transverse cracking
Not available Site factor
Only new flexible pavement sections were selected in this study. The local calibration
results were derived by minimizing the root-mean-square error (RMSE) between the MEPDG
predictions and WSPMS measured data on all selected sections.
The local calibration was performed based on two representative sections, while the local
calibration results were validated by using a broad dataset which are independent of the two
sections. Thirteen flexible pavement stations for validation were selected from three different
data sources based on traffic level, soil, and climate conditions. Five pavement sections from a
previous WSDOT study covered high/medium/low traffic with strong subgrade in western
Washington, medium traffic with strong subgrade in eastern Washington, and medium traffic
with weak subgrade in eastern Washington. Six representative sections were from WSPMS
51
accounting for high/low traffic with strong subgrade for both western and eastern Washington,
low traffic with weak subgrade in eastern Washington, and medium traffic with strong subgrade
on mountain area. In addition, two sections in Washington were used in the original MEPDG
national calibration, which was classified as medium traffic with strong subgrade in eastern
Washington and high traffic with strong subgrade in western Washington (Li et al., 2009).
For the calibration, an initial set of calibration coefficients was assumed in the MEPDG
for each of the two selected sections for the local calibration. Then, one of the calibration
coefficients with a higher sensitivity value was varied and run iteratively to evaluate the RMSE
(Li et al., 2009). Once no significant improvement for RMSE was made, another coefficient with
the higher sensitivity among the rest was adjusted in the MEPDG. The results of local calibration
should be a set of calibration factors that lead to the lowest RMSE between the MEPDG
predictions and WSPMS observations. Then, the local calibration results were validated by using
other sections. Table 2.2 below shows the final calibration results of this study.
52
Table 2.2 Final local calibration coefficients (Li et al., 2009)
Calibration Factor MEPDG Default After Local Calibration
AC fatigue
1 0.96
1 0.97
1 1.03
Longitudinal cracking
7 6.42
3.5 3.596
0 0
1000 1000
Alligator cracking
1 1.071
1 1
6000 6000
AC rutting
1 1.05
1 1.109
1 1.1
Subgrade rutting
1 0
IRI
40 N/A
0.4 N/A
0.008 N/A
0.015 N/A
In this study, it was found that the alligator cracking was significant in WSDOT flexible
pavements; and the locally-calibrated alligator cracking curve showed the same trend as the
measured data (Li et al., 2009). The plots below show the measured and predicted alligator
cracking in western and eastern Washington.
53
Figure 2.10 Measured and predicted alligator cracking in western Washington (Li et al.,
2009)
Figure 2.11 Measured and predicted alligator cracking in eastern Washington (Li et al.,
2009)
The longitudinal cracking was significant and the locally-calibrated model provided a
reasonable prediction of longitudinal cracking (Li et al., 2009). The plots below show the
measured and predicted longitudinal cracking in western and eastern Washington.
54
Figure 2.12 Measured and predicted longitudinal cracking in western Washington (Li et
al., 2009)
Figure 2.13 Measured and predicted longitudinal cracking in eastern Washington (Li et al.,
2009)
As for the transverse cracking, WSPMS data showed no transverse cracking in Western
Washington but a significant amount in eastern Washington (Li et al., 2009). The predicted
transverse cracking by the nationally-calibrated model matched well with the WSPMS data and
55
WSDOT observations. The plots below show the measured and predicted transverse cracking in
western and eastern Washington.
Figure 2.14 Measured and predicted transverse cracking in western Washington (Li et al.,
2009)
Figure 2.15 Measured and predicted transverse cracking in eastern Washington (Li et al.,
2009)
56
In addition, the rutting predictions of the locally-calibrated model matched well with
WSPMS data throughout the design life. The plots below show the conformity of the measured
rutting with predicted rutting in western and eastern Washington.
Figure 2.16 Measured and predicted rutting in western Washington (Li et al., 2009)
Figure 2.17 Measured and predicted rutting in eastern Washington (Li et al., 2009)
57
For the roughness, the measured values of WSDOT flexible pavements tended to be
higher than the nationally-calibrated model predictions. However, the difference between the
MEPDG predictions and measurements can be minimized by the roughness local calibration (Li
et al., 2009). The plots below show the comparison between the measured and predicted IRI in
western and eastern Washington.
Figure 2.18 Measured and predicted IRI in western Washington (Li et al., 2009)
Figure 2.19 Measured and predicted IRI in eastern Washington (Li et al., 2009)
58
North Carolina
The North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT) conducted a local
calibration of the MEPDG for asphalt pavements in terms of the rutting model and bottom-up
fatigue cracking model (Muthadi and Kim, 2008). In terms of the calibration dataset, 30 LTPP
pavement sections (i.e., 16 new flexible pavement sections and 14 rehabilitated sections) were
chosen from the LTPP database, and 23 NCDOT pavement sections were selected from the
NCDOT data system. A total of 53 sections were selected from three geographic areas:
mountain, piedmont, and coastal regions. The climatic data for these sections was obtained by
interpolating the data from weather stations nearby based on the local geographic information
(Muthadi and Kim, 2008).
An experimental matrix was developed to classify all sections based on their pavement
types and structures (Muthadi and Kim, 2008). 39 new sections (i.e., 11 sections with thin HMA,
11 with intermediate HMA, and 17 with thick HMA) and 14 rehabilitated sections (i.e., 8
sections with intermediate HMA and 6 sections with thick HMA) were selected in this study.
Approximately 80% of the dataset (including data from 53 sections) were utilized for the
calibration and the remaining 20% were for the validation.
The local calibration plan included three steps (Muthadi and Kim, 2008): first, run the
MEPDG based on the local traffic, climate, and material information using the nationally-
calibrated models. Second, calibrate the coefficients in the models to minimize the bias between
the predicted and the measured distresses and reduce the standard error, if any exists. Third,
validate the recommended calibration coefficients by evaluating the accuracy of prediction
models. The following are major concerns and important findings in this study.
59
For the rutting model, it was recognized that the appropriate value of calibration
coefficient can be solved by using the Microsoft Excel Solver program instead of running the
MEPDG many times (Muthadi and Kim, 2008). Furthermore, was varied to reduce the error
between the predicted and measured granular base rutting; and was varied for the subgrade
rutting (Muthadi and Kim, 2008). However, the measured rut depth distributed in each layer (i.e.,
asphalt, granular base, and subgrade) cannot be directly obtained in the field like the total rut
depth, so the measured rut depth must be estimated. It was assumed that the portion of the
predicted rut depth distributed in each layer was the same as the portion of the measured rut
depth distributed in each layer. So the measured granular base rut depth and subgrade rut depth
can be calculated based on their proportions accounted in the total predicted rut depth (Muthadi
and Kim, 2008).
In the local calibration, a Chi-square test was performed to determine whether the
standard error provided by the local calibration results was significantly different from that
provided by the national calibration results (Muthadi and Kim, 2008). For the rutting model, the
standard error provided by local calibration results was not significantly different from that by
national calibration results (Table 2.3). For the fatigue cracking model, the results of local
calibration (i.e., R2 = 0.11 and standard error = 3.64) were still considered to be better than the
results of national calibration (i.e., R2 = 0.03 and standard error = 6.02), but Figure 2.20 revealed
that neither of them looked satisfactory. One possible reason identified was that the cracks
outside the wheel path were usually ignored in the measurements by NCDOT, which caused the
under-estimation of fatigue cracking.
60
Table 2.3 Statistical summary of the rutting model local calibration results (Muthadi and
Kim, 2008)
AC GB
National
calibration
Local
calibration
National
calibration
Local
calibration
Average Rut
depth (in)
0.1178 0.1030 0.0442 0.0344
SE(in) 0.054 0.047 0.027 0.021
Bias(in) -0.0149 0 -0.0098 0
p-value
0.00622,
<0.05
0.499,
>0.05
0.0002,
<0.05
0.5,
>0.05
N 111 111 111 111
SG Total
National
calibration
Local
calibration
National
calibration
Local
calibration
Average Rut
depth(in)
0.1551 0.1026 0.3171 0.2399
SE(in) 0.084 0.056 0.154 0.109
Bias(in) -0.0525 0 -0.0771 0
p-value 1.6E-9,
<0.05
0.5,
>0.05
2.9E-7,
<0.05
0.499,
>0.05
N 111 111 111 111
61
Figure 2.20 Measured versus predicted distresses: (a) total rut depth predicted by
nationally-calibrated rutting model (b) total rut depth by locally-calibrated rutting model
(c) fatigue cracking by nationally-calibrated rutting model (d) fatigue cracking by locally-
calibrated rutting model (Muthadi and Kim, 2008)
Then, the remaining 20% of the dataset were used to validate the reasonableness of the
final calibrated models. The results of the validation were shown in Table 2.4.
Table 2.4 Statistical summary of validation results (Muthadi and Kim, 2008)
rutting model fatigue cracking model
SE 0.145 in 4.86 %
bias 0.033 in -5.04%
N 26 32
chi-square Statistic 36.82 5.66
degree of freedom 25 31
p-value 0.0599, >0.05 0.9999, >0.05
Finally, the recommendation regarding the calibration coefficients was exhibited in Table
2.5. It was concluded that the rut depth values predicted by the locally-calibrated model matched
well the observed rut depth values in LTPP sections; the locally-calibrated alligator cracking
62
model under-predicted the percentage of alligator cracking for most of the sections (Muthadi and
Kim, 2008).
Table 2.5 Recommended calibration coefficients (Muthadi and Kim, 2008)
calibration
coefficient
national
calibration
local
calibration
Rutting
AC -3.4488 -3.41273
1.5606 1.5606
0.479244 0.479244
GB 1.673 1.5803
SG 1.35 1.10491
Fatigue
AC 0.00432 0.007566
3.9492 3.9492
1.281 1.281
1 0.437199
1 0.150494
Ohio State
Mallela et al. composed guidelines of implementing the MEPDG for Ohio. They
collected input data using information from the LTPP sections. The sensitivity analysis was first
performed to evaluate how the variation in the output of a model can be apportioned,
qualitatively or quantitatively, to different sources of variation in the input of a model (Mallela et
al., 2009). Then, the local calibration of performance prediction models were conducted by
modifying calibration coefficients. The adequacy of the local calibration was evaluated by
checking the results of prediction with the measured data. The statistical analysis was provided
to evaluate the difference between predictions and measured data.
In this study, the alligator cracking model was not calibrated because the field
measurement of the alligator cracking was often disturbed by the early generated longitudinal
cracking during construction. For the HMA transverse cracking, a non-statistical comparison was
performed between measured and predicted values after the local calibration, and a further
evaluation was recommended by using data from northern Ohio sites (Mallela et al., 2009). The
63
nationally-calibrated rutting model consistently over-predicted the rut depth. Considering the fact
most of the sections used for local calibration have relatively thick HMA layers, the proportion
of HMA layer rutting (about 17 to 44 percent) in the total rutting was proportionately higher.
Therefore, they attempted to reduce the proportion of unbound layers in the total rutting by
adjusting the sub-model coefficients and . Also, the MEPDG over-predicted rutting for
lower magnitudes of measured rutting and under-predicted rutting for the higher magnitudes of
measured rutting. This requires an adjustment to and of the HMA rutting sub-model
(Mallela et al., 2009). The results of the statistical analysis before local calibration are presented
in Table 2.6 and Figure 2.21.
Table 2.6 Hypothesis testing before local calibration of the rutting model (Mallela et al.,
2009)
Hypothesis DF Parameter
Estimate
Std.
Error
t Value p-value 95 Percent
Confidence
Limits
H0: Intercept =0 1 0.2178 0.0059 36.8 <0.0001 0.21 0.23
H0: Slope = 1 1 1.0228 0.0571 13.49 <0.0001 0.65 0.88
H0: Measured-
Predicted Rutting
=0
101 -52.7 <0.0001
Figure 2.21 Measured versus predicted HMA total rutting before local calibration (Mallela
et al., 2009)
64
The total rutting model was locally-calibrated using Equation (2-20) (Mallela et al.,
2009). The results of the statistical analysis after local calibration are presented in Table 2.7.
S u b g r a d eB a s eACt o t a l R u t*33.0R u t*32.0R u t*0 . 5 1 =R u t ?? (2-20)
where,
Ruttotal= total rut depth, in.
RutAC= asphalt rut depth, in.
RutBase= base rut depth, in.
RutSubgrade= subgrade rut depth, in.
Table 2.7 Hypothesis testing after local calibration of the rutting model (Mallela et al.,
2009)
Hypothesis DF Parameter
Estimate
Std.
Error
t Value p-value 95 Percent
Confidence
Limits
H0: Intercept =0 1 0.083 0.0024 34.4 <0.0001 0.078 0.087
H0: Slope = 1 1 0.952 0.049 19.4 0.3395 0.855 1.05
H0: Measured-
Predicted Rutting
=0
101 -5.62 <0.0001
The measured and predicted HMA total rutting are shown in Figure 2.22. It can be seen
that the number of data points was the same as that in Figure 2.21 but the R2 was 0.63. It was
found previously in Figure 2.21 that the predicted rutting was generally 0.2 in. higher than the
measured rutting. However, the R2 was reported to be 0.64, which was even higher than the R2
value of 0.63 in Figure 2.22. Therefore, the local calibration did improve the prediction but did
not increase the R2. It suggested that the R2 was not an efficient statistic to evaluate the
improvement of MEPDG predictions.
65
Figure 2.22 Measured versus predicted HMA total rutting after local calibration (Mallela
et al., 2009)
It was found that the goodness of fit of the locally-calibrated model was adequate, but the
model predictions were still with bias. A more comprehensive evaluation of HMA pavement
mixtures and a larger calibration dataset would be necessary to calibrate the models for ODOT in
the future (Mallela et al., 2009). Besides, the nationally-calibrated IRI model for HMA provided
a poor correlation ( ) between the measured and MEPDG predicted values. Through a
local calibration, the R-square value increased to 0.69 while the SEE was about the same as the
nationally-calibrated model (Mallela et al., 2009). The bias produced by the locally-calibrated
model was considered to be acceptable compared with the nationally-calibrated model.
Minnesota State
Minnesota utilized the data from the MnROAD project for their local calibration (Hoegh
et al., 2010). They mainly compared the actual measurement of rutting data from 31 test sections
located on I-94 highway with the MEPDG predicted rutting data for those sections. It was found
that the total rut depth predicted by the nationally-calibrated model was far higher than measured
total rut depth (Hoegh et al., 2010). The predicted base and subgrade rutting was found
66
unreasonably high as Figure 2.23 shows. However, the HMA rut depth predicted by the
nationally-calibrated model was quite similar to the measured total rut depth. Therefore, their
local calibration modified the nationally-calibrated model predictions by subtracting the
predicted value in the first month. This can reduce the bias between the predicted and measured
rut depth. The following local calibration of the MEPDG rutting model was proposed as below
(Hoegh et al., 2010).
*R u t*R u tR u t =R u t S u b g r a d eB a s eACt o t a l ?? (2-21)
B a s e 1B a s eB a s e R u tR u t =*R u t ? (2-22)
S u b g r a d e 1S u b g r a d eS u b g r a d e R u tR u t =*R u t ? (2.23)
where,
Ruttotal = predicted surface rut depth using the nationally-calibrated model, in.
RutAC = predicted asphalt rut depth using the nationally-calibrated model, in.
RutBase*= predicted base rut depth after model local calibration, in.
RutSubgrade*= predicted subgrade rut depth after model local calibration, in.
RutBase = predicted base rut depth using the nationally-calibrated model, in.
RutSubgrade = predicted subgrade rut depth using the nationally-calibrated model, in.
RutBase1 = predicted base rut depth using the nationally-calibrated model in the first
month, in.
RutSubgrade1= predicted subgrade rut depth using the nationally-calibrated model in the
first month, in.
67
Figure 2.23 Measured and predicted rutting for Section 2 before local calibration (Hoegh et
al., 2010)
Figure 2.24 Measured and predicted rutting for Section 2 after local calibration (Hoegh et
al., 2010)
So the predicted rutting curve after local calibration had a better correlation with
measured rutting curve for the entire life of pavement and this trend was observed for most of the
sections (Figure 2.24). It was suggested that the locally-calibrated rutting model was an
improvement for the Minnesota conditions despite a wide range of local design features, such as
different traffic mixes, and different pavement ages (Hoegh et al., 2010).
68
SUMMARY
The local calibration of the MEPDG needs to be performed based on a comprehensive
understanding of pavement design concepts. Therefore, this chapter gathers the basic knowledge
from literature to equip the study toward pavement designs. It can help to inform the
fundamentals of pavement design and illuminate the modern trend of design needs before getting
into the presentation of the study. The next chapter introduces the dataset of the study including
input characterization and pavement performance measurements.
69
CHAPTER 3
MEPDG INPUT CHARACTERIZATION AND PERFORMANCE DATA COLLECTION
TEST FACILITY INTRODUCTION
The National Center for Asphalt Technology (NCAT) at Auburn University has been
devoted to exploring and advancing asphalt technology to fulfill the pavement industry needs
since 1986. The main task of NCAT is to perform asphalt material testing and research and to
investigate real-world pavement performance.
Test Track
Research cycle
The Test Track began in 2000 with 46 sections comprising a 1.7 mile track. In 2003, 23
of 46 original sections were rebuilt to facilitate another round of research. Of these sections,
eight were rebuilt and utilized for a structural experiment; fifteen were shallow milled and inlaid
(i.e., between ? and 4 inches deep), while the other 23 sections remained in place to serve as a
continuation of the original experiment. In 2006, eleven structural sections were newly built with
varied thicknesses, and other sections from the past cycle were rehabilitated with shallow milling
(i.e., less than 4 inches) or left in place. In 2009, the fourth research cycle began. Seventeen of
the test sections were either reconstructed or rehabilitated, while the remaining 29 were left in
place to allow for additional traffic loading (West et al., 2012). In this research, the data used
was mainly from the 2003 and 2006 research cycles.
Structural study
NCAT initiated the structural study of pavements in the 2003 research cycle to study
dynamic response and long-term performance of various pavement structures, and to validate
and calibrate performance prediction models based on Test Track conditions (Priest, 2013). In
the 2003 research cycle, eight sections were designed, instrumented, and investigated to be used
70
for the initial structural study (Timm, 2009). In the 2006 research cycle, five structural sections
(i.e., N3, N4, N5, N6, and N7) from 2003 were left in-place, and three structural sections (i.e.,
N1, N2, and N8) from 2003 were rebuilt; moreover, three new structural sections (i.e., N9, N10,
and S11) were added.
Materials Laboratory
The NCAT materials laboratory is equipped with state-of-the-art facilities to perform all
routine mix design and quality control tests for asphalt binders and mixtures. The laboratory
provided sufficient material characterization for inputs into the MEPDG.
MEPDG INPUTS CHARACTERIZATION
Introduction
A variety of input parameters were characterized to describe the design scenarios based
on the results of lab testing, field measurement, and theoretical correlation. Level 1 inputs
required by the MEPDG were developed, when possible, to ensure the highest accuracy of model
predictions of pavement performance.
General Information
From the construction records of the 2003 and 2006 research cycle, the base/subgrade
construction month for each section was retrieved, as well as the asphalt layer construction
month (Table 3.1). This information was to provide the project starting point in the MEPDG.
Once pavement construction finished, traffic loading started for the whole track in the next
month. At that point, the initial pavement smoothness was measured in terms of IRI (Table 3.2).
71
Table 3.1 Construction and traffic months
Section Test
Cycle
Base/Subgrade
Construction
Month
Asphalt layer
Construction
Month
Traffic
Opening
Month
N1 2003 June July October
N2 2003 June July October
N3 2003 June July October
N4 2003 June July October
N5 2003 June July October
N6 2003 June July October
N7 2003 June July October
N8 2003 June July October
N1 2006 August September November
N2 2006 August September November
N8 2006 August October November
N9 2006 August October November
N10 2006 August October November
S11 2006 August October November
Table 3.2 Initial IRI values
Section Test Cycle Initial IRI
(in/mile)
N1 2003 57
N2 2003 56
N3 2003 35
N4 2003 48
N5 2003 59
N6 2003 52
N7 2003 44
N8 2003 42
N1 2006 115
N2 2006 106
N8 2006 95
N9 2006 105
N10 2006 65
S11 2006 67
Traffic
The truck fleet at the Test Track runs at a target speed of 45 mph, and operates 16 hours
daily, six days a week for each two-year cycle. Each of the trucks completes about 680 miles per
day so as to apply 10 million ESAL collectively in two years. Thanks to simple truck patterns
72
and running schedule, input Level 1 for traffic information were precisely characterized for the
MEPDG analysis. The details of traffic inputs are explained as below.
Truck types and axle loads
In the 2003 research cycle, five of the trucks, termed ?triple trailers?, consisted of a
steering axle, a tandem axle, and five trailing single axles (Figure 3.1). The sixth truck, termed
?box trailer?, consisted of a steer axle and two tandems (Figure 3.2). In the 2006 cycle, only five
triple trailers were used to apply traffic loads.
Figure 3.1 Triple trailer truck
Figure 3.2 Box trailer truck
The axle weight of trucks is needed by the MEPDG as well. In the 2003 research cycle,
five triple trailers had the same axle weights distribution. The single and tandem axles weighed
approximately 21,000 lb and 42,000 lb respectively, while the steer axle weighed around 12,000
lb. The box trailer had 2 tandem axles that weighed around 34,000 lb. each and a steer axle that
weighed around 12,000 lb. In the 2006 cycle, the box trailer was no longer used. Five triple
73
trailers had the same weights of axles as those in the 2003 research cycle; however, one of the
five had a steer axle that weighed 10,000 lb, which was 2,000 lb less than steer axles of the other
four. In other words, 80% of the steer axles weighed 12,000 lb and 20% weighed around 10,000
lb. It is noted that the MEPDG does not differentiate between steer and single axles so all steer
axles were modeled as single axles with different weights.
Number of axles per vehicle
Another required input was the average number of axles for each vehicle classification
(i.e., FHWA Truck Class 4 through 13). Though the box trailer in the 2003 research cycle could
be easily modeled as a Class 9 vehicle with one steer and two tandem axles, the triple trailer had
six single axles, including the steer axle and trailing single axles. It exceeded the maximum
number of single axles (i.e., five axles) among all the vehicle classes allowed in the MEPDG
v1.1. In order to represent a triple trailer, two fictitious vehicle classes were used together with
five single axles and one tandem axle from the Class 13, and the remaining one single axle from
the Class 12. The same inputs were used to model the triple trailers in the 2006 research cycle.
The inputs in the MEPDG are shown in Figure 3.3.
Figure 3.3 Number of axles per vehicle
74
Axle configuration
The truck axle configurations were specified by Powell and Rosenthal (2011), and the
average value of trucks used in the 2003 and 2006 research cycle were entered into the MEPDG.
The average axle width was 8.5 ft, the dual tire spacing was 13.5 in, and the tire pressure was
approximately 100 psi. Other traffic inputs (i.e., lateral traffic wander) were assumed to be
routine design values, and they were left as the defaults provided by the MEPDG.
AADTT and traffic distribution
The volume of traffic on highways is often evaluated depending on the truck traffic
because it is not necessary to consider the minor damage on pavement caused by vehicles with
less than six tires (i.e., motorcycles, passenger cars, buses, and other vehicles). All the heavily-
loaded vehicles used at the Test Track were regarded as the truck traffic. The annual average
daily truck traffic (AADTT) is a major input regarding traffic information in the MEPDG.
According to traffic records, the daily truck passes was determined to be 1,155 trucks per day on
average for the 2003 research cycle and 1,541 trucks per day for the 2006 cycle.
The heavily-loaded vehicles were simulated in the MEPDG by utilizing existing vehicle
classes, but adjusting the number of truck passes or AADTT. For example, a triple trailer was
equivalently treated as a Class 13 vehicle and a Class 12 vehicle; as a result, the number of daily
truck passes describing the amount of triple trailers was doubled. In the 2003 research cycle, 5/6
of the total truck passes was completed by triple trailers, so 962.5 out of 1,155 were double
counted as 1,925. The remainder of the truck passes by the box trailer, 193, was added by the
doubled value of 1,925 to reach a final AADTT of 2,118 per day. As for the 2006 research cycle,
the box trailer was not used, so the AADTT of 1,541 was doubled to 3,082 per day. For the
vehicle class distribution, in the 2003 research cycle, the Class 9 comprised 9%, and the Class 12
75
together with the Class 13 equally comprised 91%; for the 2006 research cycle, the Class 12
represented 50% and the Class 13 represented 50%.
The MEPDG also allows users to specify the average hourly distribution of traffic on a
daily basis. The hourly traffic distribution for the Test Track is shown in Figure 3.4 (for the 2003
research cycle) and Figure 3.5 (for the 2006 research cycle). The fluctuation of volume over the
hours was the result of shift changes, truck refueling, driver breaks, and truck maintenance stops.
The monthly traffic applied was consistent over research cycles, so the monthly distribution
factors were all 1.0 and there was no annual traffic growth.
Figure 3.4 Hourly traffic distribution for the 2003 research cycle
0. 0 0. 0 0. 0 0. 0
2. 5
6. 5 6. 5
3. 3
6. 5 6. 5
3. 3
6. 4 6. 3
3. 4
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3. 2
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3. 3
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3. 9
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H o u r o f D ay
Per
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76
Figure 3.5 Hourly traffic distribution for the 2006 research cycle
Climate
Introduction
The climatic data required in the MEPDG is used by the Enhanced Integrated Climate
Model (EICM) to calculate changes in the temperature and moisture profile throughout the
pavement cross section. The climatic input for the MEPDG is actually a file that contains a
recorded history of temperature, rainfall, wind speed, humidity, and sunlight conditions for a
specific area. There are two ways to prepare the climatic inputs for the MEPDG, either by
selecting a climatic data file for representative areas or by preparing a new climatic data file
based on a local weather station. The latter was adopted in this study because the Test Track has
an on-site weather station (Figure 3.6), which is responsible for collecting environmental
information on an hourly basis. The Test Track is at a geographic coordinate of 32?59?N, -
85?30?W, and an elevation of 600ft. The next section will cover the method to prepare a climate
file for a particular condition.
0. 0 0. 0 0. 0 0. 0 0. 0
6. 6
6. 8
3. 5
6. 8 6. 7
3. 6
6. 8
5. 1
3. 5
6. 8 6. 9
3. 6
6. 9 7. 0
3. 5
7. 0
5. 5
3. 4
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Figure 3.6 Test Track on-site weather station
Generating the climate file for the Test Track
It is noted that two formats of files function in the MEPDG; one is the ICM file and the
other is the hourly climatic database file. The ICM file was generated by the MEPDG calculation
based on an hourly climatic database file. In fact, the hourly climatic database file was either
given for those representative areas or can be self-developed. The required form of the hourly
climatic database file is shown in Figure 3.7. Each row of the data file contains the elements
explained in parentheses.
78
Figure 3.7 Hourly climatic database file
The procedure of preparing an hourly climatic database file is detailed in three steps as
follows:
1. Extract useful elements from the station data file. Microsoft Excel can help to generate
climatic data in an hourly order.
2. Check the raw data to see whether some hourly records were missing or replicated.
This temporary collection error may be the result of a battery problem. If one hour?s data was
missing, the data record of the same month, day and hour in the previous or the next year was
used to supplement the missing data. If one hour?s data replicated, the data collected at the first
time were kept as valid in the file. The data file can be finally exported to a CSV file and copied
into a HCD file by Microsoft Notepad for later use.
3. Fill in basic information into the station.dat file which outlines a basic description of
weather station such as station number, location, and first date in file. The station.dat file was
written in the format defined by the MEPDG.
79
4. Place the ?station.dat? file into a folder named ?default? under the directory of the
MEPDG and copy the HCD file into the ?hcd? folder; then, upload these files into the climate
module in MEPDG by a ?generate? command. Finally, the climatic data for the NCAT Test
Track weather station was generated for climatic inputs.
Structure
When it comes to the pavement structure, the MEPDG requires detailed inputs in terms
of the layer thickness, material types, and structural capacity. The investigated pavement sections
were discussed below.
Cross sections
The cross sections of the investigated test sections in the 2003 and 2006 research cycle
are shown in Figures 3.8 and 3.9.
Figure 3.8 Cross section of structural sections in the 2003 research cycle (Timm and Priest,
2006)
80
In Figure 3.8, eight structural sections (i.e., N1 through N8) in the 2003 research cycle
were designed in pairs to compare HMA mixtures difference, but all sections had the same
subgrade soil and 6-inch crushed aggregate base. The shared subgrade soil, commonly termed
the ?Track soil? was excavated from the west curve of the Test Track, which can be classified as
an AASHTO A-4(0) soil (Timm and Priest, 2006). Sections N1 through N6 were built in such a
pairwise manner that a pair had similar HMA thicknesses; one contained modified asphalt binder
while the other contained unmodified binder. Section N7 was topped with a 1 inch wearing layer
made with stone matrix asphalt (SMA). Section N8 was topped with a 1 inch SMA as well, but
had a 2-inch rich bottom PG 67-22 layer with an additional 0.5% binder (Timm and Priest, 2006).
Figure 3.9 Cross section of structural sections in the 2006 research cycle (Timm, 2009)
For the 2006 research cycle, the structural experiment was expanded to eleven sections
including Florida, Oklahoma, Missouri, and additional Alabama sections. Among eleven
structural sections, five of the original eight structural sections (i.e., N3 through N7) were left in
place from the 2003 cycle. It is noted that section N5 was milled and inlaid 2 inches in an
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10 . 0
12 . 0
14 . 0
16 . 0
18 . 0
20 . 0
22 . 0
24 . 0
N1 N2 N3 N4 N5 N6 N7 N8 N9 N10 S11
As
Bui
lt
T
hi
ckne
ss,
in.
PG 67-22 PG 76-22 PG 76-22 (SMA) PG 76-28 (SMA)
PG 76-28 PG 64-22 PG 64-22 (2% Air Voids ) PG 70-22
Lim eroc k Bas e Granit e Bas e T y pe 5 Bas e T rac k Soil Seale Subgrade
Flori d a
(ne w )
A lab a m a & FHW A
(l e f t in-pla ce )
Okla h o m a
(ne w )
FHW A
M issou ri
(ne w )
A lab a m a
(ne w )
81
attempt to control extensive top-down cracking throughout the section. Three of the sections
from the 2003 research cycle (i.e., N1, N2, and N8) were reconstructed with new pavement
structure designs and three new sections were added in the structural study (i.e., N9, N10, and
S11). As Figure 3.9 shows, among all sections only N8 and N9 were newly built with the Seale
subgrade material, which was classified as an AASHTO A-7-6 soil (Taylor and Timm, 2009).
The other sections continued to use the Test Track soil as subgrade material.
Section N1 and N2 both used 10 inches of limerock, rather than crushed aggregate, as the
base material. N1 had 3 lifts of HMA made with unmodified PG 67-22 binder, while N2 differed
in the upper 2 lifts made with modified 76-22 binder. Five sections (i.e., N3 through N7) were
left with the same structure in the 2003 research cycle. Section N8 had 10 inches of HMA,
including a top lift of PG 76-28 SMA, a lift of PG 76-28 HMA, and a lift of PG 64-22 HMA, and
base HMA made with PG 64-22 binder designed with 2% air voids. Section N9 was topped with
SMA with PG 76-28 binder, followed by a lift of PG 76-28 HMA and two lifts of unmodified
HMA, with a PG 64-22 HMA base lift designed to 2% air voids. Section N10 used 4 inches of
Missouri Type 5 base, which is a dolomitic limestone base material. The upper 8-inch HMA
layers were made by one lift of PG 64-22 HMA and one lift of PG 70-22 HMA. Section S11 also
consisted 8 inches of HMA including the upper lift made with modified PG 76-22 binder over
bottom lifts made with unmodified PG 67-22 binder.
Thickness input
The measured thickness for each layer was recorded during construction, and these
values were input into the MEPDG. The measured thicknesses of structural sections for both the
2003 and 2006 research cycles are shown in Table 3.3 and Table 3.4.
82
When entering lift thicknesses into the MEPDG, there are a few requirements for users.
First of all, the minimum value for lift thickness is one inch. There were two sections (i.e., N1
and N5 in 2003 research cycle) with lifts thinner than one inch. For this case, the thickness of the
top lift was specified as one inch, and then the thickness increase of the top lift was deducted
from the lift below; therefore, those lifts thinner than one inch were entered without changing
overall HMA thickness.
Another requirement is that a layer of pavement can only have 4 asphalt lifts at most.
There were three test sections placed with an asphalt layer of more than 4 lifts (i.e., N3 and N4 in
the 2003 research cycle, and N9 in the 2006 research cycle). For these sections, the fourth and
fifth lifts were combined together and a thickness equal to the sum was assigned. In these test
sections with five lifts, the combined two lifts shared the same mix design, so the accuracy of
structure characterization did not decrease by making this adjustment.
83
Table 3.3 Surveyed layer thicknesses of the 2003 sections
Test Section &Year Layer ID Layer Thickness (in) Input Thickness (in)
N1 2003 HMA-1 0.6 1.0
N1 2003 HMA-2 2.1 1.7
N1 2003 HMA-3 2.2 2.2
N1 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
N2 2003 HMA-1 1.1 1.1
N2 2003 HMA-2 2.0 2.0
N2 2003 HMA-3 1.8 1.8
N2 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
N3 2003 HMA-1 1.2 1.2
N3 2003 HMA-2 1.8 1.8
N3 2003 HMA-3 2.7 2.7
N3 2003 HMA-4 2.1 3.4
N3 2003 HMA-5 1.3 -
N3 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
N4 2003 HMA-1 1.0 1.0
N4 2003 HMA-2 1.7 1.7
N4 2003 HMA-3 2.3 2.3
N4 2003 HMA-4 1.8 3.8
N4 2003 HMA-5 2.0 -
N4 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
N5 2003 HMA-1 0.9 1.0
N5 2003 HMA-2 2.2 2.1
N5 2003 HMA-3 2.0 1.8
N5 2003 HMA-4 1.8 2.0
N5 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
N6 2003 HMA-1 1.1 1.1
N6 2003 HMA-2 2.3 2.3
N6 2003 HMA-3 2.2 1.8
N6 2003 HMA-4 1.6 2.0
N6 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
N7 2003 HMA-1 1.0 1.0
N7 2003 HMA-2 2.3 2.3
N7 2003 HMA-3 2.1 1.8
N7 2003 HMA-4 1.7 2.0
N7 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
N8 2003 HMA-1 1.1 1.1
N8 2003 HMA-2 2.1 2.1
N8 2003 HMA-3 1.9 1.8
N8 2003 HMA-4 1.9 2.0
N8 2003 GB 6.0 6.0
84
Table 3.3 Surveyed layer thicknesses of the 2006 sections
Test Section &Year Layer ID Layer Thickness (in) Input Thickness (in)
N1 2006 HMA-1 2.2 2.2
N1 2006 HMA-2 1.9 1.9
N1 2006 HMA-3 3.3 3.3
N1 2006 GB 10.0 10.0
N2 2006 HMA-1 2.0 2.0
N2 2006 HMA-2 2.0 2.0
N2 2006 HMA-3 3.1 3.1
N2 2006 GB 10.0 10.0
N8 2006 HMA-1 2.3 2.3
N8 2006 HMA-2 2.9 3.0
N8 2006 HMA-3 2.8 2.8
N8 2006 HMA-4 1.9 2.0
N8 2006 GB 6.4 6.4
N9 2006 HMA-1 2.0 2.0
N9 2006 HMA-2 3.5 3.5
N9 2006 HMA-3 3.1 3.1
N9 2006 HMA-4 2.6 5.8
N9 2006 HMA-5 3.2 -
N9 2006 GB 8.4 8.4
N10 2006 HMA-1 1.0 1.0
N10 2006 HMA-2 3.4 3.4
N10 2006 HMA-3 2.2 2.2
N10 2006 GB 5.0 5.0
S11 2006 HMA-1 1.0 1.0
S11 2006 HMA-2 2.1 2.1
S11 2006 HMA-3 2.2 2.2
S11 2006 HMA-4 2.3 2.3
S11 2006 GB 6.1 6.1
Material properties
After specifying the layer thickness of the pavement, the material properties were input to
the MEPDG. Because sufficient information was collected, the input Level 1 was used for most
material properties.
Asphalt mixtures
At input Level 1, the MEPDG requires users to characterize asphalt material regarding
dynamic modulus (E*), complex binder modulus, volumetric properties, and general properties.
85
E* test data
The input for the dynamic modulus (E*) is a minimum of 3*3 matrix (temperature vs.
frequencies) for each asphalt mixture or HMA lift. These data were obtained by the dynamic
modulus test in the laboratory. For the 2003 research cycle, the dynamic modulus testing was
performed in an unconfined state by Purdue University (Timm and Priest, 2006). The range of
test temperatures starts at a minimum temperature between -12.2 (10 ) and -6.6 (20 ),
and ends at a maximum temperature between 51.6 (125 ) and 57.2 (135 ). For the 2006
cycle, the testing was performed at the NCAT laboratory under the guidance of AASHTO TP 62-
07 (Robbins, 2013). The range of temperatures tested were from a low temperature of 4.4
(40 ) to a high temperature of 37.7 (100 ). The testing temperature range for the 2006 cycle
was determined based on the climatic conditions for Alabama pavements. However, the
temperature range for the 2006 cycle was not as wide as that for the 2003 cycle. To keep
consistency of test temperature ranges, the raw data from the laboratory was used to extrapolate
to the extreme temperatures of -9.4 (15 ) and 54.4 (130 ) using non-linear regression
equations of the following form (Timm et al., 2009):
ceT e m p e r a t u r Fr e q u e n c ybaE* ??? (3-1)
where,
E* = the mixture dynamic modulus, psi
Temperature = test temperature in the lab,
Frequency = test frequency in the lab, Hz
a, b, c = regression constants
The models for predicting E* at the extreme temperatures generally have high values
so it is reasonable to perform extrapolation on raw data. Table 3.5 and Table 3.6 show the
86
regression model constant and corresponding value for each test lift mixture in the 2003 and
2006 research cycle.
Table 3.5 E* regression coefficients for the 2003 research cycle (Davis, 2009)
Mixture (Section-Lift Number) a b c R2
1 (N1-1, N4-1 & N5-1) 3,776,660 0.9705 0.1601 0.99
2 (N1-2, N1-3, N4-2, N4-3, N4-4, N4-5,
N5-2, N5-3, N5-4 & N5-5)
4,370,389 0.9696 0.1619 0.99
3 (N2-1, N3-1 & N6-1) 3,750,543 0.9708 0.1517 0.99
4 (N2-2, N2-3, N3-2, N3-3, N3-4, N3-5,
N6-2, N6-3, N6-4, N7-2, N7-3, N7-4,
N8-2, & N8-3)
4,967,657 0.9668 0.1447 0.85
5 (N7-1 & N8-1) 4,546,113 0.9712 0.1464 0.98
6 (N8-4) 4,636,938 0.9740 0.1313 0.97
Table 3.6 E* regression coefficient for the 2006 research cycle (Davis, 2009)
Mixture (Section-Lift Number) a b c R2
1 (N1-1 & N1-2) 3,776,660 0.9705 0.1601 0.99
2 (N1-3, N2-3, S11-3 & S11-4) 4,370,389 0.9696 0.1619 0.99
3 (N2-1 & N2-2) 3,750,543 0.9708 0.1517 0.99
4 (N8-1 & N9-1) 4,967,657 0.9668 0.1447 0.85
5 (N8-2 & N9-2) 4,546,113 0.9712 0.1464 0.98
6 (N8-3, N9-3 & N9-4) 4,636,938 0.9740 0.1313 0.97
7 (N8-4 & N9-5) 3,342,206 0.9692 0.1734 0.99
8A (N10-1) 4,555,840 0.9683 0.1484 0.99
8B (N10-2) 5,992,918 0.9704 0.1546 0.97
9 (N10-3) 4,152,065 0.9710 0.1542 0.98
28A (S11-1) 3,112,030 0.9699 0.1646 0.98
28B (S11-2) 4,702,712 0.9726 0.1635 0.98
The goodness-of-fit is further illustrated by the graph comparing the measured and
predicted E* data in the Figure 3.10.
87
Figure 3.10 Measured vs. predicted E* data (Davis, 2009)
Another stipulation of the MEPDG is that E* values are not allowed to exceed 5,000,000
psi. Only two lifts had E* values that were greater than this value, which means they were too
stiff under test conditions. The two values were not considered in the data. Once the data were
input into the software, master curves were automatically generated, and the reasonableness
could be easily checked. Figure 3.11 shows a sample E* master curve generated for N1-1 lift in
the 2003 research cycle. In some cases, certain values were contradictory to common sense. For
example, E* values did not increase with a decrease in temperature at certain test frequencies.
These data were not input because they cannot generate an accurate master curve. The E* value
for each lift mixture in the 2003 and 2006 research cycle are shown in Appendix A.
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000
Measure d E*
Pr
edict
ed E*
Mi x 1
Mi x 2
Mi x 3
Mi x 4
Mi x 5
Mi x 6
Mi x 7
Mi x 8A
Mi x 8B
Mi x 9
Mi x 28A
Mi x 28B
88
Figure 3.11 The MEPDG E* master curve for N1-1 lift in the 2003 research cycle (Davis,
2009)
G* test data
The binder characterization at input Level 1 requires shear modulus (G*) and phase angle
(?), which are measured in the dynamic shear rheometer (DSR) test. This test can be performed
in three phases of binder aging: no aging, short-term aging, and long-term aging. The MEPDG
requires the characterization of short-term aged binder (i.e., through the Rolling Thin Film Oven
test).
Although G* and ? were provided as inputs, they had a minimal effect on the results of
the analysis. This assumption was tested by running a baseline case for one of the test sections,
and then changing only the G* or the phase angle values (i.e., doubling values). There was very
little difference found between the predicted performances (in terms of rutting, bottom-up fatigue
cracking, and IRI) of the two cases. The reason for this result was that the MEPDG does not use
G* and ? to construct the master curves to characterize the mixture performance if the E* test
data are provided. In addition, although the G* and ? were used in aging calculations, the binder
only functioned in a short term (two years) so binder aging had a minimal effect on the distress
predictions. Therefore, the G* and ? values under representative testing conditions were used in
the MEPDG, and these values are shown in Appendix B.
10000
100000
1000000
10000000
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
Log Re duced Ti me (Sec)
E*
(psi)
14 ?F
40 ?F
70 ?F
10 0?F
13 0?F
Master Cu rve HMA La y er 1
89
Mixture volumetric determination
The MEPDG requires some general information for HMA lifts to capture their volumetric
compositions, and mechanical and thermal properties. Some of these inputs were entered as the
default values because they are typical, including the master curve reference temperature (70 ),
Poisson ratio (0.35), thermal conductivity (0.67 BTU/hr?ft? ), and heat capacity (0.23
BTU/lb? ). However, the as-built volumetric properties were provided by construction and lab
reports for each mix type, regarding in-place air voids, mixture unit weight, and effective binder
content. A sample of construction records is presented in Figure 3.12 for lift N1-1 of the 2006
research cycle.
Figure 3.12 Construction and lab record for N1-1 lift in 2006 research cycle
Based on this record, the in situ air voids was obtained by subtracting the average section
compaction from 100%. For example, the air voids for N1-1 lift in the 2006 research cycle was
90
5.4% by subtracting the section compaction rate 94.6% from 100%. The unit weight was
calculated using the QC Gmm value and the average section compaction. First, the Gmm of 2.499
was multiplied by 94.6% to get a bulk specific gravity of the compacted mixture (Gmb) of 2.364;
then, this value was multiplied by 62.4 lb/ft3 to yield a mixture unit weight of 147.5 lb/ft3. The
compacted mixture (Gmb), percent aggregate in the mixture (Ps), and the bulk specific gravity of
the aggregate blend (Gsb) were used to find the voids in mineral aggregate (VMA) of the mixture
as equation (3-2).
?????? ??? sb smbG PGV M A 100 (3-2)
The Gsb was calculated by the mass percent in total (fA) and bulk specific gravity (GA) of
each mixture component. The equation used is shown as below:
B
B
A
A
sb G
fGfG ??1 (3-3)
Then, the volume of effective binder was calculated by subtracting air voids from VMA.
For example, the Ps and Gsb were 95.1% and 2.669, respectively. Using those values with the
Gmb of 2.364, the VMA was calculated as 15.78% by equation (3-2), with effective volumetric
binder content as 10.38%. The same computation was performed on other lifts of test sections
and the results of volumetric inputs are shown in Appendix C. As mentioned earlier in the
section ?Thickness Input?, for those test sections consisted of five HMA lifts, a weighted average
was taken of the volumetric properties of the bottom two lifts for input as the ?fourth? layer.
Unbound materials
The unbound layers, specifically the base and subgrade layers were characterized at the
input Level 3 in the MEPDG. The reason that the input Level 1 or 2 was not used was due to a
software running error in the analysis in the version 1.1 of MEPDG. The level 3 inputs for
91
unbound layers are material type, gradation, Poisson ratio, coefficient of lateral earth pressure,
and a representative resilient modulus (MR).
2003 test sections
For the 2003 research cycle structural sections, only two types of unbound material were
used: the crushed aggregate base and the Test Track soil subgrade. In the MEPDG, the ?crushed
stone? was selected as the base material, and a typical value of 0.4 was adopted for the Poisson
ratio of this material. The coefficient of lateral earth pressure was specified as 0.3572 for each
material to calculate horizontal stresses (Taylor, 2008). For the Test Track soil, an A-4 material
was used with a Poisson ratio of 0.45. The gradations for the crushed aggregate base and the
Track soil are shown in Table 3.7.
Table 3.7 Unbound materials gradations for the 2003 research cycle (Timm and Priest,
2006)
Percent passing (%)
Sieve size (mm) Crushed aggregate
base
Test Track soil
subgrade
37.5 100 100
25 96 83
19 90 81
12.5 80 78
9.5 76 75
4.75 59 71
2.36 49 68
1.18 40 66
0.6 32 64
0.3 23 61
0.15 15 56
0.075 10 48
For input Level 3, the representative MR values were needed for different kinds of
unbound materials. The MR values were obtained from the backcalculation of falling weight
deflectometer (FWD) deflection data. The backcalculation was performed by the software
EVERCALC 5.0 developed by Washington State DOT. It was found that the software accuracy
92
depends on the number of pavement layers being analyzed, and the optimal number of pavement
layers for backcalculation was three. For the 2003 sections, the three-layer structure consisted of
HMA as the top layer, the granular base, and ?new fill? material (Test Track soil) combined as
the second layer, and the remainder of the subgrade from the 2000 research cycle being the third
layer (Timm and Priest, 2006). The new fill material was used to fill the gap depth between the
granular base and the existing subgrade from the 2000 research cycle. Therefore, a level road
surface for each test section can be ensured once the granular base and HMA lifts had been
placed. The new fill material was excavated from the same embankment as the subgrade material
which was already in place for those sections. So the same Poisson ratio, gradation, and material
classification were used for the new fill.
Figure 3.13 Cross sections comparison
However, in order to provide a three-layer structure for backcalculation, there was only
one MR value for the granular base and new fill material collectively, and a different MR value
for the remainder of the subgrade material. In the MEPDG, since good predictions are based on
good characterization of pavement structure, it is better to specify a four-layer structure as built
in reality than three-layer structure as considered in backcalculation (Figure 3.13). To rectify the
93
issue, three layers, instead of two layers, were assumed to be underneath the last HMA lift in the
MEPDG: one 6-inch granular base layer, one layer of new fill material using the thickness
designated in Table 3.8, and finally the subgrade with an assumed infinite thickness. The
backcalculated modulus found for the combined base and new fill was taken as representative
modulus for each of those two layers, while backcalculated subgrade modulus was the input for
the last Test Track soil subgrade layer. The backcalculated moduli values are shown in Table 3.9.
Although it may be unusual that the subgrade moduli are significantly higher than the base
moduli, this trend is consistent with other findings regarding the Test Track materials (Timm and
Priest, 2006; Taylor and Timm, 2009).
Table 3.8 New fill depths for the 2003 research cycle (Taylor and Timm, 2009)
Test section depth of
new fill (in)
N1 19
N2 19
N3 15
N4 15
N5 17
N6 17
N7 17
N8 17
Table 3.9 Unbound materials moduli for the 2003 research cycle (Timm and Priest, 2006)
Test section Granular base &
new fill MR (psi)
Subgrade MR
(psi)
N1 8,219 26,958
N2 10,061 27,482
N3 13,083 32,516
N4 11,717 33,889
N5 7,852 30,564
N6 11,153 34,682
N7 12,243 33,817
N8 10,258 30,859
94
2006 test sections
For the 2006 research cycle structural sections, five different unbound materials were
used as base or subgrade layers: the Test Track soil discussed previously, the crushed aggregate
base used in the 2003 structural sections, a poor quality subgrade material for sections N8 and
N9, a Florida limerock base material for sections N1 and N2, and a dolomitic limestone base
material (termed the Type 5 base) for section N10. For the Test Track soil and the granular base
material used in the previous test cycle, the same material selections and gradations were used as
previously discussed. The poor quality subgrade soil used for sections N8 and N9, termed the
Seale subgrade, was classified as an AASHTO A-7-6 soil within the MEPDG. The Florida
limestone and Type 5 base materials were both classified as crushed stone within the MEPDG.
The Poisson ratio was commonly assumed to be 0.40 for all three materials. The gradations used
in the MEPDG for the three new materials are shown in Table 3.10.
Table 3.10 Unbound materials gradations 2006 research cycle (Taylor and Timm, 2009)
Percent Passing (%)
Sieve Size (mm) Seale Subgrade Florida Limestone Type 5 Base
37.5 100 100 100
25 100 100 99
19 100 100 97
12.5 100 88 92
9.5 100 81 88
4.75 100 61 79
2.36 100 44 71
1.18 99 32 64
0.6 98 26 58
0.3 92 23 49
0.15 82 21 36
0.075 58 19 25
A different procedure was explained to calculate the representative MR values for the
base and subgrade materials used in the 2006 test cycle. The in-situ stress state of each material
was monitored by dynamic pavement response measurements, namely vertical pressure, made
95
throughout the 2006 test cycle. Figure 3.13 shows an example of these measurements made over
one year for section N1.
Figure 3.14 Vertical pressures in N1 subgrade in the 2006 research cycle(Davis, 2009)
As seen in Figure 3.14, the pressures for each axle type increase during warmer months
when the HMA is softer, and the pressures correspondingly decrease during cooler months.
Using the relative frequency of each axle type (14.3% steer axles, 14.3% tandem axles, and 71.4%
single axles), a weighted average vertical stress due to traffic loading was used to calculate the
representative MR of each unbound material. It was combined with the overburden pressure to
obtain the total average vertical stress (?1). The overburden pressure existed due to the weight of
overlying material, which can be computed from the overlying layer thicknesses and unit weights.
Finally, the corresponding horizontal stresses (?3) were calculated by multiplying the vertical
stress by the lateral earth pressure coefficient 0.3572 (Taylor, 2008). The vertical and horizontal
stresses were then used in Equation (3-4) to estimate a representative MR for each unbound
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
10/10/2006 11/29/2006
1/18/2007
3/9/2007
4/28/2007 6/17/2007
8/6/2007
9/25/2007
11/14/2007
Date
Ver
tical Subg
rade P
ress
ure (p
si)
St eer Ax le
Single Ax le
T andem Ax le
W eighted Av erage
96
material (Taylor and Timm, 2009). The MR input for MEPDG was finally calculated and shown
in Table 3.12.
3k
a
d2
k
aa1R p
?*p?*pkM ??
?
???
?
???
?
???
?
?? (3-4)
where,
MR = the resilient modulus, psi
k1, k2, and k3 = regression coefficients (Table 3.11)
pa = the atmospheric pressure (14.6 psi)
??= the bulk stress (?1+2*?3), psi
?d = the deviator stress (?1 ? ?3), psi
Table 3.11 Regression coefficients for unbound materials (Taylor and Timm, 2009)
Material Type k1 k2 k3
Track Soil 1095.43 0.5930 -0.4727
Crushed Granite 581.08 0.8529 -0.1870
Florida Limestone 717.04 1.2338 -0.5645
Type 5 643.69 1.0318 -0.2833
Seale Subgrade 225.09 0.3598 -0.7751
Table 3.12 Unbound materials moduli for the 2006 research cycle (Davis, 2009)
Test Section Granular Base
MR (psi)
Subgrade MR
(psi)
N1 23,597 29,701
N2 25,605 29,638
N8 26,020 9,801
N9 24,155 14,804
N10 16,752 28,174
S11 12,530 28,873
PERFORMANCE MONITORING
Introduction
Performance data were observed and recorded weekly in regard to fatigue cracking,
rutting, and IRI over the research cycle. It was usually scheduled on every Monday when trucks
97
were paused to facilitate performance testing and any needed track or truck maintenance (Priest,
2005).
Fatigue Cracking
Inspection method
Fatigue cracking was monitored using a crack mapping method. First, the cracks were
identified by its alligator-like appearance. Only interconnected areas of cracks were considered
as alligator cracking. Either longitudinal or transverse cracking was not accounted as alligator
cracking. The identified cracking were carefully inspected and marked. Second, the marked
pavement was photographed using a digital camera. The picture was transferred to a digital map
(Figure 3.15). Then, the percentage of cracking area divided by the total area was used to
measure the severity level of fatigue cracking. It is important to note that fatigue cracking was
only measured over the middle 150 feet length area of each test section; the first and last 25 feet
were considered as a ?transition zones? between two sections, and the distresses may be caused
by the transition of materials. In addition, the fatigue cracking only refers to ?bottom-up?
cracking that initiates from the bottom of asphalt layer in the study. It was verified by cutting
cores during trafficking phase (i.e., the first two years of each research cycle) or cutting trenches
after the trafficking phase.
98
Figure 3.15 Sample crack map from section N6 at the end of the 2006 research cycle
Rutting and IRI
Inspection method
For the 2003 research cycle, the rut depth measurement was made periodically with a
dipstick profiler (Figure 3.16), and the roughness measurements was performed occasionally by
an Automatic Road Analyzer (ARAN) Inertial Profiler (Figure 3.17) owned by NCAT. This
profiler can measure the small wavelengths in the longitudinal profile in the pavement surface at
high speeds for each wheel path, which can be converted into IRI or rut depth measurements
through models. For the 2006 research cycle, NCAT used the ARAN van to measure rut depths
and IRI three times per month.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
25 45 65 85 105 125 145 165
L o n g i t u d i n a l D i s t a n c e f r o m F a r T r a n s v e r s e J o i n t ( f t )
T
r
a
n
s
v
e
r
s
e
O
ff
s
e
t
(
ft
)
99
Figure 3.16 Dipstick profiler
Figure 3.17 ARAN inertial profiler
SUMMARY
This chapter covers the generation of MEPDG inputs regarding traffic, climate, and
material properties. The dataset was prepared at the highest input level of MEPDG when
possible, mostly at input Level 1, which provided the highest confidence for prediction accuracy.
Also, because of the detailed dataset, the local calibration can be performed to the most specific
local condition. The next chapter will discuss the methodology of local calibration and validation
in this study.
100
CHAPTER 4
THE METHODOLOGY OF LOCAL CALIBRATION AND VALIDATION
INTRODUCTION
Calibration
Calibration is defined as a process to improve the goodness of fit or accuracy of
prediction models in the MEPDG. The goodness of fit indicates how well the model predictions
correspond with field-measured values. It can be graphically assessed by evaluating similarity of
prediction and measurement trend lines.
Figure 4.1 and Figure 4.2 provide an example to illustrate the concept of goodness of fit.
The fatigue cracking at a pavement is investigated over 20 months in this example. The solid line
is the trend line for predicted fatigue cracking, and the dashed line is for measured fatigue
cracking. Figure 4.1 shows a correspondence between the predicted and measured values, which
suggests predictions are reasonable. However, Figure 4.2 presents a disparity between the
predicted and measured trend lines, which indicates the predictions are not reliable. In this case,
the model is overpredicting the actual cracking progression.
101
Figure 4.1 Reasonable goodness of fit for model predictions
Figure 4.2 Unreasonable goodness of fit for model predictions
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Fati
gu
e c
rac
kin
g val
ue
s, %
of l
an
e ar
ea
Pavement age, years
Measured Values Predicted Values
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Fati
gu
e c
rac
kin
g val
ue
s, %
of l
an
e ar
ea
Pavement age, years
Measured Values Predicted Values
102
Validation
Validation is usually performed after the calibration process, and it aims to verify the
goodness of fit and precision of the calibrated models. The data used for validation must be
independent from those used for the calibration so as to maintain the objectivity of validation.
The results of validation determine whether the calibrated models can be applied to broader
scenarios.
LOCAL CALIBRATION
Goal of Calibration
The local calibration was designed to gain an improvement in the MEPDG performance
predictions by adjusting the calibration coefficients built in prediction models (i.e., transfer
functions) to reflect actual, locally-measured, field performance. The calibrated models with
best-fit calibration coefficients could fairly predict the performance of a local pavement, which
would contribute to an efficient pavement design. The final result of calibration in this study is
the best-fit set of calibration coefficients for the fatigue cracking, rutting, and IRI models.
Calibration Methods
It was found in the literature review that two approaches are commonly used in the local
calibration. One was to calibrate prediction models by varying its calibration coefficients (Li et
al., 2009; Muthadi and Kim, 2008; Schram and Abdelrahman, 2010; Banerjee et al., 2009). The
other was to adjust the results of the model predictions directly (Hoegh et al., 2010). For
example, the calibration was performed by subtracting a certain constant value from the
prediction results of the nationally-calibrated models.
The first approach (Figure 4.3) included several steps: build project templates with
section inputs, assign trial calibration coefficients, run the MEPDG, evaluate predictions, and
103
repeat the process if necessary. In order to minimize the number of trials, a sensitivity analysis
was performed to obtain a better sense of how the calibration coefficients affect the predictions.
Figure 4.3 Trial and error calibration steps
The second approach was to perform arithmetic adjustment on the predicted values. This
approach was useful for the case when a consistent bias was found between predictions and
measured values throughout design life (Figure 4.4). It minimized the bias by subtracting a
constant value for predicted values. This constant value was determined by ?Solver? in Microsoft
Excel which can help you find an optimal (maximum or minimum) value for a formula.
However, this adjustment shifted the prediction curve without changing its shape, and this
approach would not be effective if the prediction curve from the model is not in a similar shape
with the curve of measured values (Figure 4.5).
104
Figure 4.4 Curves in similar shape
Figure 4.5 Curves not in a similar shape
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec
Rut
De
pth,
m
m
Date
measured rutting predicted rutting predicted rutting after adjustment
5 mm (0.2 in)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec
Rut
De
pth,
m
m
Date
measured rutting predicted rutting predicted rutting after adjustment
5 mm (0.2 in)
105
Methodology of Study
The local calibration adopted in this study was a trial-and-error approach. Before
applying ?trial? calibration coefficients, the project templates in the MEPDG (Figure 4.6) were
set up describing the local condition. The design scenarios (i.e., traffic, climate, and structure) in
research cycles were carefully entered into the MEPDG, and they were saved as project
templates for all of the investigated sections. Since the investigated sections sustained the same
traffic loadings and the same local climate effects, the major difference between project
templates was only structural configuration. In total, there were nineteen project templates
generated: eight sections in the 2003 research cycle for calibration and eleven sections in the
2006 research cycle for validation. In fact, the project templates in the same research cycle only
differed in those inputs describing structure. As introduced in Chapter 3, the traffic inputs and
HMA layer properties inputs were entered at input Level 1, and some unbound material
properties were entered at input Level 3 or assumed as default values.
106
Figure 4.6 Project templates in the MEPDG
By running the project templates, the MEPDG provided the predictions of various
distresses for each month during the design life. Then, these predicted values were compared
against the measured values during a research cycle. For rutting and IRI, the data recorded on a
weekly basis was averaged to monthly readings. For fatigue cracking, the surfaces of sections
were inspected weekly, yet the measured cracking data were recorded every several months,
which provided cracking development versus time plots. Thus, only a few months? predicted
fatigue cracking values by the MEPDG were able to be compared against the available measured
values. For a specific performance indicator (i.e., fatigue cracking, or rutting, or IRI), the
difference between predicted and measured values was used to evaluate the accuracy of
predictions, and whether the calibration coefficients were acceptable. If no other calibration
coefficients could be found that could reduce the sum of squared errors (SSE) more than a
107
certain trial set of calibration coefficients, this trial calibration coefficients was assumed to be the
best-fit set of calibration coefficients, and the iteration process was ended.
In statistics, SSE is often used as a quantitative indictor to evaluate the deviation of the
fitted values from the actual values. The SSE reflects the accuracy of the model, so it was
adopted in this study to quantify the difference between predicted and measured distress values.
The MEPDG predicts the development of distresses (i.e., fatigue cracking, rutting, and IRI) on a
monthly basis, so the residual (i.e., the difference between the predicted and measured distress)
was calculated for each month, and then they were squared and summed up to evaluate MEPDG
predictions. Considering all investigated sections, the SSE (Equation 4-1) is regarded as the final
indicator of the MEPDG prediction accuracy.
? ?? ?? 8 1n 1 2 v a l u e )m e a s u r e d- v a l u e( p r e d i c t e d AmSSE (4-1)
where,
m = the mth measurement (A is the total number of monthly measurements over the
investigated cycle)
n = the nth investigated section (because eight sections involved in the calibration, the
maximum of n was eight)
VALIDATION
Goal of Validation
The validation was to verify the reasonableness and robustness of the calibrated
prediction models. If the calibrated prediction model was validated to be sufficiently accurate,
the calibrated model can be considered by local agencies for future adoption.
108
Methods of Validation (Criteria)
The prediction results were obtained from the MEPDG using a set of data independent
from the calibration. The method of validation was to use the statistical hypothesis test (i.e.,
Student?s t-test) to examine whether the calibration results were acceptable. The null hypothesis
was that the predicted values and measured values were not significantly different. The ? level
was assumed to be 0.05 so the p-value was compared with 0.05 to evaluated whether the null
hypothesis was rejected. If the p-value was less than 0.05, the null hypothesis was rejected and
the calibration results were considered to not be satisfactory. The results of the Student?s t-test
can provide a statistical inference whether the calibration can make a difference on the prediction
models.
Methodology of Study
As discussed earlier, eleven sections in the 2006 research cycle were used for validation,
and the project template was generated for each of them. The predicted values of distresses were
obtained from the MEPDG using the best-fit coefficients, and the measured values were obtained
from the Test Track in-field performance. The Student?s t-test was performed using Excel on two
sets of data (i.e predicted and measured) to see if the null hypothesis was rejected.
109
CHAPTER 5
A METHOD OF RUNNING THE MEPDG AUTOMATICALLY
BACKGROUND
The local calibration of the MEPDG requires iteration to achieve the best-fit calibration
coefficients. The performance predictions were achieved through sophisticated models in the
MEPDG, so it took considerable time to perform the necessary calculations. For example, a 64-
bit system with an Intel Core i7 CPU and 16 GB RAM would take nearly one minute to run a
two-year lifetime pavement design. In this study, eight structural sections (or project templates)
in the 2003 research cycle were considered in the local calibration. The software operation and
results analysis were very time consuming. Therefore, the investment of time and human labor
was an important concern in this study.
In this study, one trial set of calibration coefficients took around 18 minutes (calculated
as 1 min for each project template multiplied by 8 sections plus 10 minutes used for calculating
SSE) to determine whether they could improve the accuracy of a specific distress model. The
calculation of SSE usually took at least ten minutes to perform manually for opening files,
reading prediction results, and calculating the SSE values. In fact, it also needed considerable
time to enter the calibration coefficients in the MEPDG. During this study, 66 sets of calibration
coefficients were tried for the fatigue cracking model; 106 sets of calibration coefficients were
tried for the rutting model. Therefore, the demand rose to run the MEPDG automatically with
little human intervention as possible.
The calibration process in this study included a series of actions: creating project
templates, selecting ?trial? calibration coefficients, running project analysis, evaluating
predictions (i.e., calculating SSE), and repeating this process as necessary. The human labor
involved in these steps was finished by mouse-clicking and keyboard-typing. To facilitate
110
automation of MEPDG operation, these actions could be recorded by using Visual Basic (VB)
script language and replayed by VB programs. The following discussion will focus on the
method of how to run the MEPDG automatically.
METHOD DESCRIPTION
Software Introduction
The software ?Quick Macro v6.60? was adopted, which could record, replay, and edit
macros that specify a series of repetitive actions (i.e., mouse-clicking and keyboard-typing). By
using this software, human labor was replaced by an execution of programmed macros.
Basic Steps
There were only two steps run by macro: project analysis and results evaluation.
Generating the project templates was not included in the macros. The reason was that too much
information needed to be input into the MEPDG non-repetitively, so the macro programming
cost more effort than doing so manually. Figure 5.1 shows the programmed macros including
assigning ?trial? calibration coefficients, running project analysis, and evaluating predictions.
111
Figure 5.1 VB script flow chart
First, the trial calibration coefficients were composed into an Excel file. The Excel file
contained the test section information, the project template file name, and the location path.
Second, the ?trial? calibration coefficients were transferred to the calibration coefficients input
textboxes in the MEPDG. Next, eight project templates were compiled into the batch file and
ready for a ?batch? run. Third, the MEPDG predictions were extracted from the output file and
employed for the SSE computation. The result of SSE for one specific set of calibration
coefficients was shown in a message box in Quick Macro (Figure 5.2).
112
Figure 5.2 SSE result in a message box
Technical Issues
Several technical issues affect the running of macros. These issues were categorized into
project analysis delays, foreground/background shift, and excel overrunning error.
Software running delay
Although a two-year project analysis takes nearly one minute to run, the VB script
commands were not supposed to initiate the next action (e.g. extracting distress data from the
MEPDG output files) before the project analysis was completed. To account for the running
delay, the waiting time was set between two actions to coordinate the running pace and it was
determined to be one minute in this study. In fact, the longer the design life of the pavement, the
longer the waiting time needs to be. The appropriate length of the waiting time is case-specific,
and it usually depends on the design scenario of the project and the running speed of the
computer.
113
Foreground/background shift
In the MEPDG, when a new set of calibration coefficients were run, a dialog box will pop
up to ask whether you want to reject new calibration coefficients (Figure 5.3). When the dialog
box popped up, the focus of the system (i.e., the activated window or menu or textbox) was on
this dialog box, in other words, this dialog box was activated as a foreground application. The
macro needed to select ?No? to move on. However, through considerable times of macro running,
the focus of system sometimes shifted from this dialog box to some other applications in the
computer system. This could cause erratic running, even wrongly ending the macro. The only
remedy was to reinstall the system which brought much inconvenience. An improvement on the
macro scripts may be helpful to solve this problem.
Figure 5.3 Dialog box pop-up
Excel overrunning error
When the macro program finished running, there were numerous MEPDG output files
opened in Excel. Before initiating another ?trial? set of calibration coefficients, it was necessary
to shut down those opened Excel files manually. Otherwise, the MEPDG would have a problem
to open Excel after project analysis. If many Excel files are shut down by clicking the ?close?
button in the upper right corner, an error warning (Figure 5.4) popped up when you ran Excel the
next time. It should be noted that it was better to remove the opened files from the list of disabled
items as the warning below said, or else, the macro usually had a running problem.
114
Figure 5.4 Excel error warning
SUGGESTION
It saves labor and time to employ macros; however, there were still issues that needed to
be solved. The biggest issue was to ensure smooth running of macros, which determined the
efficiency of this method. It would be helpful to develop a similar but more robust program in
the future.
115
CHAPTER 6
RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
INTRODUCTION
The MEPDG uses a mechanistic model to predict the pavement response based on design
inputs, and applies transfer functions to correlate the pavement response to various distresses
over the design life. In the study, three distresses: fatigue cracking, rutting, and IRI were
evaluated since sufficient data were available for them from the Test Track. The study was to
first examine the MEPDG predictions provided by nationally-calibrated models. Then, the
MEPDG predictions were compared with actual Test Track measurement to evaluate whether
they reflected the field performance. If the accuracy of predictions was not satisfactory, the local
calibration of MEPDG would be applied using the Test Track data from the 2003 research cycle.
The calibration was performed by adjusting the calibration coefficients to reduce the bias or
standard error between measured and predicted distress data.
Statistics were computed to measure the prediction performance. The standard error
shows how much variation or dispersion the data points have from their average. The SSE
evaluates how accurate the predictions replicate the measured data. Minimizing the SSE results
in maximum model fit.
RESULTS OF CALIBRATION
Fatigue Cracking
Figure 6.1 shows that the nationally-calibrated model predictions appear reasonably
consistent with measured values for fatigue cracking.
116
Figure 6.1 Model predictions vs. measured values for fatigue cracking
The statistics of the nationally-calibrated model predictions are shown in Table 6.1.
Results for section N8 were not included is because though cracking was observed in this section
extensive forensic investigation had determined the cracking resulted from the layer slippage not
predicted by the MEPDG (Willis and Timm, 2007).
Table 6.1 Statistical analysis for the 2003 fatigue cracking predictions
nationally-calibrated model
standard error 2.84%
SSE 452.28
number of data points 28
p-value 0.38
*The p-value is derived from the Student?s t-test on measured fatigue cracking and nationally-calibrated model
predictions.
The local calibration tried 66 sets of calibration coefficients in which each coefficient
was adjusted from the MEPDG default. The adjustment was performed on three coefficients
individually and simultaneously with a range of +/- 0.2 from defaults in which the SSE did not
sharply increase. The optimization process is presented in Figure 6.2. The red line sets a SSE
level of 452.28, which is calculated based on nationally-calibrated model predictions. It can be
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Pre
dic
ted
Fati
gu
e C
rac
kin
g, %
of
to
tal
lan
e ar
ea
Measured Fatigue Cracking, % of total lane area
N1 - 03
N2 - 03
N3 - 03
N4 - 03
N5 - 03
N6 - 03
N7 - 03
117
seen that there was no appropriate calibration coefficients found that could significantly improve
the model prediction accuracy.
Figure 6.2 Fatigue cracking model prediction optimization
Rutting
Figure 6.3 shows that the nationally-calibrated model over-predicted the rut depths for all
the 2003 sections.
(a) National calibration (b) Local calibration
Figure 6.3 Model predictions vs. measured values for rutting
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66
SSE
Trial Number
452.28
118
The local calibration using the Test Track data improved the accuracy of the rutting
model. The locally-calibrated rutting model predicted much less rutting (Figure 6.3 (b)). Using
the locally-calibrated model may allow designers to select a more economical pavement design
(i.e., thinner pavement and/or lower cost materials).
From Table 6.2, the standard error was reduced by 55%, and the SSE decreased by a
factor of 58 after the local calibration. The Student?s t-test showed that the MEPDG predictions
were no longer statistically different from the measured rut depths after performing the local
calibration.
Table 6.2 Statistical analysis for the 2003 rutting predictions
nationally-
calibrated
model
locally-
calibrated
model
standard error 0.20 mm 0.09 mm
SSE 6644.36 114.05
number of data points 157 157
p-value 8.79E-78 0.37
*The p-value is derived from the Student?s t-test on measured rut depths and nationally-calibrated/locally-calibrated
model predictions.
The local calibration tried 106 sets of calibration coefficients in which each coefficient
was varied from the MEPDG default. The adjustment was performed on five coefficients
individually and simultaneously. The trial coefficient value was within a range (i.e., between
0.05 and 1.2) in which the SSE did not sharply increase. The optimization process is presented in
Figure 6.4. The red line sets a SSE level of 6644.36, which is calculated based on nationally-
calibrated model predictions.
119
Figure 6.4 Rutting model prediction optimization
It was found that the SSE decreased to be 114.05 when the trial calibration coefficients
were = = = 1 in Equation (2-13), = 0.05 in Equation (2-14) for granular base, and =
0.05 in Equation (2-14) for subgrade.
32 *0 . 4 7 9 1*1 . 5 6 0 63 . 3 5 4 1 2-1
r
p N*T*10* = ????? (2-13)
iv)N
?(-
r
p11i h*?*e*)??(*k*? =? ? (2-14)
IRI
In Figure 6.5, it can be seen that the nationally-calibrated model predictions reasonably
matched the measured values. Using the locally-calibrated rutting model also improved the IRI
prediction. However, it still can be seen that the data points were mostly below the line of
equality after adjusting the calibration coefficients. No additional adjustments could improve the
accuracy of IRI predictions. N8 was not included because it was eliminated from the fatigue
cracking analysis which strongly affected its IRI predictions.
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
10000000
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96
10
1
10
6
SSE
Trial Number
6644.36
114.05
120
(a) National calibration (b) Local calibration
Figure 6.5 Model predictions vs. measured values for IRI
From Table 6.3, the standard error decreased by 17%, and the SSE decreased by 51%
after adjusting the rutting model while using the same calibration coefficients for the IRI
prediction. In addition, the Student?s t-test showed that the MEPDG predictions were no longer
statistically different from the measured IRI after adjusting the rutting model.
Table 6.3 Statistical analysis for the 2003 IRI predictions
IRI predictions using
nationally-calibrated
model
IRI predictions after
adjusting the rutting
model
standard error 0.99 in./mile 0.82 in./mile
SSE 28706.39 14090.60
number of data points 143 143
p-value 6.65E-11 0.10
*The p-value is derived from the Student?s t-test on measured IRI and nationally-calibrated/locally-calibrated model
predictions.
RESULTS OF VALIDATION
Fatigue Cracking
Since the nationally-calibrated fatigue model was found to reasonably predict
performance of the 2003 Test Track sections, the model was then validated using the 2006
sections. In Figure 6.6, it can be seen that these data points scattered over both sides of the
121
equality line. The nationally-calibrated model poorly predicted the fatigue cracking for the 2006
sections.
Figure 6.6 Model predictions vs. measured values for fatigue cracking
N1 and N2 in the 2006 research cycle were not included in the validation analysis
because the cracking in those sections were identified as top-down cracking. Sections N3
through N7 were left in place from the 2003 research cycle and sustained additional two-year
traffic; The MEPDG does not allow users to input two sets of traffic characteristics (i.e., one for
the 2003 research and the other for the 2006 research cycle). The statistics of the nationally-
calibrated model predictions are shown in Table 6.4.
Table 6.4 Statistical analysis for the 2006 fatigue cracking predictions
nationally-calibrated model
standard error 3.30%
SSE 1119.56
number of data points 10
p-value 0.23
*The p-value is derived from the Student?s t-test on measured fatigue cracking and nationally-calibrated model
predictions.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
pre
dic
ted
fati
gu
e c
rac
kin
g,
% o
f to
tal
lan
e ar
ea
measured fatigue cracking, % of total lane area
N8 - 06
N9 - 06
N10 - 06
S11 - 06
122
Rutting
In Figure 6.7, it can be seen that the nationally-calibrated model over-predicted the rut
depths for all Test Track sections. Using the adjusted coefficients from the local calibration
based on the 2003 sections, the rutting predictions for most of the 2006 sections were closer to
the equality line. However, the rut depths in N1 and N2 were still over-predicted, which implied
that the local calibration coefficients were not suitable for these two sections. Only these two
sections were built on a thick limerock base over strong subgrade material, which resulted in
minor actual rutting. The reason for the prediction inaccuracy was believed to be due to unique
material characteristics of the limerock base which differ from the granular based used in the
other test sections. It is recommended to initiate section-specific calibration only using N1 and
N2 data if higher prediction accuracy was needed.
(a) National calibration (b) Local calibration
Figure 6.7 Model predictions vs. measured values for rutting
From Table 6.5, the standard error was dropped down by 12%, and the SSE decreased by
a factor of 4 after the local calibration. Although the best-fit calibration coefficients improved the
accuracy of predictions, the predicted rut depths were still statistically different from the
measured values.
123
Table 6.5 Statistical analysis for the 2006 rutting predictions
nationally-
calibrated
model
locally-
calibrated
model
standard error 1.96 mm 1.73 mm
SSE 8422.68 2020.98
number of data points 136 136
p-value 1.04E-42 4.72E-6
*The p-value is derived from the Student?s t-test on measured rut depths and nationally-calibrated/locally-calibrated
model predictions.
N1 and N2 used limestone base combined with unusually strong subgrade. If they were
excluded, the improvement of prediction accuracy was more significant using the locally best-fit
calibration coefficients. In Figure 6.8, it can be seen that the predicted vs. measured rutting plots
without N1 and N2 are much better. In fact, the best-fit calibration coefficients significantly
improved the accuracy of model predictions.
(a) National calibration (b) Local calibration
Figure 6.8 Model predictions vs. measured values for rutting (excluding N1 and N2)
From Table 6.6, the standard error decreased by 17%, and the SSE diminished
approximately by a factor of 6 after the local calibration. In addition, the Student?s t-test showed
that the MEPDG predictions were no longer statistically different from the measured rut depths
after adjusting the rutting model.
124
Table 6.6 Statistical analysis for the 2006 rutting predictions (excluding N1 and N2)
nationally-
calibrated
model
locally-
calibrated
model
standard error 1.82 mm 1.51 mm
SSE 2864.79 429.73
number of data points 91 91
p-value 1.51E-20 0.42
*The p-value is derived from the Student?s t-test on measured rut depths and nationally-calibrated/locally-calibrated
model predictions.
IRI
Figure 6.9 shows that the IRI values shifted slightly after adopting the best-fit coefficients
of rutting model. The data points of N8 and N10 were distributed with a gentle slope, which
suggested the increase of predicted IRI did not progress at the same rate as the measured values.
N1and N2 were not included because they were eliminated from the fatigue cracking analysis
which strongly affected their IRI predictions.
(a) National calibration (b) Local calibration
Figure 6.9 Model predictions vs. measured values for IRI
From Table 6.7, the standard error barely changed, and the SSE increased significantly by
29% after calibrating the rutting model. The MEPDG predictions were statistically different from
the measured IRI after calibrating the rutting model. It is recommended to perform local
calibration on the IRI model using the 2006 sections in the future.
125
Table 6.7 Statistical analysis for the 2006 IRI predictions
predictions using
nationally-calibrated
model
predictions after
adjusting the rutting
model
standard error 3.99 in./mile 3.98 in./mile
SSE 26653.26 34442.98
number of data points 88 88
p-value 0.47 0.003
*The p-value is derived from the Student?s t-test on measured IRI and nationally-calibrated/locally-calibrated model
predictions.
SUMMARY
The local calibration of this study was performed using the data from the 2003 research
cycle. The nationally-calibrated fatigue cracking model performed fairly well. It was not able to
be locally-calibrated for better prediction accuracy. The rutting prediction model in the MEPDG
was able to be calibrated to field measured values. By adopting the best-fit values (as Table 6.8
shows), the rutting prediction model could provide reasonable estimation of rut depth
development during service life. The IRI prediction model was significantly improved after
adopting the local calibration of the rutting model so it did not need to be locally-calibrated.
Table 6.8 Best-fit calibration coefficients for three models in the MEPDG
Calibration coefficients Local calibration values
Fatigue Cracking
?f1 1
?f2 1
?f3 1
AC Rutting
?r1 1
?r2 1
?r3 1
Granular Rutting
?s1 0.05
Subgrade Rutting
?s1 0.05
IRI
C1 40
C2 0.4
C3 0.008
C4 0.015
126
The validation was conducted using the data from 2006 research cycle. Five sections left
in place from the 2003 research cycle were not used due to their different design scenarios. The
validation for the fatigue cracking model was performed on nationally-calibrated model since the
fatigue cracking model could not be locally calibrated. The model poorly predicted the fatigue
cracking so it is recommended to perform local calibration using the 2006 sections in the future.
In terms of the rutting model, the validation indicated that the local calibration did greatly
improve the accuracy of rutting prediction. In addition, the IRI model was validated to have no
remarkable improvement on the prediction accuracy after the adoption of local calibration for the
rutting model.
127
CHAPTER 7
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
This study mainly focuses on calibrating the fatigue cracking, rutting, and IRI models to
the Test Track condition. The MEPDG inputs, in terms of traffic, climate, and material properties,
were characterized at highest level of details to represent the Test Track design scenario. The
eight 2003 sections (i.e., N1 through N8) were investigated for nationally-calibrated model
evaluation and local calibration. In the calibration process, 66 sets of calibration coefficients, in
which each coefficient was varied from the MEPDG default, were tried for the fatigue cracking
model; 106 sets of calibration coefficients were tried for the rutting model. The eleven 2006
sections were investigated for the validation of local calibration results. Four of them were used
for the fatigue cracking model, and six of them were used for the rutting model. Statistical
analysis was applied to evaluate the model predictability. Based on the study presented in the
previous chapters, conclusions and recommendations were drawn as follows:
1. For the 2003 sections, the predicted fatigue cracking from the nationally-calibrated model
reasonably matched the measured values. No local calibration coefficients were found
that further improved the accuracy of the model.
2. For the 2006 sections, used for validation purposes, the default fatigue cracking model
did not provide good predictions that matched the measured values. It is recommended to
perform local calibration on the 2006 sections in the future.
3. For the 2003 sections, the nationally-calibrated model significantly over-predicted rut
depths. The standard error was 0.20 mm. The best-fit calibration coefficients found were
= = = 1 in the AC rutting model, = 0.05 in the unbound rutting model for
granular base, and = 0.05 in the unbound rutting model for subgrade, which could
128
significantly improve the prediction accuracy. Using the best-fit calibration coefficients,
the standard error was 0.09 mm.
4. For the 2006 sections, again used for validation purposes, the best-fit calibration
coefficients were able to improve rutting model predictions but the predictions still did
not match the measured values very well. If N1 and N2 were excluded from dataset for
their uncommon material use, the standard error decreased from 1.82 mm to 1.51 mm. It
suggested that the best-fit coefficients for the rutting model are a choice for pavement
designers.
5. For the 2003 sections, the nationally-calibrated IRI model fairly predicted the trend of
measured values. The standard error was 0.99 in./mile. Although no local calibration
coefficients were found for the IRI model, the adoption of the rutting calibration
coefficients improved the predictions of the IRI model. The standard error decreased to
0.82 in./mile.
6. For the 2006 sections, the adoption of best-fit calibration coefficients for the rutting
model was not able to improve the accuracy of the IRI model. The standard error changed
from 3.99 in./ mile to 3.98 in./mile. It was recommended to perform local calibration on
the IRI model using the 2006 sections in the future.
7. The VB-based macro program significantly reduced the labor intensity in trying different
sets of calibration coefficients in the MEPDG. Although the reliability of the program
was not completely guaranteed, the program can be recommended for further
development in the local calibration studies.
8. The level of improvement on the prediction accuracy tends to be section-specific since
the local calibration results depend on the calibration data. The local calibration using
129
various sections would result in the prediction accuracy improvement over all sections,
rather than for one particular section or a group of sections that have similar pavement
structures. Therefore, the local calibration of MEPDG could be tried using smaller groups
of sections to seek a further enhancement of prediction accuracy for different categories
of pavement structures.
9. Owing to the limited amount of sections at the Test Track, the calibration results would
not cover the all material use in local design projects in the Southeastern states. Therefore,
the calibration coefficients still need to be validated for pavement sections with rare local
materials before applying them into pavement design practice.
10. The identification of cracking types is important in the local calibration of fatigue
cracking model. The cracking caused by slippage between asphalt layers can be possibly
regarded as bottom-up cracking from pavement surface survey. Coring is necessary to
identify where the cracks initialized. If the cracking that happened was not fatigue
cracking, the sections should not be included in the calibration dataset.
11. The local calibration for the IRI model needs to be performed after the calibration for the
fatigue cracking and rutting models. The IRI model provides results based on the fatigue
cracking and rutting predictions.
130
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137
APPENDIX A
Each asphalt concrete mix was designated with a number. The following tables show the
mix number for each lift of the 2003 and 2006 test sections. Also, the E* data for each mix was
presented.
Table A-1 Mix number for each lift of the 2003 Test Track sections
Test section Lift number Mix number
N1 1 1
N1 2 2
N1 3 2
N2 1 3
N2 2 4
N2 3 4
N3 1 3
N3 2 4
N3 3 4
N3 4 4
N3 5 4
N4 1 1
N4 2 2
N4 3 2
N4 4 2
N4 5 2
N5 1 1
N5 2 2
N5 3 2
N5 4 2
N6 1 3
N6 2 4
N6 3 4
N6 4 4
N7 1 5
N7 2 4
N7 3 4
N7 4 4
N8 1 5
N8 2 4
N8 3 4
N8 4 6
138
Table A-2 E* data for mixes in the 2003 research cycle (Timm and Priest, 2006)
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
1 14 0.1 2083358
1 14 0.5 2468142
1 14 1 2629424
1 14 5 2985601
1 14 10 3162982
1 14 25 3344061
1 40 0.1 974980
1 40 0.5 1241885
1 40 1 1362085
1 40 5 1656076
1 40 10 1793318
1 40 25 2000360
1 70 0.1 298959
1 70 0.5 436418
1 70 1 511874
1 70 5 732658
1 70 10 867760
1 70 25 1029622
1 100 0.1 85463
1 100 0.5 124986
1 100 1 147902
1 100 5 245658
1 100 10 310272
1 100 25 380289
1 130 0.1 41408
1 130 0.5 55332
1 130 1 63164
1 130 5 99387
1 130 10 124043
1 130 25 152833
2 14 0.1 2277563
2 14 0.5 2725367
2 14 1 2907715
2 14 5 3304176
2 14 10 3502587
2 14 25 3689759
2 40 0.1 1153195
2 40 0.5 1474779
2 40 1 1623189
2 40 5 1988503
2 40 10 2148479
2 40 25 2404942
139
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
2 70 0.1 394829
2 70 0.5 565357
2 70 1 653141
2 70 5 913955
2 70 10 1061821
2 70 25 1243734
2 100 0.1 151383
2 100 0.5 214801
2 100 1 254106
2 100 5 404945
2 100 10 507342
2 100 25 614706
2 130 0.1 65267
2 130 0.5 83832
2 130 1 95036
2 130 5 142898
2 130 10 174009
2 130 25 218137
3 14 0.1 2029222
3 14 0.5 2417379
3 14 1 2581816
3 14 5 2944301
3 14 10 3101703
3 14 25 3271941
3 40 0.1 791507
3 40 0.5 1031399
3 40 1 1139742
3 40 5 1432827
3 40 10 1564304
3 40 25 1723628
3 70 0.1 288879
3 70 0.5 430798
3 70 1 508140
3 70 5 737843
3 70 10 859820
3 70 25 1031689
3 100 0.1 87639
3 100 0.5 123391
3 100 1 146234
3 100 5 235505
3 100 10 295514
3 100 25 382066
140
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
3 130 0.1 31256
3 130 0.5 39958
3 130 1 45397
3 130 5 64941
3 130 10 77414
3 130 25 97647
4 14 0.1 2298485
4 14 0.5 2724243
4 14 1 2897164
4 14 5 3289201
4 14 10 3421801
4 14 25 3617276
4 40 0.1 1072481
4 40 0.5 1395625
4 40 1 1543418
4 40 5 1920335
4 40 10 2087564
4 40 25 2327093
4 70 0.1 378875
4 70 0.5 547046
4 70 1 643423
4 70 5 930961
4 70 10 1064722
4 70 25 1310597
4 100 0.1 139490
4 100 0.5 197650
4 100 1 233293
4 100 5 359657
4 100 10 445592
4 100 25 574095
4 130 0.1 63055
4 130 0.5 79553
4 130 1 89815
4 130 5 135103
4 130 10 167845
4 130 25 215345
5 14 0.1 2501030
5 14 0.5 3002969
5 14 1 3219256
5 14 5 3670070
5 14 10 3851331
5 14 25 4038067
141
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
5 40 0.1 1271183
5 40 0.5 1639905
5 40 1 1818265
5 40 5 2239708
5 40 10 2427604
5 40 25 2700312
5 70 0.1 378222
5 70 0.5 526886
5 70 1 602668
5 70 5 840348
5 70 10 962434
5 70 25 1150910
5 100 0.1 136843
5 100 0.5 192356
5 100 1 227383
5 100 5 354291
5 100 10 434497
5 100 25 536096
5 130 0.1 54679
5 130 0.5 71504
5 130 1 82128
5 130 5 132746
5 130 10 166975
5 130 25 203415
6 14 0.1 2761276
6 14 0.5 3333933
6 14 1 3219220
6 14 5 3974323
6 14 10 4214904
6 14 25 4448777
6 40 0.1 1157219
6 40 0.5 1588235
6 40 1 1796618
6 40 5 2290544
6 40 10 2514047
6 40 25 2828271
6 70 0.1 366474
6 70 0.5 537292
6 70 1 639000
6 70 5 954565
6 70 10 1119401
6 70 25 1364623
142
Table A-3 Mix number for each lift of the 2006 Test Track sections
Test section Lift
number
Mix
number
N1 1 1
N1 2 1
N1 3 2
N2 1 3
N2 2 3
N2 3 2
N8 1 4
N8 2 5
N8 3 6
N8 4 7
N9 1 4
N9 2 5
N9 3 6
N9 4 6
N9 5 7
N10 1 8A
N10 2 8B
N10 3 9
S11 1 28A
S11 2 28B
S11 3 2
S11 4 2
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
6 100 0.1 127959
6 100 0.5 177671
6 100 1 209543
6 100 5 324123
6 100 10 403205
6 100 25 533630
6 130 0.1 52540
6 130 0.5 66536
6 130 1 75637
6 130 5 116139
6 130 10 142935
6 130 25 180318
143
Table A-4 E* data for mixes in the 2006 research cycle
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
1 15 0.5 2157627
1 15 1 2410856
1 15 2 2693804
1 15 5 3119436
1 15 10 3485547
1 15 20 3894627
1 40 0.5 1046350
1 40 1 1173742
1 40 2 1313558
1 40 5 1501575
1 40 10 1649804
1 40 20 1805284
1 70 0.5 331943
1 70 1 399192
1 70 2 477657
1 70 5 597217
1 70 10 701644
1 70 20 821300
1 100 0.5 101212
1 100 1 123625
1 100 2 157849
1 100 5 214849
1 100 10 268658
1 100 20 334312
1 130 0.5 69097
1 130 1 77207
1 130 2 86268
1 130 5 99899
1 130 10 111624
1 130 20 124724
2 15 0.5 2458627
2 15 1 2750572
2 15 2 3077182
2 15 5 3569202
2 15 10 3993019
2 15 20 4467161
144
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
2 40 0.5 1157594
2 40 1 1304856
2 40 2 1459611
2 40 5 1676636
2 40 10 1848167
2 40 20 2021584
2 70 0.5 362401
2 70 1 438207
2 70 2 526632
2 70 5 662194
2 70 10 779674
2 70 20 910982
2 100 0.5 101227
2 100 1 123137
2 100 2 155480
2 100 5 210643
2 100 10 263824
2 100 20 330154
2 130 0.5 70623
2 130 1 79009
2 130 2 88391
2 130 5 102524
2 130 10 114698
2 130 20 128318
3 15 0.5 2164720
3 15 1 2404672
3 15 2 2671222
3 15 5 3069457
3 15 10 3409696
3 15 20 3787650
3 40 0.5 1055004
3 40 1 1178044
3 40 2 1307756
3 40 5 1483590
3 40 10 1622101
3 40 20 1763900
3 70 0.5 349879
3 70 1 417370
3 70 2 494772
3 70 5 613171
3 70 10 715519
3 70 20 829761
145
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
3 100 0.5 99167
3 100 1 118974
3 100 2 149824
3 100 5 201119
3 100 10 249852
3 100 20 309317
3 130 0.5 71687
3 130 1 79633
3 130 2 88461
3 130 5 101649
3 130 10 112916
3 130 20 125432
4 15 0.5 2703490
4 15 1 2994983
4 15 2 3317905
4 15 5 3798828
4 15 10 4208421
4 15 20 4662178
4 40 0.5 1184842
4 40 1 1321351
4 40 2 1464910
4 40 5 1663524
4 40 10 1818250
4 40 20 1972919
4 70 0.5 321868
4 70 1 385365
4 70 2 460930
4 70 5 575335
4 70 10 675179
4 70 20 785611
4 100 0.5 97097
4 100 1 119862
4 100 2 152214
4 100 5 205185
4 100 10 256073
4 100 20 317038
4 130 0.5 55862
4 130 1 61886
4 130 2 68558
4 130 5 78495
4 130 10 86959
4 130 20 96335
146
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
5 15 0.5 2649429
5 15 1 2932408
5 15 2 3245610
5 15 5 3711559
5 15 10 4107980
5 15 20 4546743
5 40 0.5 1311068
5 40 1 1458970
5 40 2 1610788
5 40 5 1816343
5 40 10 1975921
5 40 20 2135970
5 70 0.5 422966
5 70 1 505348
5 70 2 600746
5 70 5 745893
5 70 10 870516
5 70 20 1007939
5 100 0.5 124707
5 100 1 153417
5 100 2 195620
5 100 5 265165
5 100 10 331194
5 100 20 413611
5 130 0.5 91896
5 130 1 101711
5 130 2 112575
5 130 5 128736
5 130 10 142486
5 130 20 157705
6 15 0.5 2853544
6 15 1 3125467
6 15 2 3423302
6 15 5 3861014
6 15 10 4228941
6 15 20 4631929
6 40 0.5 1525071
6 40 1 1674363
6 40 2 1826363
6 40 5 2023856
6 40 10 2175227
6 40 20 2324616
147
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
6 70 0.5 566179
6 70 1 669494
6 70 2 781656
6 70 5 945936
6 70 10 1083093
6 70 20 1229629
6 100 0.5 164473
6 100 1 202618
6 100 2 255218
6 100 5 338421
6 100 10 415678
6 100 20 507729
6 130 0.5 138663
6 130 1 151876
6 130 2 166349
6 130 5 187619
6 130 10 205497
6 130 20 225080
7 15 0.5 1852345
7 15 1 2088949
7 15 2 2355775
7 15 5 2761508
7 15 10 3114241
7 15 20 3512029
7 40 0.5 862249
7 40 1 983597
7 40 2 1112197
7 40 5 1289095
7 40 10 1427703
7 40 20 1565150
7 70 0.5 249030
7 70 1 311686
7 70 2 385075
7 70 5 499075
7 70 10 599924
7 70 20 712618
7 100 0.5 61936
7 100 1 79263
7 100 2 102812
7 100 5 146749
7 100 10 190434
7 100 20 245404
148
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
7 130 0.5 50456
7 130 1 56901
7 130 2 64169
7 130 5 75221
7 130 10 84829
7 130 20 95664
8A 15 0.5 2533493
8A 15 1 2807917
8A 15 2 3112066
8A 15 5 3565268
8A 15 10 3951453
8A 15 20 4379469
8A 40 0.5 1158174
8A 40 1 1292866
8A 40 2 1432586
8A 40 5 1622391
8A 40 10 1768444
8A 40 20 1914739
8A 70 0.5 318793
8A 70 1 386332
8A 70 2 466538
8A 70 5 588273
8A 70 10 691588
8A 70 20 809649
8A 100 0.5 92713
8A 100 1 117891
8A 100 2 153005
8A 100 5 212238
8A 100 10 268803
8A 100 20 337889
8A 130 0.5 61988
8A 130 1 68702
8A 130 2 76144
8A 130 5 87233
8A 130 10 96682
8A 130 20 107154
8B 15 0.01 1872962
8B 15 0.1 2673802
8B 15 0.5 3429180
8B 15 1 3817066
8B 15 5 4895428
149
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
8B 40 0.01 868486
8B 40 0.1 1325886
8B 40 0.5 1703564
8B 40 1 1872146
8B 40 5 2268873
8B 70 0.01 171773
8B 70 0.1 385317
8B 70 0.5 615540
8B 70 1 732199
8B 70 5 1066414
8B 115 0.01 20494
8B 115 0.1 42032
8B 115 0.5 75492
8B 115 1 98776
8B 115 5 192078
8B 130 0.01 58961
8B 130 0.1 84171
8B 130 0.5 107950
8B 130 1 120161
8B 130 5 154108
9 15 0.5 2399518
9 15 1 2670238
9 15 2 2971501
9 15 5 3422533
9 15 10 3808672
9 15 20 4238377
9 40 0.5 1181658
9 40 1 1322744
9 40 2 1468724
9 40 5 1669420
9 40 10 1824538
9 40 20 1982448
9 70 0.5 371840
9 70 1 449218
9 70 2 539721
9 70 5 675912
9 70 10 792885
9 70 20 923382
150
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
9 100 0.5 110254
9 100 1 139298
9 100 2 179593
9 100 5 246419
9 100 10 307842
9 100 20 382392
9 130 0.5 81342
9 130 1 90519
9 130 2 100732
9 130 5 116022
9 130 10 129112
9 130 20 143678
28A 15 0.5 1756400
28A 15 1 1968603
28A 15 2 2206444
28A 15 5 2565513
28A 15 10 2875471
28A 15 20 3222877
28A 40 0.5 835804
28A 40 1 944340
28A 40 2 1058002
28A 40 5 1218220
28A 40 10 1344113
28A 40 20 1472277
28A 70 0.5 259521
28A 70 1 313185
28A 70 2 377436
28A 70 5 476981
28A 70 10 563375
28A 70 20 660985
28A 100 0.5 77489
28A 100 1 94120
28A 100 2 119100
28A 100 5 163573
28A 100 10 205132
28A 100 20 259472
28A 130 0.5 52461
28A 130 1 58799
28A 130 2 65903
28A 130 5 76628
28A 130 10 85886
28A 130 20 96262
151
*It should be noted that the underlined E* values were not obtained from the lab test but predicted by using the
Equation (3-1) shown earlier.
Mix
number
Test temperature
(?F)
Test
frequency
(Hz)
E* (psi)
28B 15 0.01 1458885
28B 15 0.1 2126002
28B 15 0.5 2766145
28B 15 1 3098177
28B 15 5 4031044
28B 15 10 4514906
28B 40 0.01 1438870
28B 40 0.1 1595850
28B 40 0.5 1977347
28B 40 1 2141433
28B 40 5 1094986
28B 40 10 726107
28B 70 0.01 595186
28B 70 0.1 701402
28B 70 0.5 990559
28B 70 1 1141978
28B 70 5 385317
28B 70 10 171483
28B 130 0.01 59497
28B 130 0.1 86704
28B 130 0.5 112811
28B 130 1 126352
28B 130 5 164397
28B 130 10 184130
152
APPENDIX B
The following table shows the G* data of asphalt binders in the 2003 and 2006 test
sections.
Table B-1 G* data of asphalt binders in the 2003 and 2006 test sections
Test section & Year Layer
number
Binder
type
Test
temp.
(?F)
G* (Pa) Phase
angle (?)
N1, N4 & N5 2003 All PG 76-22 70 1,881,000 57.98
N1, N4 & N5 2003 All PG 76-22 100 134,200 60.55
N1, N4 & N5 2003 All PG 76-22 130 22,420 58.39
N2, N3, & N6 2003 All PG 67-22 70 2,156,000 55.80
N2, N3, & N6 2003 All PG 67-22 100 241,800 61.59
N2, N3, & N6 2003 All PG 67-22 130 26,710 70.67
N7 & N8 2003 1 PG 76-22 70 1,881,000 57.98
N7 & N8 2003 1 PG 76-22 100 134,200 60.55
N7 & N8 2003 1 PG 76-22 130 22,420 58.39
N7 & N8 2003 2, 3 & 4 PG 67-22 70 2,156,000 55.80
N7 & N8 2003 2, 3 & 4 PG 67-22 100 241,800 61.59
N7 & N8 2003 2, 3 & 4 PG 67-22 130 26,710 70.67
N1 2006 1 & 2 PG 67-22 70 2,053,000 55.59
N1 2006 1 & 2 PG 67-22 100 225900 62.21
N1 2006 1 & 2 PG 67-22 130 28460 69.96
N1 & N2 2006 3 PG 67-22 70 2,156,000 55.80
N1 & N2 2006 3 PG 67-22 100 241,800 61.59
N1 & N2 2006 3 PG 67-22 130 26,710 70.67
N2 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-22 70 2,177,000 55.88
N2 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-22 100 267,400 59.63
N2 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-22 130 37,560 65.30
N8 2006 & N9 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-28 70 2,672,000 54.25
N8 2006 & N9 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-28 100 344,800 57.77
N8 2006 & N9 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-28 130 34,410 59.23
N8 2006 & N9 2006 3 PG 64-22 70 2,109,000 56.23
N8 2006 & N9 2006 3 PG 64-22 100 228,700 62.42
N8 2006 & N9 2006 3 PG 64-22 130 29,080 73.34
N8 2006 & N9 2006 4 PG 64-22 70 768,800 57.77
N8 2006 & N9 2006 4 PG 64-22 100 183,600 62.92
N8 2006 & N9 2006 4 PG 64-22 130 25,920 68.94
N10 2006 1 & 2 PG 70-22 70 2,413,000 60.11
N10 2006 1 & 2 PG 70-22 100 223,600 65.73
N10 2006 1 & 2 PG 70-22 130 21,580 70.63
N10 2006 3 PG 64-22 70 2,066,000 56.25
N10 2006 3 PG 64-22 100 220,100 62.21
N10 2006 3 PG 64-22 130 24,310 70.56
153
Test section & Year Layer
number
Binder
type
Test
temp.
(?F)
G* (Pa) Phase
angle (?)
S11 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-22 70 1,881,000 57.98
S11 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-22 100 134,200 60.55
S11 2006 1 & 2 PG 76-22 130 22,420 58.39
S11 2006 3 & 4 PG 67-22 70 2,156,000 55.80
S11 2006 3 & 4 PG 67-22 100 241,800 61.59
S11 2006 3 & 4 PG 67-22 130 26,710 70.67
154
APPENDIX C
The following table shows the as-built volumetric properties of asphalt mixes in the 2003
and 2006 test sections.
Table C-1 As-built volumetric properties for the 2003 and 2006 Test Track sections
Test section &
Year
Lift number Air voids (%) Unit weight
(pcf)
Effective
binder content
(%)
N1 2003 1 7.2 143.7 13.4
2 7.2 149.1 9.7
3 7.0 150.1 9.2
N2 2003 1 7.1 144.2 13.1
2 6.1 151.8 9.2
3 5.9 151.2 9.9
N3 2003 1 7.2 144.1 13.1
2 6.7 150.8 9.1
3 6.3 150.6 9.8
4 7.0 149.2 9.7
5 5.4 150.7 10.7
N4 2003 1 6.6 145.4 13.0
2 7.1 149.0 9.7
3 6.8 149.3 9.9
4 7.2 148.1 10.5
5 7.3 148.7 9.8
N5 2003 1 6.7 145.2 13.0
2 7.1 149.0 9.7
3 7.2 148.7 9.9
4 6.8 148.7 10.5
N6 2003 1 6.3 145.0 13.6
2 5.9 151.3 9.9
3 6.6 149.3 10.2
4 4.0 153.2 11.1
N7 2003 1 6.9 141.6 13.7
2 5.7 151.6 9.9
3 6.7 149.0 10.2
4 5.0 151.6 11.0
N8 2003 1 6.9 141.6 13.8
2 7.0 149.5 9.8
3 7.0 148.6 10.2
4 6.7 148.9 10.9
N1 2006 1 5.4 147.5 10.4
2 7.8 143.1 10.6
3 7.9 147.5 9.7
155
Test section &
Year
Lift number Air voids (%) Unit weight
(pcf)
Effective
binder content
(%)
N2 2006 1 5.0 148.1 10.3
2 5.8 145.5 11.3
3 5.1 152.0 10.1
N8 2006 1 8.2 137.3 10.9
2 6.4 145.8 7.8
3 7.1 145.1 7.1
4 2.8 147.0 11.2
N9 2006 1 7.0 139.1 11.1
2 7.1 144.7 7.7
3 4.9 148.5 7.5
4 6.1 146.9 6.9
5 5.6 142.8 10.7
N10 2006 1 8.7 139.9 10.8
2 7.5 143.9 8.8
3 6.7 144.7 9.6
S11 2006 1 6.8 143.3 14.2
2 5.8 150.4 10.9
3 7.4 148.4 10.0
4 8.2 147.3 9.8